There's a bit in Johnson's speech (in the section on fixing social care) where he contrasts 'decades of drift and dither' with this 'reforming', 'can do' Government. THREAD 1/10

conservatives.com/news/prime-min…
He highlights four things. First, the Govt 'got Brexit done'.

It managed to get Brexit done by reaching an agreement with the EU which, it now says, needs to be revisited. It has refused to acknowledge the consequences of choosing to leave the EU single market. 2/10
Second, the Govt 'is getting the vaccine roll out done'.

The vaccine roll out is indeed good. But if one assesses the COVID response with reference to (eg) deaths or (eg) harm to the economy, the UK Govt fares rather badly. 3/10
Third, the Govt 'is going to get social care done'.

Given that the social care plan was (apparently) ready to go when Johnson stood on the steps of Downing St, it is hardly evidence of a 'can do' Govt, and more a case of 'dither and delay'. 4/10
Fourth, and this bit is much more rambling, he says that 'we are dealing' with the biggest underlying issues of our economy and society which 'no Govt has had the guts to tackle before'. These are 'long term structural weaknesses'. 5/10
He says that we are 'not going to go back to the same old broken model' with low wages, low growth, low skills and low productivity; and that we should not 'reach for that same old lever of uncontrolled immigration'. 6/10
He says that the country is now going towards 'a high wage, high skill, high productivity, and yes, thereby low tax economy'. And, that we should not 'use immigration as an excuse for a failure to invest' in people and skills. 7/10
The commitment he makes is to control immigration. When it comes to investment in people and skills, the speech descends into a ramble about levelling up... which is high on rhetoric and low on coherence. 8/10
The reality is that he has a lot to do to at least mitigate some of the predictable consequences of Brexit. He has a lot to do to fix social care, and ensure that the economy and society emerges from the COVID crisis. 9/10
And if he thinks that Britain will be transformed into a high wage, high skill, high productivity nation simply by controlling immigration, I have a bridge to sell him. 10/10

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More from @syrpis

28 Sep
Teaching the start of EU law this week, and struck (again) by this question:

Why did Brexit (and the nature of the UK's relationship with the EU) come to matter so much?

Short thread. 1/11
I'd be interested to hear thoughts. It is a question which I struggle with. I'm maybe influenced by the fact that, in 20+ years of teaching, I've only rarely encountered strong views from students about the nature of the EU's political structure and legal order. 2/11
There is of course a lot of academic debate about law-making in the EU, the democratic deficit, the expansion and control of EU competence, the nature of the supremacy of EU law, the EU's judicial architecture, etc etc. There are very strong views on all sides. 3/11
Read 11 tweets
23 Sep
Like many others, I struggled through Keir Starmer's essay/vision statement today (attached). A short thread on what he says - or rather doesn't say - about Brexit, and the UK's relationship with Europe, and the wider world, post-Brexit.

fabians.org.uk/wp-content/upl…
1/7
In relation to Brexit, Starmer refers to it as 'botched', and he says that the govt 'failed to properly manage our departure from the EU'. He also bemoans the Brexit 'gridlock'. 2/7
He goes on to criticise the govt for having 'no plans for how to make Brexit work for Britain, nor how to build new relationships in Europe and beyond'. 3/7
Read 7 tweets
18 Sep
I've long been linking PM Johnson and the pursuit of power. Looking back, it's interesting how some things have changed, and others have not. Short thread. 1/6
Within days of becoming PM, Johnson was manoeuvring for a GE, using Brexit (getting it done!) to build the narrative for a GE victory, with a powerful HoC majority. 2/6
By 2020, he was using his majority to take steps to entrench his power, and using ever stronger popularist language.
blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2020/02… 3/6
Read 6 tweets
16 Sep
I have been reading and listening to a lot of analyses of the reshuffle. Pretty much all of them seem to me to be wide of the mark. THREAD 1/14
Commentators, backbenchers and policy analysts all speak as though the detail of policy matters. In the real world, of course it does.

But, in the mind of the PM and his top advisors, it hardly matters at all. And that explains a lot. 2/
Trying to read the runes, to work out the direction of travel, to put flesh onto the bones of Johnsonism (or whatever), is likely to be an unsatisfactory exercise. 3/
Read 16 tweets
14 Sep
The strategy of this Govt often confuses me. Today, its focus was on the COVID Winter Plan. THREAD. 1/10
gov.uk/government/pub…
What I'm curious about, is the decision to publish not only a Plan A, but also a Plan B.

One plan is often a plan too far for the Govt - so why have we been treated to two today? 2/
The reaction has been predictable, and at first sight at least, not the best for the Govt. It is, in the aftermath of its announcement, finding itself attacked from all sides. 3/
Read 10 tweets
13 Sep
A quick thread on the Chief Medical Officers' Advice to Ministers on Jabs for the Over-12s.

Not about the science, but about the (complex) relationship between decision-makers.

The Advice is here:
huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/chris-wh… 1/10
The Advice shows that there are 4 levels of decision-making involved. The key point is that, at each stage, as more factors are taken into account, the policy recommendations and prescriptions may differ. 2/10
First, the MRHA has the task of determining whether a vaccine is safe and effective, and whether to grant a licence. Their assessment, which is taken as read by the CMOs, was that benefits exceed risks. 3/10
Read 10 tweets

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