COST OF A VACCINE: ~$30 USD

COST OF A SYMPTOMATIC COVID-19 CASE: ~$3,500 USD
Source for this estimate:healthaffairs.org/doi/full/10.13…

To be clear, this is very uncertain, but even at the lower bound of costs for largely asymptomatic young people, vaccines are cheaper than infections in the US
If 50% of all infections are fully asymptomatic, and most infections are in young people, the median cost of a COVID-19 infection might be as low as $100-$200 USD, which is still many times the cost of a vaccine 🤷‍♂️
Worth noting that this is also just the DIRECT medical cost (i.e. medications, hospital etc), if you included the INDIRECT costs of infections (time off work, social upheaval etc) infections would be even more expensive

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More from @GidMK

18 Sep
"There's enough behind ivermectin for COVID-19 that there must be something there"

This is a point that I find fascinating 🧵
See, thing is, most of the studies that supported the idea that there is a large benefit for ivermectin appear to be either fraudulent or so poorly conducted that they might as well be fake
On the other hand, the only large, well conducted trials seem to find either no benefit or at best quite a modest one
Read 6 tweets
14 Sep
My favourite wildly silly headline of the week (maybe the month)

No, Botox probably isn't protecting people from COVID-19
The study is here, and it's literally just a retrospective analysis of about 200 people who got Botox for a variety of things and were then asked if they had symptoms consistent with COVID-19 ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
I mean...literally. That's the whole study
Read 5 tweets
13 Sep
It's amazing how stuff like this gets created and spread. This is absolute nonsense, but unless you know quite a bit it's hard to understand why
The designation of "ivermectin" vs "non-ivermectin" countries is based on Mass Drug Administration campaigns (MDAs), which are used in Africa to combat endemic parasitic diseases
Those MDAs are aimed at eliminating river blindness, and are amazingly effective. They use (among other things) 1/2/4-yearly doses of ivermectin which are given to a large % of the countries in question
Read 9 tweets
13 Sep
This preprint looking at the risk of vaccine-related side-effects vs COVID-19 infections for children has received a lot of attention, and people have been asking my opinions on it. So, a few thoughts 1/n
2/n The preprint itself is pretty simple - comparing the calculated risk per million vaccines of having a VAERS report consistent with myo/pericarditis (CAE) with the number of COVID hospitalizations per 100,000 children aged 12-17
3/n The authors found that the rate of VAERS reports consistent with myocarditis was higher than the average rate of COVID hospitalizations per 100,000 children in a population where there was a reasonably high current prevalence of COVID-19
Read 19 tweets
12 Sep
Can't wait until the pandemic is over and I have to fly 24 hours across the world to pin up a poster and sleep my way through 3 days of presentations again
I kid, conferences are of course immensely important networking opportunities without which I would never have gotten drunk at 2am while eating tteokbokki in Seoul, or gone whiskey-tasting in Dublin
I still have notes from both of those conferences, and while unintelligible they are a great reminder of some wonderful collegiate hangovers with my peers
Read 4 tweets
10 Sep
This graphic has been passed around a lot by the ivermectin crowd, so I thought I'd very briefly explain why it's quite clearly incorrect 1/10
2/10 The graphic is based on this preprint on medrxiv, which appears to make several mistakes that lead to a lack of much meaning in the final outcomes of the analysis
3/10 The basic idea of the paper is to split countries up by their use of ivermectin to treat river blindness, and then compare them based on COVID-19 deaths

There are two main issues with this
Read 13 tweets

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