Again predictable, predicted etc etc
inews.co.uk/news/hgv-short…
If you want migrant as well as domestic workers to do a job and stay in the job if they're doing it, you need to offer them decent pay and conditions.
Differentiating between migrant and domestic workers misses the point. If you can't get domestic workers, and migrants move to another job the moment they get a chance, you still have shortages
The UK won't get enough domestic workers for these jobs and EU migrants are not coming back in enough numbers. But if UK businesses then treat non-EU migrants brought in to fill gaps like shit they just move on to other sectors that need workers too and the UK is still in a rut

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More from @APHClarkson

26 Sep
The UK desperately needs a destigmatisation of debate over how its economy and state need migration. For years culture wars distracted from a reality that EU and non-EU migration is an inevitable feature of economic growth that fluctuates depending on labour market demand
EU and non-EU migration alone cannot fix labour shortages, but both are an inevitable part of a mix of policy solutions to alleviate the end of the labour market surplus of the 00s. New conditions for which UK business, political and media elites are psychologically unprepared
How UK elites are psychologically unprepared for global shifts from labour surplus to labour shortage that have been apparent in Europe for years is itself a product of endless culture wars that viewed migration as a symbol of identity rather than an embedded structural process
Read 9 tweets
25 Sep
The EU, US and China have continental economic structures with economies of scale that enable logistics an supply chains to shift assets around to mitigate strains on specific points of the system. The UK like other smaller states struggles because it has less capacity to draw on
The sort of detail that 1st year undergraduates doing industrialisation and state formation learn at university
The EU also has a strategy to shift as much road freight to rail as possible, which the UK used to be a part of.
Read 4 tweets
25 Sep
UK government with legislative power to impose regulations on a sector that improve pay and conditions shocked that sector will not voluntarily improve pay and conditions
Labour shortages need a balance of state measures to open up affordable training, foster pay rises and improve conditions as well as active migrant recruitment policy that competes with other states for a limited pool of skilled workers or workers willing to go through training.
If the UK's attempts to get EU workers falter because EU states face labour shortages in the same sectors, then the UK government is going to have to come to terms with the fact that it will have to compete with the EU for skilled workers from non-EU states like Turkey or Algeria
Read 4 tweets
24 Sep
"Why petrol shortages prove that Global Britain is back"
I can imagine something close to that in the Telegraph, Sun, Mail, Express, Spectator or Spiked
"Why Woke Remainers who Need Food Don't Understand Red Wall Voters"
Read 10 tweets
24 Sep
That's the key difference to 1978 or the fuel crisis of 2000. In both cases the supply chain could get up again because the drivers and workers were in place in sufficient numbers to shift goods around the economy. The UK now needs to find workers that may go to the EU instead
Alleviating the supply chain crisis in the UK requires fundamental structural change to UK political and economic life. It involves improved conditions to attract domestic workers and fostering a state welcoming culture to attract needed migrants who can go elsewhere in Europe
Brexit is one of several factors exacerbating structural shifts in the UK economy that have been building for a decade. But anti-migrant political culture severely exacerbated by Brexit debate is a key barrier to policy needed to sustain the UK economy in times of labour shortage
Read 5 tweets
23 Sep
The sound of someone backing themselves into a corner with no way out
So we're at a point where Johnson either triggers Article 16 or Frost's credibility is so blown he has to resign
If Frost is forced to walk, he can then claim that Boris Johnson chose the economy over Frost's pure Brexit.
Read 6 tweets

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