In one of the most dangerous and most Unconstitutional acts in US history, Congress and the President are abusing the budget reconciliation process to dictate, via a “Clean Electricity Payment Program,” that Americans use >50% unreliable solar+wind electricity by 2030.

Thanks to government mandates and subsidies, solar and wind--"unreliables"--provide about 10% of American electricity. This 10% has already caused big electricity price increases and huge reliability problems. Politicians should admit their failure, apologize, and reverse course.
Instead of admitting that the US's 10% solar+wind electricity is causing huge cost and reliability problems, our government, led by the Senate, is quintupling down on this disaster by pushing a "Clean Electricity Payment Program" that would require >50% solar+wind in 8 years!!
The CEPP would mandate 80% "clean electricity” by 2030--but does nothing substantial to reverse the criminalization and defunding of nuclear. So nuclear will decrease from its 20% share today. Hydro, at <7% today, has little room for growth. That means >50% solar/wind!
Unreliable wind and solar cannot replace fossil fuels. Because they can always go near zero--as we saw recently in Texas--they don't replace the cost of reliable power plants, they add to the cost of reliable power plants. That's why more wind and solar = higher prices.
Consider: Germans, to get 37% of their electricity from wind/solar, have doubled their prices--now 3X US prices. And they can only get away with 37% because they have neighbors to bail them out when solar/wind fall short. The US as a whole has no such neighbors.
In California, where I live, we get 24% of our electricity from wind and solar--and we have skyrocketing prices along with disastrous shortages and blackouts. And it would be far worse if we didn't import 30% of our electricity from neighbors.
Contrary to media denial, government favoritism for solar and especially for wind were absolutely to blame for the Texas blackouts. TX defunded reliable power plant construction as well as resiliency measures (like weatherization) to pay for solar/wind.
During TX's February cold spell, wind and solar disappeared when they were needed the most. Its expensive batteries, which could store a mere 40 seconds, didn’t help, either. What would they have done under the CEPP's 50% solar and wind??!!
The facts are clear. 10% solar and wind in the US is disastrous. 50+% solar and wind would guarantee unaffordable prices, constant shortages, frequent blackouts--and the fleeing of industry and jobs, once companies realized the US no longer had low-cost, reliable electricity.
Historically, the Constitution protected us from terrible ideas like the CEPP--which would more accurately stand for Catastrophically Expensive Power Program. It was recognized that the Federal Government cannot dictate the electricity choices of all Americans.
Ominously, today the Constitution is so ignored that government and media consider it totally okay to grant the Federal Government dictatorial control over all electricity *as part of a budget reconciliation process*. What country are we living in?
The budget reconciliation process is supposed to be about budgeting, not about giving government new powers. Yet shameless @SenSchumer has bragged that the CEPP and other "reconciliation" measures would constitute "the most significant climate action in our country's history."
Our government's push for mandating 50+% unreliable solar and wind plays perfectly into the hands of China. China has a clear strategy of running its economy on 85% fossil fuels, while encouraging us to run on unreliable solar and wind—that is made using Chinese fossil fuels.
The claim that a "Clean Electricity Payment Program" will lower global CO2 emissions is a joke. As China illustrates, the world, especially the developing world, will overwhelmingly use fossil fuels because that is by far the lowest-cost way for them to get reliable energy.
Anyone who cares about CO2 emissions must recognize that the only non-carbon energy source that has a chance of outcompeting fossil fuels and lowering global emissions is nuclear energy. Nuclear is incredibly safe, incredibly reliable, and can be generated anywhere in the world.
Unfortunately, nuclear has become ultra-expensive in the US because politicians (mostly Dems) have demonized it and virtually criminalized it through endless unscientific regulations--along with wind/solar favors+subsidies, like the "PTC," that defund reliable nuclear plants.
US policy is so anti-nuclear that virtually no one will attempt to build a nuclear plant in this country--and in 2021 utilities are planning to shut down a record amount of our existing low-carbon, low-cost, reliable nuclear power plants!…
Any policy serious about CO2 emissions needs to recognize the severe deficiencies of wind/solar and *make nuclear decriminalization priorities number 1, 2, and 3*. Instead, our government wants to dictate catastrophic amounts of wind and solar using the "CEPP."
The proper path forward for America is to fix our broken electricity system by ending all mandates and subsidies for unreliable solar and wind, liberating nuclear energy, and making sure to have enough low-cost, reliable power plants to handle every situation.
When we look at the decline of nations throughout history we wonder: How could they not have seen it coming? Today, we should clearly see it coming that a CEPP, destroying our grid with catastrophic amounts of unreliable solar+wind, produced by China, will mean our decline.
Please tell your Senators and other elected officials--above all @Sen_JoeManchin and @SenatorSinema--to publicly denounce the deadly and Unconstitutional Clean Electricity Payment Program, and refuse to participate in any budget reconciliation process that involves it.

