Very few people seem aware that we only have about three or four years left before Earth's species start being smashed by catastrophic 1.5°C of global warming in the context of toxic pollution, deforestation, etc.

Perhaps our media and education systems are...utterly inadequate?
1.

Immediate postgrowth action to radically transform the global economy into a post-capitalist endeavour could yet slow us down and push back 1.5°C by decades or even theoretically perhaps avoid it, though scientists say using a 1750 baseline we already exceeded 1.5°C in 2020.
2.

the climate emergency 'is about to get much worse unless we face the uncomfortable reality that we must fundamentally transform our economy, our energy system..our lifestyles, to avoid dangerous climate change'

Postgrowth limits damage. Danger is here.phys.org/news/2021-08-g…
3.

Betting on speculative technological change.

'Post-growth approaches may make it easier to achieve rapid mitigation while improving social outcomes, and should be explored by climate modellers.'

Economic growth is driving species into extinction.

nature.com/articles/s4156…
4.

Economic growth means extinction.

Only a postgrowth economy can keep us below 2C this century. 1.5C is horrific enough.

The thread below is shocking, but we mustn't ignore how grave mass extinction is.

It's not just abrupt climate change :
5.

'the chance of reaching 1.5°C of heating by 2025 has “roughly doubled” compared to last year’s predictions and now sits at 40%..surpassing that target will usher in climate catastrophe, triggering mass species dieoffs'

99% chance of non-linear events?gizmodo.com/were-speeding-…
6.

'The world will likely exceed 1.5C between 2026 and 2042 in scenarios where emissions are not rapidly reduced, with a central estimate of between 2030 and 2032.'

I'd say 2025-2029.

Dire 2C by 2035-2045 looks increasingly likely given rising emissions.carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
7.

'the IPCC AR6 report states that 1.5℃ warming will be reached or exceeded in the early 2030s in all emissions scenarios considered – except the highest emissions scenario, for which the crossing would occur even earlier.' 2028 is given as an example: realclimate.org/index.php/arch…
8.

I fear 1.5°C before the end of this decade not least because.. 'Under governments’ current recovery spending plans, global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are set to climb to record levels in 2023 and continue rising in the following years.'iea.org/news/with-only…

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More from @ClimateBen

5 Oct
Editors have been shamefully silent on this incredible story about the UN Food and Agriculture Organization declaring that ecological-climate disasters are already 'jeopardizing our entire food system' as we're hurtled towards 1.5°C by 2025 and 2°C by 2040.news.un.org/en/story/2021/…
1.

'the chance of reaching 1.5°C of heating by 2025 has “roughly doubled” compared to last year’s predictions and now sits at 40%.. surpassing that target will usher in climate catastrophe, triggering mass species dieoffs' gizmodo.com/were-speeding-…
2.

Between now and 2040, James Hansen 'expects the climate’s rate of warming to double in an “acceleration that can be traced to aerosols.”

That acceleration could lead to total warming of 2 degrees Celsius by 2040'.

2°C means global calamity.

insideclimatenews.org/news/15092021/…
Read 4 tweets
4 Oct
Ongoing crimes against humanity & nature in all but name should be all over the news 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.

Because they're not, we may expect utterly horrific 1.75°C-2°C of global warming, sudden extinctions of species, and huge declines in crop yields all by the 2030s.
We never hear corporate journalists talking about this reality. Wonder why?

'the destruction will see some species become extinct before they were ever recorded'

Wildfires, 2019-2020

cbc.ca/radio/thecurre…
Read 4 tweets
2 Oct
1.5-2°C

1. greenhouse-gas emissions are rising to record highs

2. lower air pollution is eliminating vital aerosols that cool the Earth just as it seems to be entering a warm phase

3. Arctic ice is vanishing

Media are silent on the crimes locking in utter horror by 2029-2038.
1.

'rising greenhouse-gas emissions, along with declines in air pollution, bring forward the estimated date of 1.5 °C of warming to around 2030, with the 2 °C boundary reached by 2045. These could happen sooner with quicker shedding of air pollutants.'nature.com/articles/d4158…
2.

Between now and 2040, James Hansen 'expects the climate’s rate of warming to double in an “acceleration that can be traced to aerosols.”

That acceleration could lead to total warming of 2 degrees Celsius by 2040..'

insideclimatenews.org/news/15092021/…
Read 8 tweets
26 Sep
Did you know state-corporate media are completely ignoring this Aug 2021 peer-reviewed article showing that unless we slow down today's abrupt climate change we may expect a mass extinction equal to the worst in Earth's history within a matter of decades? nature.com/articles/s4146…
'5.2 °C.. at present rates of increase would likely result in mass extinction comparable to that of the major Phanerozoic events, even without other, non-climatic anthropogenic impacts'
nature.com/articles/s4146…

WMO, 2020: we're heading for 3°C-5°C by 2090s.public.wmo.int/en/media/press…
'Given the rapid pace of change we've set in motion and without arresting or at least slowing down those changes the record shows that we can expect massive extinctions in the natural world equal to the worst in Earth's history.'
skepticalscience.com/news.php?n=5151
5C?dw.com/en/domino-effe…
Read 4 tweets
26 Sep
1/ 'Insects do not appear to have ever suffered a sudden mass extinction. If the current biodiversity crisis extinguishes diverse higher-level clades, then perhaps humans will have caused insects’ first true mass extinction.' 🧵academic.oup.com/aesa/article/1…
2/ 'However, at present, there are no indications that we are anywhere near a crisis of this severity.'

Really?

What about heading for 2.5°C-5°C of global warming within decades in the context of major eosystems collapsing during a mass extinction event?academic.oup.com/aesa/article/1…
3/ 252 million years ago: the Permian-Triassic extinction.

'The cataclysm was the single worst event life on Earth has ever experienced.. Of the five mass extinctions, the Permian-Triassic is the only one that wiped out large numbers of insect species.'nationalgeographic.com/science/articl…
Read 5 tweets
26 Sep
We'll be approaching 450ppm of CO2 by 2029 which corresponds to 2-4°C of global warming, the end of human agriculture as we know it, and the worst mass extinction in 500 million years, and media, politicians & corporations want us to join them to discuss the role of fossil fuels.
2. "Global warming of 2°C would leave the Earth warmer than it has been in millions of years, a disruption of climate conditions that have been stable for longer than the history of human agriculture.

skepticalscience.com/climate-sensit…
Read 5 tweets

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