📣 NEW: As promised, my own response to @ggreenwald & @JeremyBeckham regarding their criticism of @DLeonhardt's NY Times story and my own COVID red/blue divide analysis:
acasignups.net/21/10/05/rumor…
I really hope folks will actually read the full piece (there's over a dozen graphs & tables), but here's a couple of key ones.

First, here's the most recent breakout of COVID death rates since 6/30/21 by partisan lean. This is the graph which caused such a fuss in the 1st place:
8 days ago the death rate since June in the reddest 10th of the country was 5.5x higher than in the bluest 10th.

Today it's increased to 5.7x higher.
Here's the exact same data broken out into a scatter-plot graph. This would be kind of artistic if it didn't represent so much death and grief.
Setting partisanship aside, here's the real-world impact of vaccinations: The death rate since June in counties where at least 2/3 of the population has been fully vaccinated is *one fourth* that of counties where less than 40% have been fully vaxxed.
Finally, here's THE graph which cuts to the heart: The death rate in the reddest counties is anywhere from 2.6x to 8.0x higher than in the bluest counties REGARDLESS of what portion of the population is elderly (65+). In the counties w/the highest % of seniors it's 3.8x higher.

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More from @charles_gaba

2 Oct
Hey, look at that…I’m being attacked by Glenn Greenwald! I must’ve made the big time!
The author notes that Utah's COVID death rate ranks 45th nationally. That's true....since the beginning of the pandemic. However, my data specifically covers the period of the Delta variant, starting on July 1st, 2021...and Utah's death rate ranks 27th since then. 1/ Image
Re. the author's final claim--that if I had focused on UTAH at the county level, the NY Times wouldn't have been interested--he might want to rethink that.

(I had to modify the bar groupings because there's no way of breaking Utah into even 10ths at the county level) ImageImage
Read 17 tweets
27 Sep
📣 NEW: @DLeonhardt of the NY Times cited my work which concluded that the death rate in the highest Trump-voting counties is several times higher than in the lowest Trump counties.

I just posted a new analysis which brings this data up to date:
acasignups.net/21/09/27/time-…
According to the latest vaccination, case & death rate data from the CDC, state health depts & John Hopkins University tracker, as of yesterday... 2/
--The vaxx rate in the reddest tenth of the U.S. is currently 38% lower than in the bluest tenth.

--The COVID case rate since 6/30/21 in the reddest tenth is 3.1x higher than in the bluest tenth

--The COVID death rate since 6/30/21 in the reddest tenth is 5.5x higher.
Read 5 tweets
21 Sep
Holy crap. Mari Manoogian is my state representative.
Yesterday GOP MI state rep Steve Marino claimed innocence. Today the personal protection order against him includes threatening texts he sent her including wanting her car to blow up.
Read 5 tweets
20 Sep
🚨 NEW: The CDC has updated their COVID Community Profile Report w/Florida's weekly *county-level* death breakout. This allows me to update the bar graph w/the death rate since June by Trump 2020 vote for 99.4% of the U.S. population (50 states + DC only) in two different ways.
🚨 If you go by flat 10-point election increments, the death rate since 6/30/21 in the reddest/Trumpiest counties are over NINE TIMES HIGHER than in the bluest counties.
🚨 However, only 116K people live in the former & just 1.7M live in the latter, so I've also run it a second way.

If you break the population into 10 brackets of ~33.1 million apiece from blue to red, the death rate for the Trumpiest 10% is *still* 5.1x higher:
Read 12 tweets
19 Sep
And once again: No, insurance carriers can’t raise premiums on unvaccinated folks and no, it’s not a good idea to change that.
Here’s a refresher: acasignups.net/21/08/04/there…
HAVING SAID THAT, there's nothing stopping *employers* from increasing the contribution level of their employees towards their premiums, which is what Delta is doing.

Also, as @ErinBurnett notes in the original tweet, COVID patients *are* being charged a ton in other ways now.
Read 4 tweets
19 Sep
CMS reminds people on unemployment they can STILL #GetCovered in a FREE #SecretPlatinum plan this year via HC.gov! acasignups.net/21/09/17/cms-r…
I can't begin to tell you what a #BigFrigginDeal this is if you don't have healthcare coverage and received unemployment benefits for even a single week in 2021. You can STILL enroll in practically FREE coverage for the rest of this year.
Premiums: $0 (that's right...FREE.)
Deductible: A few hundred bucks at most
Other Out of Pocket expenses: A few hundred bucks at most.

As long as all services are in network, you're limited to extremely low out of pocket expenses.
Read 4 tweets

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