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More from @AlexEpstein

9 Sep
Crisis: "Generac says in a recent investor presentation that power outage severity is 'increasing significantly.' Between 2000 and 2020, the number of what the Energy Department calls 'major electric disturbances and unusual occurrences' jumped 13-fold." --@pwrhungry in @WSJ

"Renewable energy promoters don't want to admit that wind and solar are undermining the grid. But the North American Electric Reliability Corporation, a nonprofit trade group, said in a report last month that 'changing resource mix' is the most urgent challenge for reliability."
"Trying to electrify everything would be a disaster, especially for low-income consumers. Poor folks tend to live in homes that aren’t as efficient or sturdy as those occupied by the wealthy. They are more likely to suffer, or even die, during blackouts or extreme weather."
Read 5 tweets
6 Sep
Today is a dark day for the medical profession. The editors of 220 medical journals, with 0 expertise in energy and climate, have called for the rapid elimination of fossil fuel use--a course of action that would rapidly increase the biggest cause of health problems: poverty.🧵
The #1 cause of health problems in the world is poverty, and an absolute requirement for alleviating poverty is low-cost, reliable energy—most of which, for the foreseeable future, needs to come from fossil fuels.
The main reason global CO2 emissions are rising is because billions of people in the developing world are bringing themselves out of poverty by using fossil fuels to power factories, farms, vehicles, appliances--as well as hospitals and medical equipment.
Read 8 tweets
30 Aug
The Biden Administration's Department of Health and Human Services has launched an office that will "treat climate change as a public health issue"--including by compelling hospitals to emit less CO2. If this office is not stopped it will absolutely kill people.

The Wall Street Journal Reports that The Office of Climate Change and Health Equity "could eventually compel hospitals and other care facilities to reduce carbon emissions." Forced emissions reductions always make energy more expensive or less reliable.
Hospitals have huge energy costs--often 50% of their budgets--and they depend on ultra-reliable energy. Is the Administration going to raise their prices so they use less energy? Is is Administration going to force respirators and incubators to run on unreliable solar and wind?
Read 14 tweets
25 Aug
A @nytimes hit piece by @fmanjoo says @LarryElder's election would be a "new emergency" "on top of the pandemic, droughts, the wildfires and unbreathable air."

But these are all problems @GavinNewsom has made far worse.
Here's how @GavinNewsom has contributed to out-of-control wildfires and resulting air quality problems. @LarryElder has embraced rational forest management.…
Here's how @GavinNewsom has contributed to blackouts. @LarryElder has embraced, low-cost, reliable electricity.…
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18 Aug
Professor @RossMcKitrick is one of my favorite climate thinkers. He has a new paper on a methodology popular among catastrophists known as "fingerprinting," and argues that it commits some very basic errors. Here is his summary and some quotes. 🧵…
"Some of the errors would be obvious to anyone trained in regression analysis, and the fact that they went unnoticed for 20 years despite the method being so heavily used does not reflect well on climatology as an empirical discipline." --@RossMcKitrick
"It has been used in dozens and possibly hundreds of studies over the years. Wherever you begin in the Optimal Fingerprinting literature (example), all paths lead back to AT99, often via Allen and Stott (2003). So its errors and deficiencies matter acutely." --@RossMcKitrick
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