2. is the reliance on exit as the safeguard a temporary or long term solution. Which implies views on the long term stability of individual crypto projects vs constant churn due to the incentives towards defection we've seen market give today
subpoint buried within the 2nd point is that I think there's probably a better understanding of some kind of meta-project players where you should see exit into new tokens not as churn but as capture of a more informed / capitalized elite in crypto. And I suspect the data would
bear this out if we looked at early entrants by wallet
Someone should do a long term analysis of what the cryptonomics of projects will look like.
It makes sense we see differentials in economics given to early vs late stage of these projects given we live in a primarily market share capture phase. In many ways I suspect the lessons
from social will apply here as well. With the dynamics of distribution, cost, value added above replacement etc being very different in the "building the roads" phase than after.
Implied in many projects economics is that their subsidization will dissipate with scale. which one
could view as belief they will have true network effects and dominance at that point. or that the cycle will continue and a new token can given preferential economics to vampire attack them essentially. Understanding what long term steady state cryptonomics looks like is needed
to understand if and where it must be supplemented to balance out capture. In general I agree it will definitely have capture without some intentional planning here. All markets (except those with continual exogenous shocks) do eventually imo.
crypto already has developed a more robust social regulation than I would have expected five years ago. Which is both surprising because it exists, and because of how hard many in crypto try to argue it doesn't exist and is a bad thing
anyways if you've read this far down. I'm guessing you work in crypto, and if so
I am asking you once again to please write good reply essays to @VitalikButerin. so he is not just talking into the wind
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Really great for Waymo. Dmitri Dolgov is perfect person to run Waymo
When I was at greylock & investing in AV companies I talked to many people in the industry. And he was consistently in the top of everyone’s dream list of people to recruit from Google
I was skeptical on signal risk being big issue. Its impact on potential new vcs is still overweighted imo
But recent convos with founder friends has flipped my view
The real issue is how it changes openness on fundraising strategy between founders & *current* investor
Because now they are player in the next round too. So founders become a lot more sensitive about what to share and being able to talk it through with them
Not only bc have to still be marketing to them (which I personally think people underweight degree you always must do that)
but also because now conversations with them affect the dynamics of upcoming round, like double slit experiment
I don't view that as insurmountable. And all of private markets is the essence of conflict of interest (which has huge positives too)
Years ago was randomly trying to find video of In the Heights. Stumbled on yahoo groups where these cams were traded
They had manual seeding/leeching setup. Realized it was high schoolers w/ broadway dreams, but very limited access to actual shows (not living in nyc / cost)
Love finding these niche communities on the internet. And to the lovely person who took pity on me and sent me the video of In the Heights. She added me on social later and has been great to watch her pursue her acting dreams
Broadway historically has been very hard to access
Most people aren’t able to go see shows. It’s wild to see how many are obsessed with something so few have access too.
LMM has made point that for many the scripts shows let high schools use to put on performances is biggest onbording point for most students. And LMM for both