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Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
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12 Oct, 6 tweets, 3 min read
So much econ sigh @amorygethin @cmtneztt @PikettyLeMonde. Why the lack of intellectual generosity?
A good time to (re-)read @kmmunger on the problems with the siloed economics research production model and its consequences for knowledge accumulation kevinmunger.substack.com/p/wither-econo…

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More from @BrendanNyhan

Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
13 Oct
Regulating algorithms is regulating speech. There's no way around this. washingtonpost.com/technology/202… Image
(in the context of social media platforms when the algorithms are showing news and political content, I mean)
Read 4 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
11 Oct
Would read a 10,000 word New Yorker article on the person tasked with turning "Naval Diplomacy" into a body wash scent or vice versa
This marketing copy is incredible
Read 4 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
10 Oct
Despite @ezraklein's constructive intervention, the great Dem messaging debate is one of the worst in recent memory on the bird site. So many cases of people talking past each other, changing the premises of the argument, attacking straw men, & assuming the worst of others. Sigh
I liked this!
Read 6 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
10 Oct
Ominous - lays groundwork for claim that state legislatures should determine allocation of electors in 2024.
Context from @rickhasen slate.com/news-and-polit…
Good @AssociatedPress story that repeatedly and clearly calls out these claims as malicious and false apnews.com/article/corona… ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
5 Oct
True; many institutions performed well in resisting Trump (state election administrators, the judiciary, the military). But also true that a second term of Trump could pose a more profound threat - look at Orban's Hungary after he regained power.
More fundamentally, I have to admit I don't understand the impulse to rush into contrarianism on this point. Even if Kagan et al. are overestimating the risk of a successful coup or the equivalent, @DouthatNYT grants that such outcomes are possible. Isn't that a case for alarm?
If @DouthatNYT were at the airport and the gate agent said, well, the pilot may try to crash the plane but the co-pilot and the crew probably won't let him get away with it, would he tell everyone to calm down about the risks?
Read 7 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
30 Sep
The credibility revolution in soc sci research is important but some humility is in order - DID models misspecified for years, RD estimates often noisy/underpowered and published selectively, and exclusion restrictions in IV models often highly dubious. (Why I like experiments!)
Very true! Experiments are hardly immune to bad methods and selective reporting, especially at tiny sample sizes of past (ugh). But arguably still far more robust as a method - the ATE relies on very weak assumptions compared to, e.g., IV/RD/DID
Read 5 tweets

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