Manu Raju Profile picture
19 Oct, 5 tweets, 2 min read
New - Biden told House progressives tuition-free community college is out of package, per multiple sources. Child tax credit won’t go as far as some would like — likely a 1-yr extension. Home health care likely less than $250B. Dems had wanted $400B. Climate change still a debate
They’re looking at “community college scholarships.” Also Medicare expansion is still on the table, as is universal pre-K and ACA funding. Dems had discussed with Biden $300B for climate change measures — but it’s not clear how that shakes outs. Price tag: Around $2T
Biden told progressive lawmakers that negotiators are weighing a reduction of the duration of the paid leave benefit in the economic and climate package to four weeks, down from a proposed 12 weeks, three sources tell @Phil_Mattingly and me. cnn.com/2021/10/19/pol…
In talking to House progressives at votes tonight, what’s clear is the climate change provisions are not settled - and still a sticking point after WH meeting. Jared Huffman told me he’s a NO if the final bill doesn’t have the aggressive emissions reductions.
Asked about Manchin’s opposition to achieving a 50 percent reduction over next decade, Huffman told me: “We're not going to let that be the final word. My view, this is the 13th Amendment moment. President Lincoln did whatever he did to get that vote. This is one of those times."

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More from @mkraju

8 Oct
New: Focus back on agenda — and Manchin-Sanders divide has Dems uncertain if it can be resolved

The issue came up on a call with Biden, who was asked about having the two sit down together. Biden’s response: That would be like “homicide,” per sources cnn.com/2021/10/07/pol…
Biden told members this week that he has spent many hours with Manchin/Sinema "and they don't move," two sources said. Biden even contended that Sinema didn't always return calls from the White House, the sources added.
“Off the charts," one Democratic senator told me on Thursday when asked about the caucus' frustration with Manchin, contending many senators privately gripe that the West Virginia Democrat takes his public stands for "publicity" reasons.
Read 5 tweets
7 Oct
McConnell and Cornyn both vote to break filibuster on debt ceiling. Rick Scott, another member of leadership, voted NO. Vote ongoing
Thune and Murkowski both vote yes. Grassley said.
McConnell says: “Six votes to go.”
Read 7 tweets
5 Oct
At lunch today and also on Thursday, Dems discussed changes to rules to let debt ceiling hike advance by simple majority. Manchin and Sinema didn’t address caucus. Manchin told me later: “We're not going to default.” How it ends up remains to be seen. cnn.com/2021/10/05/pol…
Democrats are roundly opposed to using reconcilation to raise the debt ceiling, even as Manchin has spoken in favor of it. And there was discussion about Biden using 14th Amendment to raise debt ceiling, an issue untested in court. w/@FoxReports
GOP saying if Dems do reconcilation, they would let the process move quicker. “I think there are ways you could expedite the reconciliation and do it at 51 under that procedure.  They say it’s too unwieldy, takes too much time. Well, that can always be addressed though agreement”
Read 4 tweets
5 Oct
Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer just told me “can’t do it” when asked if the budget reconcilation process is on the table to raise the debt ceiling by the Oct. 18 deadline.

“Reconcilation is very risky, risking default and risking downgrade. Can’t do it,” he said
Here are the options for raising debt limit: •An agreement to set the vote to suspend debt limit at a 51-vote threshold, but Republicans are objecting to that. (Any one senator can force a 60-vote threshold)
•Getting 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. But that would require 10 GOP votes, which isn’t happening
•Democrats using nuclear option to change filibuster rules to allow debt ceiling hike to advance with 51 votes. Manchin rejects this, so Dems don’t have the votes to do it
Read 4 tweets
4 Oct
Manchin just told me that Hyde Amendment is a “red line” in talks over social safety net expansion. Has little appetite to go over $1.5T. And suggests openness to reconcilation to raise the debt limit, which Dem leaders resist
Asked about Dem leaders ruling out using reconcilation to raise the debt ceiling, Manchin said: “Well they shouldn’t rule out anything - we just can’t let the debt ceiling lapse.”
But he pushed back on the idea of gutting the filibuster to do that. “Forget the filibuster, Ok? We can prevent default, we really can prevent it. And there’s a way to do that, and there’s a couple other tools we have that we can use.”
Read 7 tweets
1 Oct
New — Bernie Sanders, standing outside Schumer’s office, tells us infrastructure deal should be “defeated” and rails on late-night dealmaking effort
Sanders: “It is an absurd way to do business, to be negotiating a multi trillion dollar bill a few minutes before a major vote with virtually nobody knowing what's going on. That's unacceptable.”
“And I think what has got to happen is that tonight, the bipartisan infrastructure bill must be defeated. And we can the. sit down and work out a way to pass both pieces of legislation.”
Read 6 tweets

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