A friend of mine was talking with me back in early June. He knew I was in Bitcoin and he asked me why. After the conversation he went and bought BTC. I saw him recently and he told me he sold all his Bitcoin at the end of August. I asked why.
1/x
He told me another one of his friends where he lives told him to. His friend, he said, had just 2x'ed his money in Ethereum, buying at the end of June and selling in August. Said his friend told him he caught a lucky break making profit before crypto went back down
2/x
I told my friend he should have consulted me first, that it would have been better for him. He replied that he could just buy back in again.
His gain was 10%.
But because he didn't understand his investment and listened to his friend, he is missing out on a potential 10x.
3/x
Moral of the story: cut out as much noise as possible and have conviction in a trade that you understand.
4/4
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I have *UPDATED* my price & timing predictions for #Bitcoin $BTC after lining up price history & considering the varying interpretations of the macro backdrop and cycle behavior.
Estimated Peak Date: December 17/18
Estimate Price Range: 193k-253k
More below👇 (with charts)
The price & timing predictions are predicated on the following rhyming patterns in all cycles thus far:
1. The 1st upside impulse above the 1.618 golden ratio usually peaks near where the next bear market low will be, before a major pullback.
2. Price successfully retests and holds the 1.618 golden ratio.
3a. Price peaks between the 2.236 and 2.382 fib levels.
3b. The bear market low is approximately 85% (+/- 2%) down from the peak
**3a and 3b are marked as such because they confirm each other in each cycle.