🅿🆄🅱🅻🅸🅲🅰🆃🅸🅾🅽 🅳🅰🆈!!!🙌👏🙌
To celebrate, a bumper thread about the genius at the centre of my book. RT ░N░O░W░ to spread the word... and for a chance to WIN a signed copy (yes, I’ll post abroad if I need to) 1/ penguin.co.uk/books/313705/t…
This is the story of the 20th century’s foremost forgotten intellectual, a man who was in his day as well-known as Einstein—and considered smarter. Sixty-five years after his death, the impact of von Neumann’s ideas on contemporary life are...without parallel 2/
What did von Neumann do? His contributions to pure maths would fill several books and I’ve touched on some (eg. ergodic theorem, von Neumann algebras). But ‘The Man from the Future’ is really about unpicking one mathematician’s incredible impact on our lives today 3/
Let’s start with quantum mechanics. Von Neumann arrived in Göttingen in 1926, aged 22, and reconciled Heisenberg’s ‘matrix mechanics’ with Schrödinger’s ‘wave mechanics’. He later came up with the first mathematically rigorous – and highly influential - formulation of QM 4/
In 1933 von Neumann joined the new Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton, with Einstein. He was the youngest hire. After a stint of military research and a secret mission to England, Oppenheimer recruits him to the atom bomb project in July 1943 5/
At Los Alamos, von Neumann kicked plans for an ‘implosion bomb’ into high gear. He was instrumental in the design of the ‘Trinity’ device and ‘Fat Man’, which was detonated over Nagasaki, and chaired the committee charged with choosing targets for the US atom bombs 6/
After the war, von Neumann criss-crossed the US in search of more computational power for bomb-related calculations. He joined the ENIAC project, and in 1945, produced the EDVAC report, the blueprint for the modern stored-program computer--from smart phone to desktop 7/
This is Klári Dan, von Neumann’s second wife, and the most overlooked woman in computer history. Her bomb simulations were the first truly useful, complex modern programs ever to have been executed 8/
What else? How about von Neumann as forefather of the open source movement? Every progress report he produced for his own computer project at the IAS was published and circulated—and spawned the first generation of truly modern computers 9/
Next, game theory. Von Neumann founded the field in 1928, with his proof of the minimax theorem. While helping design the bomb, he was writing the field’s canonical text, 𝑇ℎ𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝐺𝑎𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝐸𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑐 𝐵𝑒ℎ𝑎𝑣𝑖𝑜𝑟, with economist Oskar Morgenstern 10/
Game theorists have garnered a trove of Nobel prizes in economics recently but its first application was to nuclear deterrence during the Cold War. Much of this work was carried out at the RAND Corporation, a Californian think-tank where ‘von Neumann was king’ 11/
Von Neumann helped usher in the age of the intercontinental ballistic missile and famously supported a pre-emptive nuclear strike—for a while (so did pacifist Bertrand Russell). He’d abandoned this position by 1954—just as ‘Massive Retaliation’ became official US policy /12
In 1948 von Neumann unveiled his theory of self-reproducing automata-the first proof that machines could spawn more machines—and evolve. Automata theory inspired a whole bunch of ideas: molecular assemblers, self-building moon bases, theories of everything, artificial life... /13
Next, von Neumann’s unfinished lectures, published as ‘The Computer and the Brain’ after his death. Von Neumann’s lasting insight was that brains are massively parallel, not serial like the computers he helped invent /14
Finally, von Neumann’s dire warning to humanity, June 1955’s essay in Fortune magazine, ‘Can We Survive Technology?’ Acutely aware of the possibilities, fully alive to the dangers, the essay’s as prescient as you’d expect if he really was ‘The Man from the Future’ /15
The book’s available now from the usual places! Order now and order often! You won’t regret it. Don’t believe me? Why, then read the super review by the brilliant @lfspinney for @TheEconomist -- hot of the press today! Thanks! economist.com/books-and-arts… 16/
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
I hate lockdowns and I hate schools being closed. Which is why I don't want a fourth lockdown later this year. How do we avoid that? 1/
First let's counter this idea that scientists are pessimistic. This isn't true. In my experience, generally, they're rather an optimistic bunch. My rule of thumb is that if you listen to many scientists, they're actually giving you an upbeat interpretation of the facts. 2/
Luckily, I left the lab 20 years ago and I'm a born glass half-empty kind of person. So let's look at where we are without rose-tinted glasses-and where we might be at the end of the year. Then you can decide what the government should do now. 3/
Great series from @PhysicsWorld on scientists (nearly all women) overlooked for a Nobel. Additional reason that Meitner was overlooked: as a refugee in Sweden, she was working in Manne Siegbahn's lab... 1/
Siegbahn was a physics Nobelist, very influential in the higher echelons of Swedish science and, apparently, a notorious misogynist (see Ruth Lewin Sime's ace biog) who was resentful about Meitner's presence.
Sime's quarter-century old biography is a compelling portrait of Meitner's life-- including a record of the many many slights she endured during her life at the hands of some of her closest colleagues-slights we now commonly call microaggressions and gaslighting. 3/
1/ Thread on Sweden, #coronavirus, the mathematician John von Neumann and the war that didn’t occur
2/ Von Neumann helped invent, among other things, the modern computer, game theory and the atom bomb. He predicted WWII, the Holocaust, that France would be overrun quickly, that the US would enter the war when UK struggled...
3/ One of his predictions, however, was that there would be a catastrophic nuclear war with the Soviet Union before 1950. He advocated pre-emptive war-a massive nuclear strike on Russia before it could get the bomb
1/ Some thoughts on medium/long term 'exit strategy'. I can't see one without significant drawbacks if, as seems likely, relatively small proportion of population infected with #coronavirus. Very happy to be corrected. Possibilities...
2/ Option A: Slowly lift lockdown measures when peak has subsided eg send kids back to school, reopen shops - but continue social distancing. This will result in second wave of infections, which would have to be followed by another lockdown lasting weeks...
3/ ..There might have to be a third cycle of lockdowns before vaccine arrives. Given economic devastation caused by first lockdown, I can't see UK/US/EU governments going down this route.
Fun #Boris fact. About 13 years ago, when I was news ed at @ResFortnight, we sent a reporter along to interview the then shadow higher education minister about universities and science policy. It was a total farce. He neither knew nor cared one jot....
@ResFortnight At one point, he blustered (approximately), "Well you clearly know more about this than I do, Why don't you tell me what our policies should be."
@ResFortnight Universities and research, I've always believed, are incredibly important-economically and socially. I was naive enough at the time to be shocked at such blatant disregard of the issues that I still regard as central to Britain's future.