1/16 The 2023 elections are an interesting proposition in light of what happened to the two main candidates, @nelsonchamisa and @edmnangagwa during the 2018 elections. In this thread I only focus on the President, and will talk of Chamisa later.
2/16 Whereas @chamisa had more votes than his party, showing the strength of his candidacy, @edmnangagwa had more than 20% less votes than his party @ZANUPF_Official. It was a strange result which calls for scrutiny of every province, district and ward in the party.
3/16 These differences in figures between party and presidential candidate, are striking discrepancies which speak to bigger issues which each of the parties needs to deal with before we begin the 2023 polls.
4/16 For ZANU, from the historical narrative leading to the 2018 elections, it shows the legacy of the Gamatox debacle and G40 factional fights have to be faced and addressed. They remain both a constant hazard& opportunity depending on how they are dealt with.
5/16 Mai Mujuru, the unfortunate face of Gamatox, the entire leadership that was wrongly chased out of the party&G40, showed in 2018 that they have an abiding potency which is capable of derailing the ZANU political train such that ED had to sneak past the finishing line.
6/16 Again, the party’s supporters have matured& now understand politics beyond the rhetorical announcements of its leadership.Thus they have the flexibility& independence to vote contrary to stated positions.
That is both progressive& dangerous. They now can CHOOSE.
7/16 They showed their displeasure at the chasing of their Gamatox and G40 leaders by revolting and thus come 2023, there is need to broker mutual agreement to rally all the splinter parts together for ZANU.
8/16 In its current frame ZANU is a relic that has been disembowelled and only the might of state power and media masks that fact. It's not @ZANUPF_Official as it was or should be. Violence, corruption, ideological indecisiveness etc
9/16The strident propaganda that the economy has rebounded& stands the party in good stead as an electoral choice is a dangerously naive narrative not be swallowed bones& all by the President. Too many things are still not working& the vaunted @MthuliNcube has been anticlimactic
10/16 Again, ED needs to tread carefully because the clique of hangers-on, who jumped onto his victorious camp from the other side post 2004, such as Mudha, July Moyo and their veiled ambitions, will feed him half-baked narratives of rosy pictures about the country.
11/16 As I have said already in Parliament, bread& butter issues have not been dealt with by the new administration& thus the ordinary man, not the fanatical ZANU PF supporter, has nothing much to credit the party. You don't show a hungry man an airport or a tarred road.
12/16 The outbursts from quarters such as War Veterans and teachers are manifestations of these economic challenges. This is simple logic apparent for anyone willing to face the truth and not play politics and preach propaganda. The best propaganda is to deliver.
13/16 The polarised atmosphere of our politics has meant each side has constantly taken position& refused to yield ground even in the face of failure. For the Govt, it is refusing to face the fact that the economy hasn’t exactly rebounded as the 100 Days cycles envisaged.
14/16 Worse-off come 2023 President ED is shorn of the kind of national goodwill he had in 2018. He stands as his own man, backed by his own works and immediate projects. He stands under no halo of sentimental light and give-him-a-chance mantras. He is standing in judgement!!
15/16 Going into the elections, saddled with a poor economy, a jobless youth demography and a disembowelled party, isn’t exactly comforting if the President is to recover the more than 20% votes that shunned only him and not the party the last time.
16/16 Work needs to be done to grow the body of believers and thus more votes. However, one of the first steps for progress, is for increased consciousness about the limitations of the clique of corrupt hawks, gangster Ministers and liers who are flocking around him.

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More from @TembaMliswa

8 Sep
One thing I will always be grateful about from former President Mugabe's time was the empowerment drive and ideals that he had. He allowed and facilitated for many of us to be empowered and have the kind of lives that we have today. It's unfortunate that he overstayed in power.
Despite those blemishes, his legacy has some positives. He drove the education agenda after independence that was a marvel across the continent. The infrastructure drive was also great for over 20 years and we were a model for many upcoming African countries.
As a politician I will always cherish the moments I spent interacting with him when I was Mash West Provincial Chairman. Later I will share those moments. Once a month we would meet for at least two hours. If you met Mugabe one to one you would grasp what kind of man he was.
Read 6 tweets
30 Aug
Midlands has it own issues. In the last election it performed badly because of people who believe they are close to @edmnangagwa. These include July Moyo, Owen Mudha and Mupereri. Thus Midlands is at its weakest because of these people.
They take people's mines, run violent gangs, machete gangs etc. In Shurugwi they have removed Deputy DDC Mupeta, District Chair Tau was removed,now the chairman is being removed. You don't unilaterally remove elected people. It's a mistake as the electorate becomes stubborn.
In that province Jorum Gumbo remains the only stable and resolute leader. Chairman McKenzie has been harassed also. Only that he is strong. However they are supporting Mukaratigwa who is fighting the young Chairman of Tongogara RDC, Njovana.
Read 5 tweets
30 Aug
Here are some political dynamics at play in @ZANUPF_Official-PF. In Manicaland, Chinamasa has teamed up with Monica to fight Oppah. Oppah's ally is the now late Minister Gwaradzimba. She was very strong, educated& a war vet. So Oppah doesn't have a strong ally anymore.
The same team has ganged up in Mash West with Chris Mutsvangwa now the most senior Politburo member. They have teamed with Ziyambi to have Chinamasa, the acting PC, to endorse an ally Abbiah Muchere as the acting Chairperson, following Ziyambi's elevation to the Politburo.
This sets them up perfectly so that in Manicaland Monica becomes the most senior female leader and in Mash West Mutsvangwa assumes the same position. This means in the future any party or national vacancy the requires a senior leader they are both best placed to occupy it.
Read 12 tweets
29 Aug
Now for Chris Mutsvangwa's political debacle. He visited the late General Edzai Chimonyo& told him that they should remove VP Chiwenga and Defence Minister Oppah Muchinguri because they were not good. He, Mutsvangwa would get the VP position as the leader of the Zezuru.
He would later replace ED. Unfortunately he was recorded and the chat reported to the leaders. That is why the guy has been so silent& stupid when he speaks. The accusation against @mdczimbabwe over the arresting of War Vets is an example of him seeking to court favour with ED.
The man is dead in the water, politically, and has been since his shellacking in Norton where he got 4000 votes against my near 17, 000. This was despite his huge support from the Chinese community whom he has ties with since his Ambassadorial posting there years back.
Read 10 tweets
28 Aug
A country is only built if a leader is surrounded by people who have critical thinking capacity& can interrogate his policies& actions for progress. Critiquing policies shouldn't be generally redacted& framed as personal attacks.
Now if a leader is surrounded by people whose expertise is all about gossip it's a problem. They can only give what they have and are. The result is that this will be seen in the actions and policies.
This war veterans issue has triggered a lot and revealed how they need to liberate themselves. Govt has failed to look after them, failing to deliver basic such as healthcare since 1980.
Read 6 tweets
23 Aug
Another dry, cut& paste job as @ZANUPF_Official has appointed Sandra Ndebele as their Bulawayo representative for Young Women in Economic Development. However, the abiding idea behind the move makes the whole thing pitiful. It’s a clear scramble for popularity& youth support.
The move exhibits a low regard for the Zimbabwean electorate’s mentality. People can now see beyond these platitudinous actions which seek to harness and transfer popularity from a different sphere into the party’s community of politics.
Beyond the few who are swayed by such dramas, people simply need answers to challenges in their lives. I was in Zambia two weeks before elections& the atmosphere on the ground was strange. They were very few posters of the then opposition @UPNDYouthLeague candidate, Hichilema.
Read 6 tweets

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