We'll be approaching 450ppm of CO2 by 2029 which corresponds to 2-4°C of global warming, the end of human agriculture as we know it, and the worst mass extinction in 500 million years, and media, politicians & corporations want us to join them to discuss the role of fossil fuels.
2. "Global warming of 2°C would leave the Earth warmer than it has been in millions of years, a disruption of climate conditions that have been stable for longer than the history of human agriculture.

skepticalscience.com/climate-sensit…
3. '2°C may trigger other Earth system processes, often called 'feedbacks,' that can drive further warming — even if we stop emitting greenhouse gases"..

global average temperature in such a case would in the long term settle between 4 to 5 degrees' dw.com/en/domino-effe…
4. '5.2 °C above the pre-industrial level at present rates of increase would likely result in mass extinction comparable to that of the major Phanerozoic events, even without other, non-climatic anthropogenic impacts.' nature.com/articles/s4146…

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More from @ClimateBen

18 Sep
icymi

1. the curve from sperm-decline meta-analysis predicts that by 2045 median sperm counts will reach zero (because of chemicals in plastics) with no evidence the trend is tapering off

2. by 2045 global warming of >2°C may subject humans to thermal infertility

We can act.🧵
1.

We can act on this:

'If you follow the curve from the 2017 sperm-decline meta-analysis, it predicts that by 2045 we will have a median sperm count of zero. It is speculative to extrapolate, but there is also ft no evidence that it is tapering off.'dumptheguardian.com/society/2021/m…
2.

'Even species thought to roam far away from these sources of pollution are suffering from chemical contamination. A female killer whale.. was found to be one of the most contaminated biological specimens ever reported. Scientists say she never calved.'theconversation.com/male-fertility…
Read 4 tweets
18 Sep
BREAKING: the UN has indicated that with today's plans for economic growth Earth's species will likely suffer profoundly catastrophic global heating of somewhere between 1.65 and 2 degrees Celsius by the 2030s
Where are the appropriate headlines?

There won't ever be any, not in state-corporate media anyway.

Extinction is driven by the whole global growth economy of industrial agriculture, logging, road-building, mining, war, etc

2.5-3C by the 2050s?

Thread:
What happens at 2°C?

100s of billions of tonnes of CO2 will likely be released from soils..

Read 8 tweets
17 Sep
new peer-reviewed science: a temperature increase of 5.2 °C above the pre-industrial level at present rates of increase would likely result in mass extinction comparable to that of the major Phanerozoic events, even without other, non-climatic anthropogenic impacts

journalists:
1.

We're heading for somewhere between 2.5 °C and 6 °C with collapsing rainforests and Arctic sea ice destruction within decades on the current economic growth pathway.

The implications are staggering.

But guess what? Corporate mass media remain silent.nature.com/articles/s4146…
2.

The biosphere is being smashed by industrial agriculture, logging, road building, mining, pollution - the global growth economy.

We're currently heading for 2°C-3°C within a few decades.

Which/How many species might survive such extreme conditions?
Read 4 tweets
17 Sep
Worth knowing:

Economic growth can only offer, via deeply implausible future scenarios, an horrific 1.9°C-2.4°C future.

And if best estimates are wrong, it's 2.5°C-5.7°C climate hell.

Only postgrowth emergency action could aim for (still disastrous) 1.5°C-1.8°C.

A thread..🧵
1.

'long-term net-zero targets that have robust plans for reducing emissions by 2030 would reduce the uncertainty in temperatures beyond this year, and could limit heating to 1.9-2.0°C.'

* 'could' *

The headline is misleading: 1.5-1.8°C is not in reach. phys.org/news/2021-09-c…
2.

Net Zero 2050? It's a sham.

* 2.0–2.4°C utter calamity even if national emission targets are fully implemented

*  2.4–2.9°C (pledges submitted to the Paris Agreement)

* 2.7–3.5°C (currently implemented policies)

phys.org/news/2021-09-c…

* 'window' *nature.com/articles/s4155…
Read 5 tweets
15 Sep
BREAKING: abrupt climate change will more than triple thе proportion of cropland affected by drought by the 2040s
Analysis of corporate media is essential with much useful information to be found.

But a basic reality is omitted: we're heading for >460 ppm of atmospheric CO2 and 2°C horror by 2036-2045.

Fair emergency action to protect everyone may yet be achieved. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
'BREAKING' is ironic as we've known for years that crop yields will be negatively affected by climate change much earlier than once expected:

'we will see, on average, an increasingly negative impact of climate change on crop yields from the 2030s onwards'phys.org/news/2014-03-c…
Read 4 tweets
13 Sep
BREAKING: Earth's 8.7 million species call for immediate system change
60% of primate species are threatened with extinction, 75% are declining.

Main threat: habitat destruction due to logging/agriculture.

Hunting, road construction, oil & gas extraction, mining, pollution, disease, and climate change are also key threats. theconversation.com/60-of-primate-…
40-60% of tree species are threatened with extinction.

dumptheguardian.com/environment/20…

more than half of species are only found in one country, suggesting vulnerability to potential threats, such as deforestation from extreme weather events or human activity.

bbc.com/news/science-e…
Read 20 tweets

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