The Union Cabinet is expected to approve the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) Scheme for Textiles sector of Rs 10,683 crores tomorrow.
A short 🧵on Himatsingka Seide, which operates the world's largest Cotton Spinning plant!
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Himatsingka Seide is an integrated Home Textile player focused on:
✅ Bedding (Bed-Pillow sheets)
✅ Bath (Terry towels)
✅ Drapery
✅ Yarn & Fibre
Branded portfolio constitutes ~90% of sales.
Exports to 32 countries (80% of sales from US); strong focus on Europe.
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Model: Owned private + licensed brands
It has procured manufacturing and distribution rights for 15 top-notch global brands due to its vast distribution network and in-house design capabilities.
In FY21, it has added The Walt Disney co. to its global portfolio in Europe.
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Capacity and utilization: Significant improvement in last 6 months shows improving demand.
1⃣ Bedding (61 Mn metres; 80% utilisation)
2⃣ Terry towel: 25,000 MT (up from ~30% in FY20 to 65% in Q1 FY22)
3⃣ Upholstery (2 Mn metres)
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Capex: Rs 2,500 crs over FY17-FY20 to set up 1 brownfield (bedding) & 2 Greenfield projects (spinning & towels) & this is helping co. to cater for the robust demand from the US.
Note: The capacity of terry towel has reached ~66% in just 14 months of commencement!
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Management Focus:
📌Broaden portfolio by partnering with more brands
📌Expanding on e-com platforms for reach
📌Price hikes in near-term to cover high RM cost
📌Improve utilization given strong order flows
📌Expand EBITDA to ~20% levels in the next 3 yrs.
📌Debt reduction
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Sector’s near term tailwinds:
1⃣ Strong demand from US (India & Vietnam are key beneficiaries of China +1 focus)
2⃣ Strong demand from Europe if India allows FTA, with Pakistan’s GSP+ status being withdrawn.
Note: Pakistan exports ~5 Bn Euro of textile & apparels to Europe
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As Europe is reconsidering its partnership with Pakistan, India might take advantage of this disruption.
#RoSCTL - an export incentive scheme has been extended till Mar’24 so additionally this will also encourage textile exporters as it will improve their revenues by ~5%.
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Financials:
While last 2 years have been subdued (see image),
there are signs of uptick with Himatsingka reporting its highest ever quarterly sales and profits in Q1 FY22. The management is targeting 20% EBITDA margins over next 3 years. screener.in/company/HIMATS…
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Return ratios:
Given favorable sector tailwinds, Himangsingka Seide might see strong order growth and as utilisation increases, we can expect the return ratios to improve from here.
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Key risks:
1⃣ High debt - Started deleveraging the balance sheet; debt reduced by 350 cr to 2467 cr in FY21 (still high)
2⃣ High dependence on US markets: Looking to expand in Europe.
YTD (Jan-Jun):
📊Index: 17%; Overall market returns: 20%
📈Industrials, Power &Commodities best performers - old school capex heavy sectors
↔️ Asset light & new age has underperformed
🕺The rally has shifted to small & micro caps (YTD returns of 38% vs 17% for large caps)
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Cash volumes have dried out on NSE in the last few weeks, indicating some tiredness in the rally:
1/n A classic economic model of the world assumes demand and supply as the two parameters that determine pricing. Well, here we talk about the third leg that is causing havoc in global trade - logistics, specifically shipping containers.
A thread 🧵explaining the crisis.
2/n Remember that big ship ‘Ever Given’ getting stuck in the Suez Canal? If that wasn’t enough for the shipping industry, we are now seeing a major global container shortage. This has led to a massive surge in shipping rates across the world.
Let's understand in more details.
3/n Why are containers important?
Quoting Najib Shah, ex-Chairman, CBIC, “If exports are the lifeline of an economy, shipping containers are the lifeline of exports”. There are ~1.7 cr of these 20 / 40 feet boxes circulating globally, accounting for 85% of international trade!
#RBIPolicy
RBI's monetary policy committee (MPC) outcome is to be announced today at 10 am.
We thought of writing an explainer thread🧵on key RBI Monetary policy tools & their implications. This should help you understand the policy better.
Please RT to educate more folks. 1/n
What is Monetary policy?
Monetary policy is the use of instruments under the control of the central bank to regulate:
✅Supply, cost and use of money & credit
With end objective of controlling:
✅Inflation, Liquidity, Balances, Exchange rate and overall financial stability
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What are the tools used by RBI?
RBI (or any Central Bank) has various tools at its disposal to achieve its above-mentioned objectives. We have noted these tools in the left half of image below 👇
✍️State of Fixed Income securities in India
✍️India versus US fixed income
✍️Understand global macro & RBI response
✍️Credit risk fund and Global debt funds
✍️Asset allocation and risk management
✍️Origins of weekendinvesting.com
✍️Experiment with various styles
✍️Exit principle on positions
✍️Psychology and investing
✍️Managing drawdowns
✍️On journaling trades and investments