The salient fact of all New South Wales politics is that the Labor party never split. Labor kept its Right & that is why NSW Labor has been so dominant historically. A lot of wet liberals who could not get into Labor went into the Liberals (where they proved electoral death).
The upshot of all elections in NSW is the winner is whoever wins socially conservative / "not rich" voters, esp migrant voters, in the suburbs that surround Sydney from north to west. In short, You win the Telegraph demo, not the ABC/Herald. Winning the ABC=you are losing.
Chris Minns is the best recent Labor leader in NSW in recent times - very normal guy from the suburbs & ALP's Right who could win a lot of the voters that Gladys & Morrison won in 2019. Labor often goes to Right of Coalition on law & order cf if Speakman goes soft on crime.
Draw everyone's attention to this excellent piece by @shmigel on why Perrottet as a 'man of faith' wins votes in NSW where liberal "wets" lose them - among the crucial "....culturally and linguistically diverse backgrounds in western Sydney"…
Perrottet like Abbott in 2010/2013 was unelectable to media (who are overwhelmingly white & whose personal lives are mostly mess etc) but yet it is conservative leaders who win seats for the Coalition. Indeed, both major parties only win in NSW with leaders from their Right
TL:DR - NSW is different & esp Sydney. We have a massive migrant influx every year. Very Catholic State (esp schools & hospitals) & also the Anglicans are serious, low church, organised. Media losing it at Perrottet or Morrison for their personal faiths is banking votes for them.

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More from @GrayConnolly

3 Oct
Welcome to the Sydney Lockdown day 101 .....

[George William Evans, "Bridge over the Tank Stream- Sydney from the west side of the Cove", c1803]

#Covid19NSW #SydneyLockdown
The 'almost not Gladystan' statistics for New South Wales in the past 24hrs:
- 67.1% fully vaccinated
- 88.4% first dose
- 623 new local cases
- 76,000+ tests

NSW on track to reopen on Oct 11

#Covid19NSW #SydneyLockdown
NB: Gladys remains NSW Premier until there is a new Liberal leader (X). Gladys then goes to the Governor to resign and advises the Governor to send for new leader X to form a new ministry.

#Covid19NSW #SydneyLockdown
Read 4 tweets
29 Sep
Welcome to the Sydney Lockdown day 97 ….

[Colonial plan of Sydney with Pyrmont, 1837]

#Covid19NSW #SydneyLockdown
The testing results here are weirdly low - suggests that there are many (with no doubt legit reasons to be apprehensive about authorities) not coming forward to get tested.👇

Gladystan statistics for New South Wales in the past 24hrs:
- 62.9% fully vaccinated
- 86.7% first dose
- 941 new local cases
- 120,000+ tests

Mass vaccinations getting NSW to reopening on Oct 11

#Covid19NSW #SydneyLockdown
Read 7 tweets
29 Sep
Amazing that in the era of the 'Great British Bake Off' that Keir Starmer could not see the importance of keeping the Bakers (defined broadly) in the 'big tent', or, in the 'big kitchen', as it were.
"BFAWU emphasised that far from leaving the political scene, it intends to become more political and battle for £15 per hour for all workers, the abolition of zero hours contracts and an end to a lower minimum wage for young people."…
Going to be busy diving into Keir Starmer alienating the Bakers union in the UK … what a time to be alive. Man does not live on bread alone etc but very hard to win a general election when the bakers union wants to mill you and slice you up, toast style
Read 5 tweets
27 Sep
Welcome to the Sydney Lockdown day 95 ….

[James Glen Wilson, "Farm Cove 'man of war roads' Sydney as taken from Fort Denison", 1860]

#Covid19NSW #SydneyLockdown
It is the Delta strain and whether you think Daniel Andrews is the best or worst Premier - or just an overpromoted political hack - no government of an open society can do much to prevent the Delta spread except make vaccines available & jabs accessible

This by @apatrickafr is right: @GladysB really has been the hope of the side in 2021. Everyone in New South Wales has carried Australia - esp the reception of returning Australians with Plague - on our broad, blue-jerseyed back.…
Read 4 tweets
27 Sep
Welcome to the Sydney Lockdown day 94 ….

[Jacob Janssen, "Panorama of Sydney Harbour with Government House and Fort Macquarie from Mrs Macquarie's Chair", 1845]

#Covid19NSW #SydneyLockdown Image
“I can promise you this, that under the 70 per cent road map, unvaccinated people will have very little changes to their freedoms to what they have today,” the Deputy Premier told radio station 2GB.

#Covid19NSW #SydneyLockdown…
Gladystan statistics for New South Wales in the past 24hrs:
- NSW now at 60.1% fully vaccinated
- NSW now at 85.5% first dose
- NSW has 787 new local cases
- 93,000+ tests

NSW on track to reopen on Oct 11th
Unvaxxed unable to participate until Dec 1
#Covid19NSW #SydneyLockdown
Read 7 tweets
23 Sep
I am in Sydney & the ANZAC Memorial (like @AWMemorial & the Shrine etal) was built as a shrine for our war dead & esp the families of those who served, whose loved ones in the Great War had no grave or whose grave the families could never visit. These are thus very solemn places.
Now, reasonable people can disagree about protests. I have been in one, for the @SSFCRABBITOHS reinstatement to the NRL competition. As Souths were and are a 1908 Foundation Club, our exclusion raised many passions, but none that required violence or the desecration of a shrine.
According to Captain Stephen Bowater of the Melbourne Shrine, interviewed by @ljayes, yesterday's protesters did not just use the Shrine for protest, necessitating police responses, but also used it in a gross manner that required members of the public to go there & clean it up.
Read 7 tweets

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