Though even this non-trolly version of 50 year old conventional wisdom is 40 or 50 years old
https://twitter.com/chrislhayes/status/1440869761278046208?s=20
I'm reminded of an influential book from 1970, "The Real Majority," which was very influential in the Nixon White House, centered around the idea that the median voter was an 'unpoor, unblack and unyoung' middle-aged, middle-class, midwestern white (wife in Dayton, specifically)
This, of course, is not nearly as true as it was in 1970. To some extent, the sense that 'popularism' is revisionist--despite being the conventional wisdom--reflects an Obama-era overreaction, when many seemed to conclude that demographic changes had been greater than they were
And within large metro America, a tipping point has been reached: that 1970-era story doesn't really hold anymore. And since so many journalists, activists, etc., are in large metro America they do occasionally seem to need to be reminded about the rest of the country
The Real Majority, oddly, opens with a 'riddle': who will win a big city mayoral race: a black tough-on-crime cop or a white liberal lawyer. The answer, ofc, is the black cop; the point is crime > race. But there are a lot of places where that answer has probably changed
(i pulled this back up a few months ago, since it's kind of uncannily similar to the NYC mayoral primary)
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