Thread by @GrayConnolly

The salient fact of all New South Wales politics is that the Labor party never split. Labor kept its Right & that is why NSW Labor has been so dominant historically. A lot of wet liberals who could not get into Labor went into the Liberals (where they proved electoral death).

The upshot of all elections in NSW is the winner is whoever wins socially conservative / "not rich" voters, esp migrant voters, in the suburbs that surround Sydney from north to west. In short, You win the Telegraph demo, not the ABC/Herald. Winning the ABC=you are losing.

Chris Minns is the best recent Labor leader in NSW in recent times - very normal guy from the suburbs & ALP's Right who could win a lot of the voters that Gladys & Morrison won in 2019. Labor often goes to Right of Coalition on law & order cf if Speakman goes soft on crime.

Draw everyone's attention to this excellent piece by @shmigel on why Perrottet as a 'man of faith' wins votes in NSW where liberal "wets" lose them - among the crucial "....culturally and linguistically diverse backgrounds in western Sydney"
smh.com.au/politics/nsw/p…

Perrottet like Abbott in 2010/2013 was unelectable to media (who are overwhelmingly white & whose personal lives are mostly mess etc) but yet it is conservative leaders who win seats for the Coalition. Indeed, both major parties only win in NSW with leaders from their Right

TL:DR - NSW is different & esp Sydney. We have a massive migrant influx every year. Very Catholic State (esp schools & hospitals) & also the Anglicans are serious, low church, organised. Media losing it at Perrottet or Morrison for their personal faiths is banking votes for them.