Here's how it'll go: Senate will vote on the latest revised voting rights act this month. It'll fail 50-50 by design. Biden will then use it as a rallying cry and apply major pressure on Manchin and Sinema to exempt it from the filibuster. Biden should win that fight eventually.
Keep in mind that while Biden is super savvy (and the President), and Manchin and Sinema are lightweights, Biden will still need us to apply pressure to them. Call, write, etc.

The "Manchin and Sinema will never cave" defeatists will need to shut up and let us fight and win.
Keep in mind that the midterms are still more than a year away. This is a long term play, not some panic move. It's more important to succeed than it is to rush it.
The doomsday pundits have spent all year yelling "We're all dead if voting rights legislation doesn't pass by this time tomorrow" and they've been proven wrong the whole time. You have to ignore those clowns; they're only trying to scare you for retweets and page views and such.
You also have to ignore the pundits who keep insisting that the Democrats are "caving over nothing" by continuing to revise the voting rights legislation. Stacey Abrams and Marc Elias both say the latest revision is good. No one is "caving" on anything here.
Conspiracy theories won't help one bit either. You can waste all day yelling "Manchin and the Koch Brothers" but that won't change a damn thing. That's not how you place pressure on anyone.

Fight like you're going to win. Don't whine like you're going to lose.
Biden keeps proving that once he's got his ducks lined up on something, he goes balls to the wall. He's going to end up making a HUGE push to get voting rights passed – and it'll be a winning strategy. Your job will be to support him, not to whine and spin defeatist nonsense.

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More from @PalmerReport

16 Sep
In spite of sensationalist headlines, January 6th wasn’t a “test run” for anything. It was a one off, based on the element of surprise and Trump still having control of federal law enforcement, and it still failed miserably. Just as January 20th was non event, so will Sept 18th.
That doesn’t mean we can just ignore Sept 18th. Whenever right wingers threaten to gear up for something, the government must always meet them with much stronger forces, so the right wingers will cower like the snowflakes they are. Which is what the government is going to do.
The point is, YOU shouldn’t cower. Spend all day on Sept 18th making fun of these right wingers for being the whiny fragile losers that they are. Do NOT assign them imaginary magical powers to overthrow the government; that only gives them leverage that they don’t otherwise have.
Read 5 tweets
15 Sep
As a liberal activist, your ONLY message today should be “Democrats won in a blowout because they’re great.” That’s it. That’s the message. That’s how you fire up the liberal base. It’s how you get people in the middle interested in voting Democrat next time. It’s that simple.
Don’t get lost in the weeds by lamenting about how the recall election shouldn’t even have happened, or how it could have succeeded if things had gone a certain way. None of that messaging is ever effective in rallying or attracting anyone to your cause.
You want your side to be seen as winners. It’s what attracts more volunteers, donors, activists, and voters. Winning is contagious.

No one wants to fight hard for, or even bother voting for, what they’re being told is a lost cause anyway or a hollow victory.
Read 4 tweets
15 Sep
Everyone on CNN and MSNBC hopes to remain on the air just by being insightful. But some of them eventually realize it’s not going to happen, so they resort to saying absurd things to try to stir up enough ratings to keep their job that way. It explains Chuck Todd and many others.
Kasie Hunt didn’t work out at MSNBC. Now she’s got a second (and likely last) chance at CNN. Instead of trying to be insightful and hoping it’s enough, she’s skipping straight to saying absurd things to stir up controversy, in the hope people will hate-watch her.
It’s doubtful any political analyst truly WANTS to be hate-watched, ratioed, only relevant due to being seen as a punchline, etc.

But if and when you realize it’s the only thing that’ll keep you on TV, it’s either humiliate yourself, or give up on your TV dreams altogether.
Read 13 tweets
15 Sep
MSNBC can't scare viewers into staying tuned in by suggesting Newsom might lose tonight, since most viewers know he's very likely to win. So instead MSNBC is trying to scare viewers by suddenly suggesting... Wisconsin might be overturned? Cable news will do anything for ratings.
If Newson were ahead in the polls by 5 points, every MSNBC segment tonight would be based on the narrative that he's likely to lose.

Instead he's ahead in the polls by 15 points, so the recall race is getting about two minutes per hour of coverage tonight.
Which is a shame, because there's a huge story here. If Newsom does win in a blowout, it'll mean the "Resistance" (or whatever we call ourselves these days) can still mobilize and dominate in elections – including Virginia this November, and in the midterms in 2022.
Read 6 tweets
14 Sep
It would have been literally impossible for Mike Pence to magically overturn the election results even if he wanted to. So no, we were not one Dan Quayle phone call away from Trump magically remaining in power forever. Can we stop with this sensationalistic nonsense already?
January 6th had literally zero chance of magically keeping Trump in power, no matter how it might have played out. The notion that he almost magically “pulled it off” it’s a child’s fairy tale invented by the media to boost ratings and infantilize viewers.
The Capitol attack cost Trump his social media presence, his financial prospects, and his political future. It destroyed him. What’s more, there was no other possible outcome. Trump threw his life away that day, in the zero/chance hope of getting back what he’d lost.
Read 7 tweets
14 Sep
My final prediction is that Gavin Newsom will win the recall election by double digits. All of you in California need to get out there and vote right now, and the rest of you need to call or text everyone you know in California and tell them to go vote today, and prove me right!
And no, it doesn't matter that Larry Elder is vowing to "contest" the results. We already saw in 2020 that this strategy didn't get Trump anywhere.
For that matter, when the Republicans push the "rigged election" narrative, it just convinces their own base that there's no point in turning out next time, because they're going to lose no matter what. So let them push that narrative if they really want to. It only helps us.
Read 4 tweets

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