Observe the orange box, and the stripes into and out of it.
The orange box is electric generation. The stripes in are what powers it, and the stripes out are where the energy from it goes.
The biggest stripe, the light gray one, is the energy wasted ("rejected") by the process.
2. Now observe the largest pink box, the one at the bottom. Transportation. Observe the bands going into it from the left, which consists of, mostly, the dark green band, petroleum. And it's a big sucker.
Observe that the light gray output, wasted energy, is about 4 times as big,
3. As the dark gray band, "energy services," i.e. "What we wanted out of this process."
Now. Every day, often five to ten times per day, I see "electric vehicles" listed as "for the climate" to "reduce emissions."
Notice that the orange box, electric generation, and the transportation pink box, have the highest relative amounts of energy rejection of all the boxes on the diagram.
The pink box marked "industrial" is next.
That's because these processes are all powered by "heat engines."
5. Heat engines produce motion from heat, typically by burning fossil fuels but you can burn anything. You can also obtain heat from nuclear fission or fusion. All "nuclear power plants" use the same heat engine generators as coal or gas plants do, adapted for the different src.
6. Electric motors are considerably more efficient than heat engines, although, as I mentioned elsewhere, no energy driven process known to humankind is 100% energy efficient.
Heat engines have an absolute upper limit in the neighborhood of 50% efficient, but cars aren't close.
7. To not get too deep into the processes, cars waste energy by speeding up, slowing down, pushing air aside, starting, stopping, going up hills - it's an incredibly energy inefficient process, driving a car. And that's at best.
But back to the picture.
8. Observe, again, the orange box. Coming into it from the left are black, sky blue, and red bands - coal, natural gas, and nuclear fission.
There is a barely visible yellow line - solar - and a small purple one - wind. About equal to the purple is dark blue, hydro. Dams.
9. Hydro is basically maxed out. There just aren't any more big rivers to dam up. We've already killed them all, may we rot in Hell for it.
Solar and wind are being built absolutely as fast as we can, and amount to a fly fart in a hurricane in the overall picture.
10. In order to power transportation with electricity, we basically have to add, on the input side of the electric generation orange box, another band of energy input roughly equal to the petroleum, dark green, band currently powering transportation.
Energy has to come in to go.
11. "But wait!" you say. "The new band into the orange box doesn't have to be as big as the green band powering transportation, because cars will have electric motors, which are more efficient than heat engines."
Well, yes, but...
Electricity is generated with heat engines.
12. Electric generating plants are moderately more efficient than cars - they run at a constant speed, against a less variable load, than cars, so they can be somewhat more efficient.
But they're still heat engines. Carnot's theorem and all that. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_engi…
13. The theory, based on nothing happening in the real world, is that by the time we have all our cars electric-fied, we'll have converted that fly fart of renewable electricity to solar. Joe Biden said so.
And we can all charge our electric cars while the sun don't shine.
14. Or, better for the climate, we could just stick them where the sun don't shine and be done with it.
Because it ain't gonna work.
PS. Energy diagram courtesy of Lawrence Livermore National Lab.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
I'm going to run through screenshots of a conversation I just had with a highly paid climate professional.
He started with the normal climate tweet: "Take action now."
So I asked my usual annoying question. What action?
2. As usual, his response was not what I define as "action", but was, rather, a statement of end point goals.
You can see that he knew I wasn't going to be impressed.
Who on Earth could dispute "phase out GHG emissions?"
I had asked for "how" but he didn't want to discuss that.
3. So. What was my reply?
I still wanted him to name actions. Things people could do, as averse to words to say.
What is an action which furthers this goal? What comes next? Step 1, step 2, first you get the... Nah. We don't do that in the developed world.
I'm sewing on my team lines this morning, adjusting them to more ideally fit the team, to make work more comfortable for all of us.
This provides me a productive task on which to focus, to keep my mind away from the poison of 21st century industrial America.
You can see here that I have made the lines so they split too far back and tend to hang up on the girls and their harness.
Here I have sewn them further up, and they are laying better to the task, but I think there's still room for improvement.
This is what I call "progress." To most of America "progress" is more high energy machines.
I guess it depends on your objective.
My theory:
If there is any possibility of humankind escaping the worst of the doom we have signed up for (not a sure thing) that possibility lies in maximizing the biological carbon cycle.
There is lots of room for growth. We've killed and paved much of it.
2. Reducing our emissions will be an inevitable output of any serious effort to restore / regenerate / reactivate the global ecosystem / biosphere / carbon cycle.
All this high energy high volume giant scale machinery everyone wants to replace fossil fuels with - that's opposite.
3. We already have too much carbon in the atmosphere. I'm not going to defend that point.
If we want to survive, we take action to reduce that carbon directly, not by machinery that we have to emit carbon to build, but by photosynthesis at every level supported by other life.
I tweeted this donkey story earlier today. I'm going to spin it, a related donkey story, and some thoughts together here. I welcome y'all to come along, but it may be a bumpy ride.
Many of the gate and corner posts on our place are rotting off. Wood does that. Some woods are very resistant, but it doesn't suit our economy to grow them. We need morebiggerbetterfaster. So these were all treated posts or old railroad ties.
They rot off 6" under the ground.
3. Phone poles do too. Climbing telephone people are trained to probe a pole with a long screwdriver, downward at a slant from ground level.
If the screwdriver goes in, don't climb it.
I've climbed it, because I was self employed and needed the work, but that's another story.
True donkey story: 🧵
There was a spot on the road near home that Clara was afraid of.
Some scumbag had dumped a big old overstuffed recliner in the ditch there, and the way it had fallen there was a big black hole in the middle. Scared Clara something fierce.
2. I was going to take her on a lead rope, and take a pocket full of goodies, and walk down there and spend some time looking closely at it, let her see that it wasn't a threat, but the county finally came and hauled it away. So I thought it was all done.
3. As it turned out, though, between the fencerow tree line the neighbor's row of big bales in deep shade on the other side, the general darkness of the area, and the memory, she still always shied away from the spot. It's along part of our farm, so it was a recurring problem.
Do y'all remember back in 2046 when Hurricane Ida hid Louisiana then did a twofer on New York and New Jersey?
What? That wasn't 2046? In was 2021?
What the fuck does having half of something in 2050 do for real people in real life?
Nada.
2. I can't understand why the people aren't up in arms.
Actually I can.
They have been hoodwinked with the biggest pack of science fiction feel-good ever written.
3. It's against the rules to discuss this, but that process - 50% of electricity by 2050 - starts with making it.
And making it is an energy intensive process.
And it's the very first process.
During that energy intensive period, we are planning to continue our current economy,