Why would US risk sharing nuclear technology with Australia, include U.K. in it, ruffle feathers of the EU, while potentially making China and Russia nervous?
Fabricate a crisis?
Create an enemy?
Try to force its hand? /1
Fabricate a crisis?
Create an enemy?
Try to force its hand? /1
Considering the fact that nuclear submarines are one of the last line of defence/counter attack in a total nuclear war. This is an expensive optic. (IMHO)
There is more involved, but for now US has made the first very public, very graceless, and very aggressive move. Why? /2
There is more involved, but for now US has made the first very public, very graceless, and very aggressive move. Why? /2
The EU (arguably US’s main ally) has created a “collaborate not compete” policy with China.
It’s stance also differs to US on Russia (esp. Nordstream pipeline).
EU is not ideologically aligned with US despite being allies on many things like security and social democracy. /3
It’s stance also differs to US on Russia (esp. Nordstream pipeline).
EU is not ideologically aligned with US despite being allies on many things like security and social democracy. /3
US hasn’t been able to convince the EU otherwise on these issues.
AUKUS isn’t a partnership, it is US using two available pawns (U.K. & AU) to attempt to contain China.
The current world is becoming bipolar, if not multipolar and US is waking up to this. /4
AUKUS isn’t a partnership, it is US using two available pawns (U.K. & AU) to attempt to contain China.
The current world is becoming bipolar, if not multipolar and US is waking up to this. /4
Why would US take this step?
Fabricate China as world enemy (the new Soviet Union) attempt to hamper its economic development before it reaches a point where US can do nothing to stop it. /5
Fabricate China as world enemy (the new Soviet Union) attempt to hamper its economic development before it reaches a point where US can do nothing to stop it. /5
Let me rephrase: US needs to stop or slow Chinese economic development before it is too late for the US.
Imagine a country with 1.4 billion citizens and imagine the world’s biggest power with a trade deficit of $300 billion per year to that country. /6
Imagine a country with 1.4 billion citizens and imagine the world’s biggest power with a trade deficit of $300 billion per year to that country. /6
Approx one trillion US$ move every 3-4 years from US to China and this is growing.
Add to this China’s open ambition of its perceived ‘rightful primacy’ in the world, and US not wanting to lose its hegemony.
Perhaps one of the last few strategic moves of a empire? /7
Add to this China’s open ambition of its perceived ‘rightful primacy’ in the world, and US not wanting to lose its hegemony.
Perhaps one of the last few strategic moves of a empire? /7
One that is not without great risks
Crafting the new world order carries great risks especially if your game is zero sum
Can US afford to? /8
Crafting the new world order carries great risks especially if your game is zero sum
Can US afford to? /8
Post WW1, US could, now I am not so sure…
Why?
Because now there is a third player: the EU, unlikely to blindly join in this crusade, especially if not treated as an equal partner.
It’s border with Russia means that it cannot risk antagonism/military escalation or war. /9
Why?
Because now there is a third player: the EU, unlikely to blindly join in this crusade, especially if not treated as an equal partner.
It’s border with Russia means that it cannot risk antagonism/military escalation or war. /9
Does the EU take the role of “broker” between sides?
Does the EU pick one over the other?
Or will there be a three-way race between three distinct world powers geopolitically?
If anything this latest US move will force the EU’s decision on whether to play or spectate. /End
Does the EU pick one over the other?
Or will there be a three-way race between three distinct world powers geopolitically?
If anything this latest US move will force the EU’s decision on whether to play or spectate. /End
PS: About UK’s role, just as much as I mention in the thread, it’s an available pawn.
Outside the EU, it has no choice but follow when US beckons. Wait till China exerts it’s power on U.K…
Outside the EU, it has no choice but follow when US beckons. Wait till China exerts it’s power on U.K…
P.P.S: Perhaps the EU might not spectate this time….
(For sure, somebody reads my long threads🤞)
(For sure, somebody reads my long threads🤞)
https://twitter.com/amrakunj/status/1438965219481509893
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