In the USA, the end of summer wave is receding rapidly in the South and West. Unfortunately, the autumn wave has now begun in the upper midwest.
These are the same states which experienced an autumn wave in 2020.
Oddly, the SEC states have cases falling fastest...
These are the same states which experienced an autumn wave in 2020.
Oddly, the SEC states have cases falling fastest...
From Michigan to Montana, cases are rising in concert, just as they did in these same states this time last year.
In every one of these states, cases are higher this year than last year, despite widespread vaccination.
In every one of these states, cases are higher this year than last year, despite widespread vaccination.
Hospitalizations are rising in each of these states, as well with the least vaccinated states are faster acceleration than the most vaccinated.
But, in all of these states, hospitalizations are higher this year than on this date in 2020:
But, in all of these states, hospitalizations are higher this year than on this date in 2020:
Deaths have also begun to rise in each of these states with no discernable gap between high and low vax states. Perhaps vaccination rate correlates with hospitalizations but not deaths? What would be the causal mechanism behind that disassociation?
Conclusion: seasonality and susceptibility trump lockdowns, masks, vaccines, mandates, school closures. Policy and behavior don't drive transmission patterns.
Finally, for NY, CA, IL: Winter is coming.
Finally, for NY, CA, IL: Winter is coming.
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