Here's a tiny story about everybody's favourite show: British Columbia, pandemic data, and government transparency.

Today's episode: the case of the 99% vaccination rate!
It took some time, but the government now breaks down % of people vaccinated in a pretty detailed way: not just by local health area, but by age and by health region.

And that publicly available data says that 99% of people 18-29 in Coastal Health have gotten a vaccine dose.
99% of people 18-29 in Vancouver Coastal Health vaccinated would be an amazing story, and an unbelievable success for public health officials in convincing a demographic that across the world has been a bit slower to get a shot.

But that's just it: it's unbelievable.
It's not just unbelievable because 99% is well out of the range of every other age group, in every other health region in B.C., or in fact the entire country.

It's unbelievable because 5 weeks ago, those progress bars suddenly showed a smaller % of people 30-50 with one dose.
It's also unbelievable because the federal government's data shows 83% of people 18-29 across B.C. with one dose.

Given B.C. also says first dose rates for that age group are 87% in Island Health and 88% in Fraser Health, and the numbers simply don't add up.
There are a couple plausible options here: someone accidentally put in the wrong baseline number for 18-29 year olds, and so the % is skewed.

Or they're adding international students who have gotten a shot without changing the baseline population estimate.

Reasonable issues!
We've asked the government about this twice, because our newsroom thought 99% vaccine uptake was a big story (and it would be!), but I had my doubts on the data.

So has another publication.

All they've said in response is that the 99% figure is accurate.

So here we are.
Update to the story of the government claiming 99% of people 18-29 in Vancouver Coastal Health have been vaccinated: they've now admitted it's not true, with a lengthy explanation on their dashboard once the number got to the literally impossible 100% mark
I don't know why you would claim to multiple media organizations that the number was accurate

Only to acknowledge literally a day later that it wasn't accurate

But not actually contact the media to tell them that

seems like a bad communications strategy but what do i know
Worthwhile to note that a Heath Officer with Vancouver Coastal Health also misled the UBC Board of Governors to their face about this fact earlier this week

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More from @j_mcelroy

24 Sep
who is ready for some charts
Overall a moderately encouraging week in B.C. for reducing transmission, with the rolling average down 5% and active cases essentially stable, despite ongoing weird data corrections in different regions
The B.C. government provided the figures for one day of the number people still in hospital originally for #COVID19, but who no longer count to the daily total.

So we can't really chart that, but here's what it looks like in comparison for one day.
Read 7 tweets
24 Sep
The B.C. government has put out a long statement on how they count hospitalizations for #COVID19.

It says there are 152 additional people in hospital, above the 330 in the official count.

When patients are no longer infectious, they're removed from the count.
The government statement says "these discontinued isolation cases are reported independently from B.C.'s COVID numbers. They are included in reports on overall hospital capacity and critical-care capacity."

Which is not particularly true, since we don't get a raw number.
It's important to remember that the way the government reports hospitalizations has not changed, and we talked about this a lot several months ago.

But we're at the height of the 4th wave, health care workers are more burned out that ever, so that uncounted number matters more.
Read 6 tweets
21 Sep
who is ready for some bc election tweets
Is this the election where the counting of votes in B.C. has some suspense in determining who forms government?

Maybe! Particularly if the strong results for the Conservatives in Atlantic Canada continue in Ontario and Quebec.
B.C. starts counting its votes 30 minutes after everyone else, at 7pm local time.

If the Liberals are up by less than 20 seats around 7:15, then we'll have big drama in who forms a plurality, and a lot of time spent on B.C.
Read 31 tweets
27 Aug
867 new cases of #COVID19 in B.C., the highest number since April 23, as the 4th wave continues to do its thing.

Hospitalizations up to 159, ICU up to 84, and three new deaths.

Today's chart.
(i admit to being somewhat mystified by people going "oh wow the high cases!" when this is the same rate of growth we've been seeing for weeks and the effects of new restrictions won't be seen yet, but i am repeating myself here)
8,529 people in B.C. received a first vaccine dose yesterday, bringing it to 25,656 first doses since the vaccine card was announced.

That's about 3.5% of all people 12+ who hadn't gotten a vaccine, doing so in the last three days.
Read 10 tweets
27 Aug
hello i have found the giant challenger map of british columbia and i now live here
the worst pne attraction: now with droplet and ventilation fears going through your mind!
“Justin, you haven’t actually ranked every attraction at the PN-

look this is what we do, this is who we are

justinmcelroy.com/2017/08/21/ran…
Read 4 tweets
26 Aug
724 new cases of #COVID19 in B.C. today, as the rolling average inches up slightly with the same dynamic we've seen for the last week (cases plateauing in the Interior, going up everywhere else).

Two deaths & hospitalizations up to 149, highest since June 12.

Today's chart.
9,094 people in B.C. received their first shot yesterday, the highest number since July 13, as the vaccine card announcement is having the effect one would imagine.

That's more than 2% of all unvaccinated eligible adults in the last two days.
Me yesterday: okay, I've crunched the rates adjusted for population of new cases by vaccine status because the government didn't, but what would be really nice is getting the vaccine status of ICU cas-

government: LOOK WE DID THE RATES
Read 10 tweets

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