Dusting off this paper from @dashching and me from the last time capital gains taxes were hotly debated. More to follow but here’s a quick thread on some of the still applicable content.

bit.ly/3dLHusw
As top tax economist Joel Slemrod summed it up during the Bush tax cut debate: “there is no evidence that links aggregate economic performance to capital gains tax rates.”
And from another top tax economist, @lenburman, who wrote the book on capital gains: “Virtually every individual income tax shelter is devoted to converting fully taxed income into capital gains.”
When the Bush tax cuts lowered the century long practice of taxing dividends at ordinary rates, what happened?: Danny Yagan, another top economist, found: it “caused zero change in corporate investment and employee compensation”
I would respectfully suggest that tax reporters dig into some of this research and talk to some of these top economists before simply quoting the usual cast of supply-siders who will say the world is going to end, because, hmm, it won’t.
Also, to repeat from yesterday, stories on this topic should convey a clear picture of the current situation. The wealthiest people in the country do not pay taxes on a major source of their income each year and when they do they pay at a discount.
& currently, a lifetime of income tax liability can be erased when wealthy people die. President Biden is expected to end this erasure & propose that wealthy people pay at the same rates as others when they pay – But, he is leaving in place deferral which is a huge tax advantage
How huge? Open this paper and search “Warren Buffett” and “Steve Jobs”
End

bit.ly/2QiXY2n

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More from @ChuckCBPP

13 Apr
Stars are aligning to rebuild the IRS & address tax gap. Here’s our take on need for multi-year discretionary cap adjustment, & a multiyear mandatory funding stream to help pay for recovery legislation– to be combined with increased reporting requirements
bit.ly/3dSjLW4
The depleted state of the IRS is well-known. The time has come to do something about it. Enforcement funding has been cut sharply over the last decade:
The ranks of the most sophisticated auditors have been cut by 39 percent causing audits of very high-income people to plummet:
Read 15 tweets
1 Apr
Conservative groups are likely going to pump out pieces that argue that the corporate tax rate increase is going to hurt the recovery & corporate lobbyists are going to pounce on these.
A few respectful requests for tax reporters and other debate participants to probe on these.
1.Where’s the evidence?

We just ran an experiment. The corporate tax rate was cut deeply. Where is the evidence it had any discernible economic benefit to go along with the scope and cost of the change? How do they explain this chart?:
For that matter, where is the evidence that U.S. multinationals had any problem competing before the 2017 tax cut? See after-tax profits as a share of GDP or how U.S. multinationals stacked up against peers before the tax cut. Where was the competitiveness problem?
Read 6 tweets
31 Mar
President Biden’s #AmericanJobsPlan will make the economy stronger & the tax code fairer by raising the corporate tax rate & limiting the ability of corporations to shift profits & investments overseas and using the revenue to finance a 21st century infrastructure.

Thread
Raising taxes on corporate profits by partially reversing the 2017 tax cuts won’t hurt the economy & the investments they finance will strengthen it and broaden opportunity. The costly 2017 law slashed the corporate tax rate to 21% w/little discernible effect on the economy.
Here’s the evidence: @JasonFurman told Ways & Means in Feb 2020: “GDP growth did not increase following the 2017 tax law”

bit.ly/3sFs5ib
Read 19 tweets
28 Feb
With the temporary provision moving, there is growing excitement to make the Child Tax Credit expansion permanent. Along with this push, a healthy debate has begun on design elements

Here I want to address one small part of this design discussion which relates to EITC take-up
One key question – of which much more deep digging is needed – is on what roles the IRS and SSA should play in administering a permanently expanded child tax credit/child allowance.
As part of this IRS/SSA discussion, I’ve seen the following thought train a few times: the EITC take-up rate is low, therefore, the SSA should administer the expanded Child Tax Credit. This strikes me as incomplete at best.
Read 10 tweets
27 Feb
Previously, I did a thread on a double standard around work, the Child Tax Credit, & the tax treatment of the inheritances of wealthy heirs

With House passage (!) & shift to the Senate, I wanted to focus on a double standard stemming from the Child Tax Credit’s creation in 1997
In 1997, the original child tax credit was intentionally designed to encourage – some – parents to work less: “some cultural conservatives promote the credit as a way to entice more mothers to stay at home with their children.” wapo.st/3aZz0N1
More: "Because of the tax burden on families, the woman is often compelled to go out and bring in a second paycheck," said Paul Hetrick, vice president of Focus on the Family. "This is a regrettable situation that our country will pay the price for in generations to come."
Read 18 tweets
13 Feb
I sense a few double standards present in the debate over Bidens’ historic Child Tax Credit proposal that would cut the child poverty rate by more than 40%.

My focus here is on a perhaps less obvious one but I think relevant: trust fund kids & the tax treatment of inheritances
Since the mid-1990s, as I’ll walk through, reducing the taxation of large inheritances has been a top, if not the top, tax policy priority of conservatives and Republicans.
In parallel, as I’ll also walk through, there has been a steady stream of research concluding that large inheritances reduce the work effort of wealthy heirs
Read 16 tweets

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