And if we look at how they impacted the lives of those reporting these persistent symptoms. 2/3rds reported impact on their ability to carry out day to day activities.
These estimates are broadly in line with recent ONS self-reported estimates in this age groups and the CLoCk study. There is a lot of uncertainty around long COVID, but the evidence suggests that it does impact children & the impact is non-trivial.
The impact on staff is also shocking. Education staff consistently come up on the ONS data as one of the groups with the highest prevalence of long COVID by population after health and social care workers.
Unfortunately, the current situation- which is resulting in mass infection of both children & staff will likely have huge long term impacts on their health, and on the wider community as infection spreads onwards. It's a tragedy and a scandal that our govt has enabled this.
And some in the scientific community have been complicit by opposing even the most basic mitigations in schools, and vaccination of children.
Deleted earlier tweet to clarify- the duration data doesn't seem separated out by age, but it doesn't seem like there's a rapid drop off after 4wks. Rather symptoms in most people tend to persist even up to 6 months with a gradual decline in numbers affected.

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More from @dgurdasani1

30 Sep
Our paper on vaccination of adolescents co-led with @chrischirp out today in @EditorJRSM. Our risk-benefit analysis of vaccination of adolescents show benefits *far* outweigh risks in reducing deaths, hospitalisations, long COVID at current rates 🧵
rsm.ac.uk/media/5475435/…
What did we do?
We looked at different case incidence rates - continuing for a period of 16 weeks, and looked at how many 12-17 year olds would be hospitalised, be admitted to ICU, develop long COVID or die with and without vaccination during this time in England.
What rates did we consider?
We reported main results for two rates, but also looked at everything in between.
Our main results are for two case incidences:
High: 1000/100,000/wk (current incidence in 10-19 yr olds is ~800/100,000/wk for)
Low: 50/100,000/wk (similar to April)
Read 20 tweets
29 Sep
This from RCPCH indicates a complete lack of understand of basic epidemiology & public health. What's disrupting education is a system that allows infectious children to stay in class. Testing those with symptoms alone (most transmission happens before symptoms) will worsen this.
It's frankly unbelievable that such a basic fact hasn't been understood by RCPCH. This messaging is bordering on negligent, given the massive outbreaks we're seeing in schools already. Not testing asymptomatic or presymptomatic children will only make this worse.
It's not rocket science- almost every other country across the world has put in place better mitigations in schools than us, and is isolating contacts of cases. This is the only way to keep schools open- by making them safer. Keeping infected kids in classrooms is not the way.
Read 4 tweets
26 Sep
Or just look at the data. These 2 graphs- one of PHE data by @ProfColinDavis & the second from a random survey- the ONS- so not based on testing. How can infection rates in these groups be *higher* than anyone else in the community, rising rapidly if schools aren't driving this?
Frankly, all the data point to a very clear role of schools in transmission. Denying this means denying so much real world evidence at this point, that it's just not tenable. If only the energy spent on denial of evidence had been spent on mitigating & vaccinating kids....
I don't say this lightly, but scientists that have supported unevidenced positions saying schools don't contribute substantially to transmission are also responsible for where we are. Children being mass-infected in schools, with all the impacts of that on them & others.
Read 4 tweets
26 Sep
All of this. The rhetoric around immigrants in the UK media is dehumanising. We're treated as if we don't contribute, take up resources, and are unwanted. Despite bringing vital skills to meet shortages, contributing actively to the economy and society. 🧵
It's devaluing to see how we are depicted in the media. The immigration system in the UK is hostile- anyone who has been through it knows that. The Windrush scandal wasn't an exception in home office policy- it's very much the rule as to how the home office treats migrants.
Every aspect of home office policy is hostile
-This includes the NHS surcharge, no recourse to public funds while paying full tax, NI.
-paying £2000/visa
-'deport first, appeal later' policies

Home Office has lost 75% of their appeals against applicants for refugee status
Read 9 tweets
25 Sep
When do we say a nation has failed?
-policies deliberately put children at risk - & penalise parents who try to safeguard children against govt policy
-lack of access to routine & emergent healthcare
-lack of social nets for the poorest
-4 million children living in poverty
🧵
-reduction in life expectance from preventable disease
-Fuel & energy shortages
-food supply shortages
-increased reliance on foodbanks
-government corruption with minimal consequence
-non-independence of state media
-non-independence of public health institutions in a pandemic
-lack of basic protections for frontline workers
-infiltration of scientific discourse by disinformation and misinformation lobby groups and pseudoscience
-lack of accountability for a media promoting misinformation
-gagging and victimisation of whistleblowers (e.g. NHS)
Read 5 tweets
25 Sep
This is our local hospital. I've had to go there many times in the middle of the night to access urgent care for myself or my family. Terrifying to see people who come into A&E not even being able to get into the building - waiting outside in the cold.
It's not even winter yet.
Just want to say this issue isn't just limited to our local hospital- this is being reported in hospitals across the UK, but not getting much media attention. Here are a few more stories:
Read 5 tweets

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