3 SPAC IPOs today, with all 3 featuring "anchor investors"
"Anchor investors" sound like something good, but they're not. SPACs with anchor investors should be avoided like the plague
They are of the lowest quality and face the highest risk of liquidation
1/
Anchor investors typically take down the entire issue, in return they get 25% of the sponsor's free shares
Here's why these SPACs should be avoided:
A) They come to the market on non-market terms. These deals only get done due to free promote "bribe".
2/
B) If sponsor fails to get market support for their IPO , what confidence do you have they'll execute on a business combination? Failure from the jump
C) Anchor investors immediately plow out of the stock, leading to lowest SPAC price. PIPEs are hard, esp when SPAC is $9.60
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D) Sponsor give-up to anchor investors makes for far less flexibility on the back-end. Sponsors typically need to give up a lot of their free shares to consummate a business combination. These SPACs are negotiating with their hands tied, and have a tremendous disadvantage
4/
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Advent breached the Forescout merger agreement and "The Court should not allow a private equity buyer to walk away from the binding deal it struck because it will no longer make a profit as quickly as it had hoped"
$FSCT 1/n
All deal conditions are satisfied.
Pandemic is explicitly carved-out as a potential MAE
1. Never go long a SPAC (aside from an arbitrage) 2. Never go long a merger deal that has a buyside vote 3. Never buy on new lows and never sell / short on new highs 4. Never short a story stock unless the story (and chart) has broken
5. Never ever get emotional about a stock 6. Never buy preferred shares (unless for an arb / liquidation) 7. Liquidations will always take twice as long and proceeds will be less than expected 8. Never sell a stock to "take profits". Why bench your best player, coach?
9. Never buy a stock based off a sell-side reco 10. The more complex the DCF, the worse the returns 11. Keep each short <2%. Life's too short (pun intended) to be constantly stressed af 12. No one knows anything. Even the best are wrong often.