E-commerce in Africa is growing & evolving, however, it’s taking place in different forms & channels; a significant amount of transactions are taking place 'informally' on digital channels such as Instagram, Whatsapp, Facebook, Websites, SMS, Voice calls, etc. Via @AfridigestHQ
“I believe e-commerce is just in its first iteration and I, therefore, hold the view that the question’s assumptions are mistaken. E-commerce is inevitable but its characteristics in Africa will look quite different than that of the US or Asia.”
The lack of e-commerce penetration in Africa is partly due to how it is defined. WhatsApp, Twitter, and Facebook (including Instagram) sales allow for the more accessible informal market to flourish. This is where many items in Africa are bought and sold
I think we first need to define what exactly e-commerce is, especially in the African context. A lot of sales are happening online but they might be end-to-end. Many people initiate the purchase process online and close the transaction offline (collection and payment).
These themes are some of the fundamental building blocks of Africa’s digital economy - the offline informal economy. A reminder to founders/builders/teams and startups, this is what you are up against. There is no circumventing the nature of the informal economy
Especially now, post COVID 19 + economic depression, a time that resembles the post SAP 90s, notice how informal economy employment grew.
My thesis is the same is happening now. People are going back to basics as money flows tighten
I was fortunate to work under Niti Bhan as my boss and mentor from 2013 - 2019. Niti pretty much covered the fundamentals of Africa’s informal prepaid economy (and global developing countries/emerging markets)
1. more drivers are considering alternatives such as LPG Pro-gas which retails ~50% vs petrol (70kes vs 129kes). Some drivers have modified vehicles to cater for proGas compatible engines
2. Some Uber drivers are now considering hybrid ( electric & fuel) vehicles such as Honda Insight and Toyota Prius
3. Some taxi drivers have shifted to fully electric vehicles for example Nissan Nopia
It seems Nigeria 🇳🇬 is an entire different market from Kenya 🇰🇪 and East Africa b/c of Telcos/MNO/mobile money led digital financial services in East Africa in the last decade/1
We have always known that Nigeria 🇳🇬 was / is a Bank 🏦 led market, versus Kenya 🇰🇪 East Africa where Telcos unbundled some financial services from Banks since 2007
On this side of the continent, payments already dominated by non-bank players , but the real impact of Telcos led digital finance was spurring banks 🏦 into adapting by opening up digital channels /3
⚠️ African Fintech VCs remind me of Crypto Bros, bag holders who will say anything and everything to pump their 💰 bags to the next greater fool.
East Africa FINTECH
Eversend user = Chipper cash user = Mpesa user = Opay user = Tala user = Branch user = X
Let’s at least have an honest conversation about user metrics: unique users, retention, repeat usage before any meaningful valuations
My theory is
- users are finicky/ no loyalty
- banks and MNOs are playing the Fintech game too
- there’s a cap on how much can be extracted from users
- adding more $$ into user wallets is # 1problem
- supposed size of ‘middle class’ is overstated
- Nigeria 🇳🇬 is not Africa
PayPal will now allow its users in the U.K. to buy, sell, and hold Cryptocurrencies starting next week supporting 4 coins: Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH, Lite coin LTC and Bitcoin Cash BCH theblockcrypto.com/post/115284/pa…
This is relevant to East Africa for 2 reasons:
1) Mpesa+PayPal partnership. If Kenya 🇰🇪 allows crypto, this is one avenue for Mpesa to open up Cryptocurrencies to its customer base w/out the hassle of technical implementation
2) this model by PayPal is the model likely followed by African Fintechs when opening up investment/trading products to their customer base for example Chipper cash. I tweeted on it here
The state of Crypto In Africa for startups and business can be summarized in this one chart where REGULATION is the most significant event
Why?
Right now (pre regulation) the only models that seem to work are peer to peer marketplace models like Paxful, Binance P2P, localcryptos, Localbitcoins and other startups that have incorporated P2P models
These models work b/c the company, like Paxful, need not have a bank account to intermediate trades. Crypto Trades are between peers and fiat settlement transfers for such are between peers/ individual accounts