The "bad cat" is back discussing the clever work of Dr. Norman Fenton. This work cuts through the noise and focuses on a clear unambiguous point. Does vaccine uptake change all cause mortality, an indice impervious to revisionism? 1/

boriquagato.substack.com/p/all-cause-de…
This is serious work done by a clever data analyst and the answer BTW is No. At this point in time, there is no observable benefit to vaccine uptake. Digging into the analysis, there are some interesting caveats that do require careful consideration. 2/
Long story short, it basically comes down to this. Vaccination results in an initial rise in death that offsets the long term benefits. Those long term benefits are in turn time limited as vaccine efficacy fades after 5-6 months. 3/
The data sets come from the UK Office of National Statistics. This is a top notch outfit which records and annotates every death in a publicly available registry within 7-10 days. Findings align with Israeli observations and from Pfizer clinical trial data. 4/
This work avoids the standard pitfalls too often observed in Canada. Of note is the jigging of data sets to fit a predetermined narrative. This "jigging" involves implementing criteria to allow problematic data to be moved among between comparator groups (vaxxed to unvaxxed). 5/
It's a bitter pill to swallow but after 19 months of the worst public health response in history, the vaccine endpoint looks underwhelming. Perhaps, this isn't surprising given the known absolute risk reduction (1%) and complicated health status of those susceptible to C19. 6/
This data highlights yet again the need for serious reform of our public health community. The C19 response was a destructive escapade where fantasy thinking was championed at the expense of hard core reality. Long past due to clean house. End.

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More from @DonaldWelsh16

25 Sep
So who won the C19 Olympics? Its seems Denmark, Sweden and Norway have captured gold, silver and bronze. Meanwhile Canada is looking for a participation medal if it can figure a way across the finish line. How did it go all so wrong in this seemingly advanced nation? 1/
Simply speaking, it all comes down to approach, experience and the guiding principles. The Scandinavian countries adopted a voluntary "mitigation" strategy (tried and true) whereas Canada employed a centrally planned "general suppression" model (new and radical). 2/
Scandinavia's mitigation strategy highlighted transparency, honesty and the gentle art of persuasion. They valued an informed public, openly admitted mistakes and acknowledged that public health measures were limited in efficacy. It valued the concept that "less is better". 3/
Read 18 tweets
15 Sep
Anders Tegnell, Sweden's chief public health officer, has been an anchor point of common sense and decency during C19. He was ridiculed early for classifying C19 as a "hard flu" and for following the standard pandemic playbook. Boring and practical was the new "radical". 1/
What stuck in my mind was his constant refrain, "lets talk in a year or so and see where we are". He knew the test of time reveals all about the choices a society makes and whether they are wise. 2/
Here we are 18 months later and Sweden won in a blow out. Practicality and honesty won the day in every imaginable category. From age adjusted death, to maintaining an intact functional society. They are finished with C19. 3/
Read 9 tweets
11 Sep
The truth is always the first causality of war, an axiom that equally applies to the C19 response. Without the common bond forged by trust, the enactment of public policy becomes difficult without the application of force. 1/
Public health has long ago burnt trust to the ground. Blundering and blind, Canada's C19 response has been a cavalcade of poor decisions, long on hardship and short on results. Collateral damage has spread to all segments of our society.

2/
The collapse of trust is observable in Canada's ongoing federal election. Canada's left of center tradition, especially under 50, has shifted decidedly rightward to upstart parties like the PPC. Suddenly, working age Canadians find freedom and smaller govt key values. 3/
Read 9 tweets
6 Sep
Interesting thread highlighting the reimergence of the Flu in India. Lots to consider in addition to the fact that C19 is now endemic. Lets ponder a bit more. 1/
With C19 going endemic at a seroprevalence at 66%, we now have a reasonable assessment of HIT. This was achieved naturally as only 10% of the population was vaccinated. 2/
Impressively, this endemic state was achieved with a low death rate and for a fraction of the cost blown by western governments including Canada. There was no silly drama driving India off an economic cliff.

3/
Read 4 tweets
5 Sep
With time, Canadians will come to realize that the entire C19 escapade, from the chaotic policy response to the mountainous spending, were literally for nothing. There is no documented evidence that public health saved a single life in this country.

1/
What we are witnessing is political hubris combined with rank governmental incompetence. Public health didn't know what a respiratory virus was, thus they blindly followed the crowd, implementing failed policy after failed policy. It was a shocking waste.

2/
Human life was snuffed out in the thousands, the potential of our youth squandered by a careless rabble focused on power and making bank. As our economy sunk, they doubled down blaming others for their ineptitude and lack of foresight.

3/
Read 7 tweets
4 Sep
Julius Ruechel has been a clear insightful voice throughout this reckless public health response. His long form essays synthesize the day-to-day information into a broad understandable pattern. Lets look a bit deeper. 1/

juliusruechel.com/2021/09/the-sn…
Mr. Ruechel casts a harsh light onto the public/commercial interests driving this public health response. He cuts to the bone, noting how these interests misrepresent data and common knowledge to build demand for an end product, an ongoing vaccine subscription service. 2/
It's a provocative view, one built on a retrospective analysis of the literature, pandemic history and daily newsworthy events. His take home message is that a con is being played on the unwitting public. 3/
Read 4 tweets

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