The NHC explicitly states in their forecast cone it can multiple categories off days out in advance. That’s why the NHC makes the cone for 1-3 days and why it’s called the extended cone days 4 and 5. The 1st forecast explicitly called for a rapidly intensifying hurricane...
https://twitter.com/lisawade/status/1433101856503386115
The forecast was very clear even 5 days out the potential for a major hurricane was very much increasing in likelihood. The messaging was clear as well along with models indicating a Cat 4 storm was possible. If u can’t understand how the NHC cone works I dont think you should...
be relaying the forecast. If u understood the frequency the NHC forecasts a near Major Hurricane 5 days in advance then it would have been clear a Category 4 was certainly possible. Or if u understood what kind of environment from a meteorological perspective Ida was moving into.
The narrative preparation was adjusted to a drastic forecast change is just blasphemous. And any somewhat knowledgeable weather enthusiast or meteorologist knows that...
Also models aren’t the forecast . Models are used by meteorologists and the NHC to make a forecast. You shouldn’t be explaining how a forecast works and why a forecast might have been wrong if you don’t understand that. You have to be at least semi-educated about if you’re...
Going to at least make a semi good forecast. There was no drastic change to the right that your taking about. That’s why they make the cone. You can’t use the cone for one part of your argument and then not go by the concept of the cone for another point...
That’s just contradicting yourself. You really just wasted your time making that whole thread today. Because the concepts you were going by were loaded with errors. I don’t ever want to be rude to people by I needed to be stern and clear about how a forecast works because...
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