It’s hard to know where to begin with this one & it’s painful to have to link to it & risk spreading it around even more but here are a few points on this op-ed, including how it elides whose taxes are actually going up and ignores whose are going down: bit.ly/3EAm5Oa
“the small business deduction would be capped”: at what level? It doesn’t say. Maybe at $10,000? No, it’s capped at $500,000. This means that the joint filers with such income up to $2.5 million still get the full deduction. I wonder why they left that out.
“Estate taxes would be raised”: Ah, yes the tax that only morons pay after three decades of a campaign by some of the wealthiest families in the country on behalf of their trust-fund kids.
How would the bill change the estate tax? It would “lower” the tax-free exemption to just over $6 million per person or $12 million per couple. “Some may be forced to liquidate to pay it.” Pinocchio alert.
Apparently, paying a capital gains tax rate of ten percentage points below the comparable rate on salaries is going to make it harder for rich business owners “to give back to communities.” It may have been a good idea to read the bill about where the money is going.
The tax $s are going towards a landmark reduction in child poverty, to help working-class kids go to college, and making it more affordable for people to go to the doctor. Helping to pay for this is something to be proud of, not whine about.
And that 3 percent surtax – how is that going to affect “small” businesses? It kicks in at gross incomes above $5 million. Surprise, the piece does not mention that.
Raising taxes on the top sliver of the richest people in the country is popular and overdue. This is why this op-ed fails to mention that 97 percent of small business owners would not be touched by the income changes on the deduction, various rates, etc.
This is because most small businesses are “small.” Because they are small, three million small business owners will receive a tax cut from the expanded Child Tax Credit. Somehow, the NFIB failed to mention that too. End (though there's lots more there).
Apologies, I meant to link to this piece to explain the “morons” reference (and forgot the quote marks). This is how a top Trump adviser described the state of the estate tax: nyti.ms/3lOjuYe
The point is that very few people pay the estate tax – fewer than I in 1,000 estates – and it is not a concern of “small” businesses or family farmers:
It is a tax, however, that the wealthiest heirs in the country should pay but often do not because it is riddled with loopholes as Gary Cohn alludes to. This is an area the House should have done more, not less.
Moreover, keep in mind that the wealthiest people in the country do not pay tax on much of their income when they are alive and their income tax liability is erased at death – this means that lost of money goes untaxed from generation to generation.
It would be far more fair at least for the wealthiest people to pay the income tax they’ve accrued at death (see Biden proposal) and then have the wealthiest heirs pay taxes on their windfalls – just like many middle-class people do on their paychecks.
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Here’s a tax policy must-read from two top economists, @gregleiserson of CEA and @dannyyagan of OMB: they find, conservatively, that the wealthiest 400 families paid an average income tax rate of just 8.2% over 2010-2018 bit.ly/39vMoXv
This is timely given the stage of the current debate. The House bill includes important provisions that would boost this rate some, but leaves out the most important provision (on step-up which I’ll discuss later in this thread)
And back to their op-ed: here’s the NFIB on the economic policy response to the pandemic: “Washington’s response has often made it harder.” It seems they missed this @greg_ip piece in WSJ: “How the U.S. Nailed the Economic Response to Covid-19”: on.wsj.com/2ZcXrTr
Given that on these small business PPP “loans”: “More than 90% of the jobs at firms that received PPP loans would have been preserved without the program” – one would perhaps see some gratitude from the NFIB but, no
Somehow the NFIB fails to even mention how many of its members received a substantial loan – read grant – as part of this policy response that made it “harder.”
Dusting off this paper from @dashching and me from the last time capital gains taxes were hotly debated. More to follow but here’s a quick thread on some of the still applicable content.
As top tax economist Joel Slemrod summed it up during the Bush tax cut debate: “there is no evidence that links aggregate economic performance to capital gains tax rates.”
And from another top tax economist, @lenburman, who wrote the book on capital gains: “Virtually every individual income tax shelter is devoted to converting fully taxed income into capital gains.”
Stars are aligning to rebuild the IRS & address tax gap. Here’s our take on need for multi-year discretionary cap adjustment, & a multiyear mandatory funding stream to help pay for recovery legislation– to be combined with increased reporting requirements bit.ly/3dSjLW4
The depleted state of the IRS is well-known. The time has come to do something about it. Enforcement funding has been cut sharply over the last decade:
The ranks of the most sophisticated auditors have been cut by 39 percent causing audits of very high-income people to plummet:
Conservative groups are likely going to pump out pieces that argue that the corporate tax rate increase is going to hurt the recovery & corporate lobbyists are going to pounce on these.
A few respectful requests for tax reporters and other debate participants to probe on these.
1.Where’s the evidence?
We just ran an experiment. The corporate tax rate was cut deeply. Where is the evidence it had any discernible economic benefit to go along with the scope and cost of the change? How do they explain this chart?:
For that matter, where is the evidence that U.S. multinationals had any problem competing before the 2017 tax cut? See after-tax profits as a share of GDP or how U.S. multinationals stacked up against peers before the tax cut. Where was the competitiveness problem?
President Biden’s #AmericanJobsPlan will make the economy stronger & the tax code fairer by raising the corporate tax rate & limiting the ability of corporations to shift profits & investments overseas and using the revenue to finance a 21st century infrastructure.
Thread
Raising taxes on corporate profits by partially reversing the 2017 tax cuts won’t hurt the economy & the investments they finance will strengthen it and broaden opportunity. The costly 2017 law slashed the corporate tax rate to 21% w/little discernible effect on the economy.
Here’s the evidence: @JasonFurman told Ways & Means in Feb 2020: “GDP growth did not increase following the 2017 tax law”