You will all be reading about the great gas price spike, fertiliser companies stopping production, and energy companies going bust. A quick THREAD on #GasPrice
First, what's going on? 4 UK nukes are unexpectedly off, we've had one of the least windy summers in 60 years, and the UK's biggest interconnector (to France) caught fire last week. That means scarcity in clean electricity, and more demand for gas power. Events, dear boy!
Meanwhile, higher than anticipated demand in Asia means gas that's shipped in (LNG) isn't coming to the UK, and Gazprom isn't supplying as much gas to Europe as normal, so storage which could buffer bills is low.

Not a good situation, but as Douglas Adams would say, DON'T PANIC!
Incidentally all my comms friends are shouting at me that saying DON'T PANIC actually makes people panic. (But really you shouldn't panic about energy or fertiliser.)
What can we actually do about it? Well, it's hard to fix long-term problems in the short term, and so bills will go up for a bit. But we can make this a blip - if we act now. Here's the 3 point plan for unhooking the UK from fossil fuel volatility:
1: Reinvent retrofit: we can cut our heat demand by ~40% and get 11m homes to net zero by investing in the @EnergiesprongUK approach to retrofits. These homes would use no gas at all. Here's the detail: green-alliance.org.uk/resources/rein…
2: Clean Heat Grants: subsidy for efficiency and heat pumps for the other 16m UK homes, if designed to cut the cost of installation, would be a spectacularly sensible CSR announcement. @ClemCowton just better deliver on her £5,500 retrofit promise!
3: get out of (unabated) gas power by 2035: @NationalGridESO and @theCCCuk say we can. Our friends at @EmberClimate summarised how here: ember-climate.org/project/the-uk…
We can start all this right now, and over the next decade, we would stop having to worry about gas competition with east Asia, the influence of Russia over our bills, and also - small thing here - catastrophic climate change! END

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More from @dustin_benton

1 Sep
A 'supply ourselves' consumption frame is the wrong one for a declining oil/gas resource. Instead, we should be asking what we pay to extend UK oil/gas production, and whether it's worth it. A short thread:
OGCS's latest publication makes it look like new oil/gas extraction magically fits into carbon budgets (left image). This is misleading. Around half of gas use requires CCS by 2035 (right image), even though total use declines by close to half over this period.
Who pays for this CCS? The polluter should pay - but UK oil/gas extraction is getting tax rebates, never mind paying for the cost of pollution. The taxpayer is also on the hook for £24bn of decommissioning cost already. news.sky.com/story/revealed…
Read 4 tweets
31 Aug
This is the key problem with offsets. Residual emissions mean planting a forest the size of Australia to keep below 1.5c, and we don't have a spare Australia sitting around. If we use offsets for emissions we could instead cut, we'll need even _more_ land.
Now don't get me wrong - I'm totally up for planting an Australia (or India) worth of biodiverse forest, and having credits money pay for it. The problem is where.

That's why we need an offsets regulator, as proposed here: green-alliance.org.uk/The_flight_pat…
Incidentally, we have a good idea where to prioritise for protecting nature and carbon - the bits in red below. nature.com/articles/s4155…
Read 7 tweets
15 Jul
The National Food Strategy is out! It's big, it's bold. Want to fix the nation's health, restore nature, and stop climate change? Look no further: nationalfoodstrategy.org
You'll be hearing the headlines but I want to tell some of the story about nature and climate - alongside health, this is the biggest impact of the food system. Why? Land: we use 70% of the land area of the UK, and about the same area overseas to feed ourselves.
Here's how we turn the land use use for food into the calories we eat - plants make up 2/3 of our calories but use just 15% of the land needed to feed us.
Read 8 tweets

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