Both #OriginsOfCovid study committees with strong ties to EcoHealth Alliance & WIV have finally been disbanded.
As many are aware by now, there are plentiful opportunities outside China to collect information about the early days of the outbreak in Wuhan. wsj.com/articles/who-s…
"The previous WHO-selected team.. recommended that their Chinese counterparts analyze blood banks, test farmworkers and further scrutinize the earliest suspected cases.. China hasn’t said whether it has undertaken such work. The original WHO team has been disbanded."
If there are any people out there who believe China would not do everything in its power to rapidly identify the source of a killer virus in one of its top cities, with or without the recommendations of foreign experts...
If the Chinese gov truly thought another country had caused an outbreak in China, I don't think that country would exist in its current form today...
"China’s government has insisted.. that studies on the origins of the virus should now focus on other countries, such as Italy.."
Can I recommend to @WHO that instead of flying the new team to China, you should be flying out Chinese experts?
Could be a more productive approach to getting to the bottom of #OriginsOfCovid
If the Chinese gov won't let its own experts leave, that also tells us something.
Especially considering the new era of hostage diplomacy, we don't want to risk the new 20 international experts being put in Chinese prison for various accused crimes for many years.
"the WHO lacks power and it’s inconceivable to me that a new committee will be able to negotiate access to China…This is building a beautiful committee with nowhere to go."
Don't fly the beautiful committee into China. Fly the Chinese scientists (& their families) out of China.
Virologists claiming SARS-CoV-2 spilled over at multiple markets are, imo, unintentionally, participating in a disinformation campaign.
It has been repeatedly clarified that the market the earliest "known" covid case visited was a Walmart-equivalent RT-mart. Not a wet market.
Please see page 38 of the China-WHO annexes.
This superstore market that the first case was brutally exposed to was *GASP* in the same district as the Wuhan Institute of Virology. who.int/docs/default-s…
Yet, journalists are still reporting misinformed experts as saying that they're stunned that a lab escape virus would make its way to a market/superstore.
Do some scientists no longer buy their own groceries? How do you expect Wuhan scientists to get food to cook and eat?
I imagine some scientists are now praying that one of the most well-funded, prolific, cutting-edge labs in the world suddenly didn’t have the will, funding or ingenuity to follow through and expand on the SARSr-CoV engineering ideas they proposed in early 2018. #OriginsOfCovid
The more senior authors and signatories of @TheLancet letters and the Holmes et al. @CellCellPress paper should be approached for extended comment on the EcoHealth proposal.
Thanks to painstaking work by @franciscodeasis we know that we have near zero insight to the viruses sampled by the WIV after 2015. And their entire database is missing. We also have no access to their deep sequencing data which wouldn’t regularly be uploaded to databases.
Opinions ranged from “There are zero data to support a lab origin ‘notion’… the benefits [of the EcoHealth proposal] far, far outweigh the risk.”
To “This is doing everything that people say is going to cause a pandemic if you do it.”
“I find it really disappointing that one of the members of the joint WHO-China team… investigating this, are actually on this proposal, knew that this line of research was at least under consideration, and didn’t mention it all.” - @jbloom_lab
When a new SARSr-CoV with a new cleavage site insertion was causing an outbreak in Wuhan, how many of the scientists involved in the March 2018 DEFUSE proposal remembered their Wuhan colleagues had a roadmap for experimenting with new SARSr-CoVs with new cleavage site insertions?
This proposal to DARPA for $14.2 million, submitted in early 2018, was like the EcoHealth-WIV NIH proposal but on steroids.
Some scientists might argue that the proposal was not successful - DARPA did not fund it. But it doesn't mean it wasn't already ongoing even at the time of proposal.
When you see this level of detail, there's a good chance some preliminary work has been done.
Possible ways for a virus with an ancestral origin in bats to have made its way to Wuhan.
It's good that scientists are finding more bat viruses related to SARS2 in South China/SE Asia, but it still doesn't identify the route by which SARS2 arrived in Wuhan.
Yes, it took about a decade to track the closest bat virus relatives to SARS1.
But only 2 months from isolating the virus to find the proximal animal source in Guangzhou in 2003, and only days in 2004.
Despite less advanced technologies, Chinese investigators rapidly tracked down early cases, likely animal sources, and a well-substantiated path for SARS1 to have been introduced into human beings via the trade of infected animals. ayjchan.medium.com/a-response-to-…