This is what leaning left on the economy and leaning right on culture looks like. It is a new era in British politics.
Johnson's premiership has so far delivered Brexit, reformed migration, shifted conversation to levelling up & presided over massive expansion of state. New measures will now see tax burden rise to 35%-ish of gdp by 2023/24, highest level since 1940s.
Contrary to old left v right, much of this will sit well among cross pressured voters who lean left on econ, want bigger state, & right on culture, back Johnson/Brexit/Britain. Is especially important group for Johnson coalition & also many more in Red Wall 2.0.
Classic low tax fiscal Conservatives will hate it. Many on left will struggle to reply to it. But goes to show how tectonic plates of British politics are on move, also (imo) Johnson underestimated. Happy to be wrong but suspect much of this strengthens not weakens his appeal

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More from @GoodwinMJ

4 Aug
A major theme in post-Brexit Britain is @BorisJohnson 's pledge to "level-up" regions & communities that were left behind. Conservatives cannot retain power unless they deliver. @Keir_Starmer cannot return Labour to power unless he sets out credible alternative [Thread]
But it remains poorly defined & understood. What do we mean by levelling-up? How can we measure whether areas are improving or deteriorating? How can citizens, communities & councils hold gvt to account? How can policymakers identify what is working vs what is not?
We @LegatumInst have been exploring these issues for past few months & working with lots of councils, policymakers, academics & stakeholders to build the UK Prosperity Index -a tool that we think can help gvt, councils & citizens get to grips with levelling-up
Read 16 tweets
11 Jun
New study confirms the last 5 years on Twitter. Labour voters & Remainers considerably more likely to distance themselves from people who hold different ideological views & to voice hostility toward them. Conservatives, Leavers less likely to do so.…
Read 4 tweets
5 Mar
A 25-point lead for Conservatives among working-class; Conservatives 52%, Labour 27%. Today's YouGov.
London breaks 44 versus 34 for Labour. Southern England breaks 51 versus 29 for Conservatives.
Same old problem for Labour as 2019. 71% of Leavers rally round Conservatives, 47% Remainers rally around Labour
Read 5 tweets
18 Oct 20
A short thread. Many institutions adopt an imbalanced or ‘asymmetric’ approach to diversity & inclusion. They focus overwhelmingly, & increasingly, on race/ethnicity, which is often seen as the only relevant variable.
This is entirely understandable given historic injustices but it also comes with costs; we are overlooking other social problems in society. We need to broaden rather than narrow our view.
One of those is white working-class children from disadvantaged backgrounds who are already falling behind their peers at age 5 … less likely to get good GCSEs … and less likely than every other group to make it to university (evidence ->
Read 14 tweets
23 Jul 20
Woke-ism is a minority support

Support for footballers "taking the knee"? 37%
Support for removal of statues linked to slavery? 27%
BLM protests shd have gone ahead during crisis? 21%
Support protestors damaging/removing statues? 13%

YouGov July 16
3 points in reply to discussion about results. 1/ my ref to 'woke' politics is reference to what we might otherwise call identity liberalism/'the great awokening' debate in US e.g. see Atlantic on 'woke capitalism', Pres Obama on 'woke stuff', etc. Not derogatory.
2/ What I'm pointing to here is level of 'positive, instrumental change' for what are radical actions (e.g. pulling down statues). I've stripped out don't knows/oppose/don't care etc. Why? Because I want to get sense of core 'active' support for actions that impact on majority
Read 5 tweets
16 Jul 20
Racism has been falling in Britain not rising. Every major 'gold standard' survey shows that levels of racial prejudice have been in decline since the 1980s. On the whole, this is a tolerant, welcoming and remarkably peaceful country #HasBritainChanged
Support for relationships between different ethnic/racial groups has rocketed since the 1980s #HasBritainChanged
Typically, over 90% of Brits have 'no issue' with relationships/marriages between members of different groups. In 1980s more than half did #HasBritainChanged
Read 5 tweets

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