I see that a lot of people are misconstruing this piece. The point isn't 'oh manchin and sinema are going to cave and do a filibuster carve out. awesome.' Not at all. It's that if you look at where this is going we will soon be in a position where ... talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/are-we-…
2/ there isn't enough time left to use reconciliation. So I anticipate a situation where yes Democrats are falling over themselves to cave but they can't. Because there's nowhere to cave. Everybody is out of time. At that point there are three options.
3/ Default; Filibuster carveout or Republicans cave and allow Democrats to fix the issue through regular order. Option three won't happen because Republicans are legislative terrorists. So we have two options. And I simply hope default won't be what happens. I can't imagine ...
4/ Manchin and Sinema will allow the US to go into default over a rule change that wouldn't affect any legislation but could be done in a half hour and makes the whole problem go away. Not only is what I'm describing not an optimistic scenario or what I want to ...
5/ happen I wish Dems would cave right now and just deal with this through reconciliation. Why? Because the consequences of a debt default are just so unimaginably bad that I don't want to leave anything to chance. But soon everybody will be out of time and then it's ...
6/ either default or carveout. I guess I'm just a crazy optimistic and hoping it's option two.
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