(1/5) A few important notes on #AMC 1- The bull trend is being tested but not broken. A few more days on this trend and we cross a major resistance 2- Even if price drops bellow it nothing changes. The main strategy of buy and hold still applies. It only delays MOASS a little
(2/5) 3- The late day price action was an option game to collect premiums & had nothing to do with shorts & short interest but MMs 4- Volume is dry and slight buying pressure moves the price up because ape dont sell 5- Day traders have been kept out and that is a very good thing
(3/5) 6- AMC shares are with diamond hands now. literary no one wants to sell after waiting for months. 7- Take the shares of diamond hands out of the float & the "official" short interest % of float will be above 200%. Unofficial % is much higher
(4/5) 8- Hedggies ideally wanted to deal with one of GME & AMC at a time but the movements have been successfully coupled. This is the best incident for both. 9- The limited share availability to short trend is in our favor and correlated to forthcoming price action.
(5/5) 10- Average age (day) for shares on loan is strongly correlated with the forthcoming price action. This also has an interaction with short share availability trend. The average age of shares on loan is at the highest point so far while price lagging.
(6/6) 11- the difference between short interest and shares on loan has never been so narrow (7m). They either used them to cover FTDs or returned them to reduce utilization. If they start borrowing again to short the utilization goes up significantly. they are trapped.
Please share. Many apes are in the dark and perplexed about the price action. I always try to make content accessible so everyone can understand. Cheers!
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As a data analyst #AMC ape it was my duty to do my part: The true value of current shares including synthetic shares falls within this range: ~1.5B to ~5.5B with 99% confidence (1% chance the true number falls outside this range). See thread below for data and method. (1/13)
I extrapolated the number of #AMC synthetic shares using advanced statistical software based on the recent SAY shareholder vote and 3 indicators: Sample size, variability in population, & confidence level. (2/13)
Assumptions: a) 63,000 retail investors voted (not randomized so it might be biased & we should control for that- e.g. people with more shares had more tendency to vote).
b) 68,000,000 shares voted for Timothy B (first question)
c) 4,100,000 retail investors exist (3/13)