1/6. Interesting Labour proposal to change tax rules for private schools and use the £1.7 bil raised in VAT and business rates for young people - to reduce drop out, improve careers advice, work experience etc. Rest of this thread covers the tax issue mirror.co.uk/news/politics/…
2/6. The calculation that £1.6 bil can be raised from VAT on private schools is the figure in @Resfoundation 2020 "Unhealthy finances"report (Page 133). This is the report that made the case for the 3 big tax rises now adopted by the Conservative govt resolutionfoundation.org/publications/u…
3/6. Extending VAT to private education might be quite complicated. A Lewis Carroll tribute band wrote HMRC 701/30. One challenge would be to tax private education in private schools while not accidentally taxing other education involving payment... gov.uk/guidance/vat-o…
4/6....another challenge would be the ingenuity of tax advisors who might find ways to reclassify £40k a year private school fees as something else (accommodation, catering, sport etc). VAT notices 701/45 and 709/3 cover the basics
5/6. Long-term simplification of VAT in education the UK is possibly only achievable through something like the New Zealand Goods & Services tax which (I understand) covers education but at a lower rate.
6/6. Anyway, with everything else going on, it's worth noting how much more is available for those in private education. With private school sixth form fees now hitting £20k/year (page 19, ISC census), AoC's spending review suggestions look modest feweek.co.uk/spending-revie…
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1/11. More on the immigration/skills link, using the @ukhomeoffice's very good impact assessment for the 2021 changes to skilled worker rules. Full 72 page document has some interesting numbers & charts gov.uk/government/pub…
2/11. This chart (figure 3, page 17) shows Home office's Nov 2020 forecast of net flow of EEA workers into/out of UK. Peak 150,000 inflow in 2015 shifting to net 40,000 outflow in 2021 before settling on average 10,000 inflow from 2025 onwards. "Policy" are 2021 rules.
3/11. Forecasting migration is a mug's game but it's always a start to look at the numbers. What these show is that the 2021 rules (including a minimum Level 3 qualification threshold for skilled workers) would exclude lots of new EEA workers (but not those with settled status)
1/6. The dog that hasn't barked. Ofqual has published conclusions about the social and economic status of A-level candidates using DfE data that doesn't include private school students (c10% of total candidates). See Pages 143 and 150 of this document gov.uk/government/new…
2/6. On Page 150 of the report (and in the Exec Summary), Ofqual say "There is no evidence that the process of awarding grades has been biased for or against students from different socio-economic backgrounds". But Table 10.7 reports an "unknown" status for 16.1% of entries
3/6. Similar statements and similar 16.1% unknowns are reported in other sections. 73,075 entries unknown. It's quite a lot
Track back to Page 143. Ofqual explain they used the National Pupil Database to access data on social economic status, free school meals, ethnicity etc