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25 Sep, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Bizarre. 30 year old environmental scientist (PhD student in forestry) charged with arson to wildland for starting Fawn Fire in California, and may be a fire bug or serial arsonist.



nytimes.com/2021/09/24/us/…
Seems California has an arson problem (no lightning 🌩)

A 20-year-old Ukiah man was arrested Tuesday on suspicion of intentionally setting a fire that burned homes and forced hundreds to flee the Mendocino County town of Calpella.

ukiahdailyjournal.com/2021/09/15/mcs…
Last week:

Cal Fire investigators have determined the Bridge Fire to be arson. The news comes over two weeks after the fire was sparked in the Auburn State Recreation Area.

abc10.com/article/news/l…
According to Cal Fire, officers with the agency have made 103 arson arrests between Jan. 1 and Aug. 31, 2021. 

fox40.com/news/californi…

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More from @RyanMaue

Ryan Profile picture
24 Sep
Model guidance this afternoon for Hurricane Sam continues to be encouraging for a northward turn over open-ocean.
GEFS 12z ensembles (0.25°) through 180-hours are tightly clustered. Always outliers out of 31 solutions, so we focus on the mean (black line).
Uh oh!
The upgrade/experimental (47r3) HRES version
We cannot definitively say if/when Sam could affect the Northeast US. All we can do is provide probabilities & change them as time goes by. I'd estimate by Monday we will be confident enough in the forecast.
Read 4 tweets
Ryan Profile picture
24 Sep
Hurricane Sam is expected to become a Category 4 intense hurricane. Based on estimate of ACE of 35 for the lifecycle, added into previous 2021 storms, so far the season is stacking up to be "average"
Prior to 1995, the North Atlantic was in an "inactive" state with fewer and less intense tropical storms & hurricanes. Since 1995, that has stepped-up & changed dramatically with a doubling of seasonal ACE (Accumulated Cyclone Energy). 🌀

5-years of 2017-2021 = huge ACE 📈
12 out of 18 named storms have had an ACE of less than 2.4
6 named storms (hurricanes): Elsa, Grace, Henri, Ida, Larry and Sam (will) account for about 90% of the Atlantic ACE (thru Sept)
That's usually the case -- blow through alphabet but only 6/18 do heavy lifting with ACE.
Read 5 tweets
Ryan Profile picture
23 Sep
Interesting lawsuit filed by @JohnStossel against Facebook and its climate fact-checking group "Climate Feedback" for demonetizing his videos after being labeled "misleading".
yahoo.com/entertainment/…
The defamation suit centers on a video posted by Stossel on California wildfires that ostensibly blames forest mismanagement as well as climate change. The Climate Feedback group fact-checked a claim he did not make, and dinged his video as misleading & missing context.
The broader question here is how do social media platforms arbitrate "facts" on its platform on contentious scientific or political issues that could cause a journalist or company to lose valuable traffic revenue.
Read 6 tweets
Ryan Profile picture
22 Sep
IEA urges Russia to ramp up gas supply to Europe 🛢

Gazprom says Nord Stream 2 is complete and ready to supply upon approval. In the meantime, gas reserves are perilously low heading into winter & prices keep doubling.
ft.com/content/eb2315…
Plenty of capacity is available in other pipelines thru Ukraine to meet demand, but Russia is said to restricting gas supplies. Putin holds all the cards.
euractiv.com/section/energy…
Europe risks running out of gas very quickly if early winter is especially harsh. Prices would go thru the roof and significant populations would suffer the winter without affordable heating. This is shaping up to be a predictable catastrophe.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 9 tweets
Ryan Profile picture
16 Sep
Could Europe run out of gas?
“The short answer is, yes, this is a real risk"

Skyrocketing energy prices across Europe as millions can't afford to heat their homes.

Another cold winter due to climate change would entirely deplete gas supplies. 🌡️

apnews.com/article/europe…
Climate change including extreme weather e.g. polar vortex, hurricanes, and lack of wind have conspired to tighten gas supplies across the world.

This confluence of events will only get worse, and could be catastrophic in another extreme cold winter.

fortune.com/2021/09/16/sho…
Carbon fees also at an all-time high meaning climate policy makes it even more expensive and infeasible to backfill supply with dirty energy.

Europe is also highly dependent upon Russia for gas.

Market will see gas prices soar further during cold snap.

cnbc.com/2021/09/16/eur…
Read 5 tweets
Ryan Profile picture
15 Sep
The HQ of @Mailchimp is in Ponce City Market in Atlanta, the site of the old Sears, Roebuck and Co. Mail-Order Warehouse and Retail Store

The market is an amazing story of urban renewal, from Sears to a $10B technology startup.

The history is awesome:
poncecitymarket.com/history
@Mailchimp In the 1860s, Ponce De Leon Springs are popular attraction for Atlanta residents. Later in 1903, the site is turned into the "Coney Island of Atlanta" -- an amusement park.
@Mailchimp In 1907, the Ponce de Leon lake is drained to make way for a minor league baseball park, where the Atlanta Crackers play for decades, until moving to Atlanta Stadium in 1965.
Read 4 tweets

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