Know that progressives believe they are helping Biden right now but voting down a major bi-partisan bill that the President said was critical to showing the world that American democracy can work doesn’t seem to be all that helpful.
Don’t know what’s going to happen, but if progressives vote down a core plank of Biden’s agenda not sure most voters are going to see it as helpful to the POTUS.
It also likely means they lose leverage over reconciliation process.
The issue with reconciliation is all about Manchin and Sinema. We should be able to get a robust and good package out of the House.
I am not as pessimistic as many but I may be wrong - perhaps Manchin and Sinema are trying to kill all reconciliation bills. But I don’t think so.
There is an argument to be made that if progressives pull back now and rally behind the President’s agenda that the good will they generate could actually INCREASE their reconciliation leverage, not diminish it.
Not sure the old guy from VT is right about this. But we will see.
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Been amazing to watch the flood of polls hitting the center-left ecosystem this year.
What remains common, and arguably dangerous, is the failure of many to distinguish between what is popular and what is popular AND important, meaning that it could drive someone's vote. 1/x
Let's use latest @NavigatorSurvey data on what Dem voters want Biden/Congress to focus on:
COVID 75%
Jobs/Economy 51%
Climate/Weather 48%
Health Care 41%
Social Security/Medicare 28%
Afghanistan 25%
Natl Security 21%
What the clear dominance of COVID in the issue environment right now means that any poll testing Biden's agenda which does not test elements against COVID and the ARP-led recovery are painting a very incomplete picture, and may in fact be misleading. 3/x
After a decade of GOP obstructionism/policy nihilism, Democrats are on the verge of having tackled a host of unaddressed challenges - COVID, climate, health care, infrastructure, an economy for all..
GOP extremism we're seeing now on COVID, our democracy no different from debt ceiling, stealing SCOTUS judges and where they've ended up on the economy, health care, immigration, climate, guns....
As I review in the thread below, what Dem voters want most from Washington is defeating COVID (by far and away most imp issue), creating an economy for all, tackling climate and improving health care.
I think people are exaggerating the potential electoral impact of not passing BBB. It is only a small part of how folks will see Dems next year. What matters is what parts of it pass, whether COVID is defeated, and whether the economy is doing better.
A reminder that Biden's domestic agenda is ARP + infrastructure + reconciliation + annual budget + more to come.
It's about defeating COVID, pivoting from Afghanistan, tackling climate, improving health care, modernizing our immigration system, creating prosperity for all...1/x.
In this recent @NavigatorSurvey poll, Dem voters wanted Biden/Congress to focus on:
COVID - 75%
Jobs/Economy - 51%
Climate/Extreme Weather - 48%
Health Care - 41%
everything else is much lower 2/x
As I show in this analysis of recent polling, Biden's approval rating is heavily dependent on his COVID performance. It is the #1 issue. It is what Democrats should be talking about, incessantly. 3/x
As we’ve been saying it’s important that Democrats learn how to make the GOP’s radicalization a kitchen table issue. Seen a lot of progress in this regard in recent weeks. Important political development here in the US. washingtonpost.com/politics/democ…
Here’s a recent essay where I lay out why leaning into the GOP’s dangerous radicalization has to be central to who Dems are now. It’s part of how we defend our democracy.
And I think it sets up the essential 2022 contrast - Dems taking pragmatic steps to tackle the big challenges we face - COVID, economy for all, climate, health care, immigration - and Rs going bat shit crazy, not doing their part.