Thread by @RRHElections

First calls of the night:

LPC HOLD St. John's South-Mount Pearl and Avalon, both in Newfoundland. #Elxn44 rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

Labrador: Liberal HOLD. #exln44

Has usually been an LPC seat but was potentially competitive.

A généralement, elle a été une circonscription LPC, mais c'était potentiellement compétitive.

Beauséjour: Lib HOLD
Tobique-Mactaquac: CPC HOLD
Cardigan: Lib HOLD
Acadie-Bathurst: Lib HOLD
West Nova: CPC HOLD

No suprises. West Nova was close in 2019. #Elxn44
Pas de surprises. Nouvelle-Ouest était compétitive en 2019.

rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

South Shore-St. Margaret's has been called for the CPC. CPC GAIN. LPC won this riding by 14% in 2019.

Rive-Sud-St. Margaret's a été convoquée pour le PCC. GAIN DE PCC. PLC a gagné de 14% en 2019.

Follow here: rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

Liberals have officially held 5 of their 6 seats in Newfoundland. CPC leads in 1 Liberal seat. Liberals lead in 1 NDP seat. #Elxn44 rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

The Globe & Mail has called Cumberland-Colchester for the CPC. CPC GAIN, their second one in Nova Scotia.

LPC is on track to hold 7 Nova Scotia seats. CPC has won 3 and leads narrowly in LPC-held Sydney-Victoria, the final question mark. #Elxn44 rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

Coast of Bays: CPC GAIN
Charlottetown: Lib HOLD
Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe: Lib HOLD
New Brunswick Southwest: CPC HOLD
Madawaska-Restigouche: Lib HOLD
#Elxn44
All here: rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

Liberals have held all 4 ridings on Prince Edward Island.

PLC a gagné les 4 circonscriptions de l'Île-du-Prince-Édouard. #Elxn44 rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

St. John's East called for the Liberals, although NDP is not conceding. Liberal GAIN from NDP. #Elxn44

St. John's-Est a réclamé le PLC bien que le NPD ne concède pas. Libéral GAIN du NPD.

rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

Many polls are still out, but the Globe & Mail has called Miramichi-Grand Lake, NB for the CPC. CPC GAIN of a classic marginal riding. #Elxn44

On a appelé Miramichi-Grand Lake, NB pour le PCC. PCC GAIN d'une circonscription marginale. rhelections.com/index.php/2021…

Halifax: Liberal HOLD

The only uncalled riding in Atlantic Canada is Fredericton, an LPC seat where CPC narrowly leads. So far, CPC +4, LPC -3, NDP -1. #Elxn44

Notably, the CBC has not called two ridings that others have called as CPC pickups: Miramichi-Grand Lake, NB and Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame, NL. There are unknown #'s of mail ballots, but so far, most outlets are making calls in close ridings. rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

First calls from Central Canada coming in:

Mégantic—L'Érable, QC: CPC HOLD
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, QC: Lib HOLD
Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman, MB: CPC HOLD

No surprises, although Gaspésie is a Lib-BQ marginal. #Elxn44

Parry Sound-Muskoka: CPC HOLD
Bécancour-Nicolet-Saure: BQ HOLD
#Elxn44
rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

Enough (safe) ridings have been called recently that it's been hard to keep up! No gains outside of Atlantic Canada so far.

Beuce is a CPC HOLD. Maxime Bernier, the leader of the PPC, has again failed to win his home seat. PPC will likely be shut out. #Elxn44

Beuce: CPC HOLD. Maxime Bernier, le leader du PPC, n'a pas pu gagner sa circonscription. PPC sera probablement exclu.
rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

27 ridings have been called in Quebec. All are holds.

27 circonscriptions ont été appelées au Québec, une société distincte. Pas de changement. #Elxn44

Peterborough-Kawartha is a CPC GAIN. First flip in Ontario for either party comes near O'Toole's home seat. #Elxn44 rrhelections.com/index.php/2021…

Bay of Quinte is also a CPC GAIN in Eastern Ontario.
Anglophone Canada east of Toronto has been very good for the CPC. Everything west of Toronto...not so much. #Elxn44

Markham-Unionville is a Liberal GAIN from the CPC in the Greater Toronto Area.

First official Liberal gain of the evening, but they lead in a handful more and could take from all 3 other major parties. #Elxn44

Kitchener-Conestoga is a CPC GAIN from the Liberals.

Ontario so far: CPC +1, LPC -1.

No other changes east of New Brunswick. #Elxn44

More flips:

Steveston-Richmond East, BC: Lib GAIN from CPC
Thunder Bay-Rainy River, BC: Lib GAIN from CPC
Kitchener Centre, BC: Grn GAIN from Lib

Ontario is now Green +1, Lib -1, CPC and NDP even. #elxn44vote

Port Moody-Coquitlam is an NDP GAIN from the CPC. Second loss for Tories in British Columbia and they trail in 2 more--enough to wipe out their Atlantic gains.

First NDP gain called anywhere tonight, but they're likely to grab a couple more. #Elxn44

Calgary Skyview and Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill (Greater Toronto) are both LPC GAIN from CPC.

This is the first loss for the CPC in Alberta, and they may lose up to 2 more. #Elxn44

Cloverdale-Langley City is an LPC GAIN from CPC.

So far British Columbia is LPC +2, NDP +1, CPC -3.

If all incomplete results hold, it will be LPC +2, NDP +2, CPC -3, Green -1. #Elxn44

Berthier-Maskinongé is an NDP GAIN from the Bloc.

NDP is back to 2 seats in Quebec. They only won 1 last time, but 16 in 2015 and 59 (!!) in the "Orange Wave" of 2011. #Elxn44

*Disclaimer*: Calls in this thread are by The @globeandmail, Canada's newspaper of record--so if anything is premature, let them know! Analysis beyond calls is by us. #Elxn44

Beauport-Limoilou is a BQ HOLD, per G&M. One of two BQ-CPC marginals tonight--the other is Trois-Rivereres, where the LPC is also in the running, and which is the CPC's only remaining hope to add a seat in Quebec. #Elxn44

Edmonton Griesbach is an NDP GAIN from CPC, per the G&M.

Alberta is now LPC +1, NDP +1, CPC -2, all in urban Calgary and Edmonton. There's one more three-way contest in Edmonton Centre. The CPC won the other 30 seats. #Elxn44

We're wrapping up for tonight. If all current results hold, the CPC will finish....exactly where it started!

+4 in Atlantic Canada
+1 in Quebec
+1 in Ontario
No change in MB/SK
-3 in Alberta
-3 in British Columbia.

Good night/Bon nuit! #Elxn44