COVID-19: Impact of mask policies and school outbreaks
The CDC has released two studies looking at the impact of mask policies on school associated COVID-19 outbreaks. Policy makers in Ontario please note, "school-associated outbreaks" so they *do* actually happen. 🧵1/
The first study looked at grades K-12 in Arizona from July to August 2021 when schools resumed in-person learning. The CDC found that schools without mask requirements were 3.5x more likely to have COVID-19 outbreaks ( cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7… ). 2/
Mask requirements were variable by school and only 21% of schools had mask requirements from the start of schools reopening, 30.9% enacted a mask requirement a median of 15 days after school started, and 48% had no mask requirement. 3/
They found 191 school-associated COVID-19 outbreaks with 8.4% in schools with early mask requirements, 32.5% in schools with late mask requirements, and 59.2% in schools without a mask requirement. 4/
The second study looked at 520 U.S. counties from across the country where the CDC found that counties (62%) without school mask requirements experienced larger increases in pediatric COVID-19 case rates ( cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7… ). 5/
Looking at the graph, the first thing you can notice is that the # of COVID-19 cases per 100k population of children was much lower before the start of the school year than just after school starts. This makes it pretty obvious that transmission is happening in schools. 6/
You can also see the dark blue bar graph entries for counties without school mask requirements are much higher than their mask requirement counterparts. This study similarly found a 3.5x higher difference in cases for counties without masks in schools. 7/
The bottom line is that masks are making a significant difference in reducing the amount of transmission and outbreaks at schools. 8/
Universal masking in schools is reducing the amount of outbreaks and transmission happening in school which then in turn reduces the amount of transmission back into the community. 9/
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COVID-19: Parents set up rapid screening for schools when government didn't
We already know that children have less symptomatic COVID-19 infection than adults, yet schools in Ontario are relying on passive symptom screening to allow children to attend school. 🧵1/
The Delta variant is making this even worse, where 74% of infections with Delta take place during the pre-symptomatic phase ( nature.com/articles/d4158… ). 2/
This is one reason why Delta has replaced the original and Alpha variants because people are infecting others for days before they even know they are sick which makes symptomatic screening even less effective at schools. 3/
COVID-19: Outbreak in a children's indoor sporting event
Peel Region public health released contact tracing information about a COVID-19 outbreak in a children's indoor sporting event ( peelregion.ca/health-profess… ). 🧵1/8
In Peel region there are over 207,000 children under age 12 who are not eligible for COVID-19 vaccines which means this group has increased risk of acquiring and transmitting infection, especially in close contact settings such as indoor high-intensity sports. 2/8
At a children's sporting event there were two distinct COVID-19 exposures on different teams with players under the age of 12. The teams did not play each other. 3/8
COVID-19: Impact of being unvaccinated with limited public health measures
This is a long thread which is aimed at providing facts and not focus on blame of individuals so please read all the way until the end to get the full details. 🧵1/
If a person has not received a COVID-19 vaccine for whatever reason (not eligible, barrier to access, personal choice, medical exemption) there are very real impacts to the community that can now easily be seen when few or no public health measures are in place. 2/
To save space I will refer to that person as unvaccinated, even though they may have been vaccinated for other viruses. 3/
COVID-19: No, vaccinated people are not as likely to spread COVID
In Ontario rates at which people are becoming infected, hospitalized, and admitted to the ICU are much higher for people who have not been COVID-19 vaccinated ( gilchrist.ca/jeff/COVID-19/… ). 🧵1/
This article does a good job at explaining why vaccinated people are not as likely to spread COVID-19 ( theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/… ). 2/
There has unfortunately been a lot of misinformation given, and confusing messaging from public-health agencies. The reality is that in order to spread COVID-19 and infect someone else you need to actually be infected yourself. 3/
This very interesting study shows COVID-19 virus along with other bacterial and fungal pathogens were removed from UK hospital wards by air filtration ( medrxiv.org/content/10.110… ). 🧵1/
Researchers measured pathogen levels for 5 days to set a baseline, then activated the filtration system for 5 days, and then took measurements for 5 days again after the filtration system was turned off in both a COVID-19 hospital ward and ICU. 2/
They detected airborne COVID-19 virus in the ward on all 5 days before filtration activation, but none of the 5 days when the filter was active, then they detected COVID-19 virus again for 4 of the 5 days when the system was turned off again. 3/
Ontario's vaccine passport is coming into effect in two days on September 22nd and more details have now emerged how this will be implemented ( news.ontario.ca/en/release/100… ). 🧵1/
The proof does not apply to "Workers, contractors, repair workers, delivery workers, students, volunteers, inspectors or others who are entering the business or organization for work purposes and not as patrons." ( health.gov.on.ca/en/pro/program… ). 2/
Unvaccinated workers are 6.7x more likely to become infected and can still spread the virus to others at these locations. Over the last week, vaccines are still 85.2% effective at reducing infections ( gilchrist.ca/jeff/COVID-19/… ). 3/