Tweet

Andrew Levi

21 Oct, 10 tweets, 3 min read

@annietrev

Paging @annietrev, @DavidGHFrost & @BorisJohnson.

International trade is vital to our economy & security.

Your actions are dragging us down.

The UK’s EU roll-over deals aren’t forever.

The Johnson Brexit’s a highly damaging, oven-ready turkey.

Time to change.

A 🧵 /1.

Working together with our EU partners, we traded highly successfully with countries all around the globe.

Not as successfully as Germany, admittedly. (Funny how they do so well …).

Far from enhancing the UK’s international trading opportunities … /2.

… the Johnson Brexit strangles our international trade.

You know perfectly well why.

It’s all in the advice you receive.

Which hasn’t (yet) been entirely reprogrammed to ignore expertise & objectivity so as to fit with reality-free public messaging. /3.

First, the Johnson Brexit hammers UK trade with the $16 trillion market next door.

Europe (EU/EEA).

A market comparable to the (other) giants: USA & China.

And the rest of the Asia-Pacific combined.

And 6x the whole of Africa.

And 4x the whole of South America. /4.

Second, it radically weakens our position with global trading partners & competitors.

The UK’s roll-over EU deals are stop-gaps, preserving for a while the benefits which the power of being an EU member gave us.

That won’t last. /5.

We’ll gain crumbs on the swings of “agility”.

We’ll lose heavily on the roundabouts of weakness. /6.

That isn’t “talking the country down”.

That accolade belongs to those denying the UK’s powerful track record advancing the national interest in the EU.

And who are daily dismantling, in trade & economy, geopolitics & internal cohesion, UK security, prosperity & well-being. /7.

Third - & again you know all this from the advice you’ve received - even a best in class deal with the USA would only replace a quarter of the trade damage from the Johnson Brexit.

And that’s if the EU doesn’t strike a good US deal (we’ll be excluded) in the meantime. /8.

Top-notch deals with every other available country in the world would only replace another quarter.

A quarter plus a quarter is … a half.

There’s only one USA.

There’s only one world.

Elon & Jeff won’t find you a Planet B populated with free-trading aliens. /9.

Complaining about others talking the country down only highlights how much the Johnson Brexit & the Cabinet nodding along with it are dragging us all down.

Top tips.

Talk less. Be honest. Use evidence & expertise, not emotion, fantasy & dishonesty.

Stop the rot. Now. /10. End

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More from @AndrewPRLevi

Andrew Levi

@AndrewPRLevi

21 Oct

@BorisJohnson

Much talk of PR being better than the unfair UK system.

Others say current arrangements deliver clear majorities & powerful govt.

But, even if you like @BorisJohnson, do we really have the latter?

And: how close are we to midnight?

Spoilers. No. And: 10 seconds.

A🧵/1.

Political parties, especially the main ones, are all coalitions of some kind. We know that.

But what’s the reality in the current governing party & how is it affecting govt behaviour?

In short: quite extraordinary; &, a lot. /2.

With a majority of 80 you’d expect Mr Johnson, despite his somewhat erratic personality, to feel comfortable, appear decisive &, within limits, be effective.

He’s none of those things.

Deeply ill at ease. Dithering. And failing on every significant metric. /3.

Read 34 tweets

Andrew Levi

@AndrewPRLevi

19 Oct

@BorisJohnson

Is it just me?

I mean, we all know @BorisJohnson’s “joke” about “Green Shirts” kicking your door down & seizing your boiler “at carrot-point” isn’t just mockery of eco-folk, but a tremendously witty reference to Nazi Brown Shirts coercing people at gunpoint. Right?

And … /1.

@TheSun

… everyone also knows that isn’t funny at all. Correct?

OK. Maybe it’s just me.

But of course he knows, even if not all @TheSun readers do, that the actual Green Shirts were murderous, anti-Semitic fascists.

The Hungarian Nazi Party, say 👇/2.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian…

Or the Yugoslav Radical Union 👇 /3.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yugoslav_…

Read 6 tweets

Andrew Levi

@AndrewPRLevi

18 Oct

In the face of so much ‘winning’, there’s a lot of 🙈 & 🙉 from supporters of the oven-ready turkey that is the Johnson Brexit.

Unfortunately not so much 🙊.

Here’s a handy, very short guide to what’s really going on.

Spoiler: it’s horrible. (Happy Monday).

A🧵/1.

Claim 1: “UK has best economic growth performance in the G7”.

The UK’s Covid hit was exceptionally bad. Some of that was because of the way the statistics are done in the UK. The recovery needs to be much faster than other G7 countries just for the UK to stand still. /2.

It’s a bit faster (some is to do with the way the statistics are done in the UK: mirror image of the drop).

But nowhere near enough. This is where the IMF puts the UK in three years time👇

Terrible. Even the gap to France is big, let alone to the others.

Yes. It’s Brexit. /3.

Read 4 tweets

Andrew Levi

@AndrewPRLevi

10 Oct

@DavidGHFrost

With @DavidGHFrost, for @BorisJohnson, tweeting 1 am threats at Ireland’s government … what’s up?

“Ever bought a fake picture?” Smiley asks Esterhase, in Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy. “The more you pay for it the less inclined you are to doubt it”.

A (very long)🧵/1.

[The following is based on articles written earlier this year, updated - see “notes” tweet at the end]

When future archaeologists pick over the carbonised remains of the Johnson era, they will find many blackened cans kicked down to the ends of multiple Brexit byways. /2.

By a prime minister & cabinet trapped within the irresolvable contradictions of their core policy. Much of what the dig turns up will relate to Ireland/ Northern Ireland. Not incidental to Brexit, but central. /3.

Read 58 tweets

Andrew Levi

@AndrewPRLevi

6 Oct

@BorisJohnson

As @BorisJohnson keeps digging on “high skill, high wage”, with an approach closer to East German communism than Californian capitalism, let’s look at who did well, how the UK did, & what we can learn.

Spoiler: Mr Johnson urgently needs to reconsider his failed Brexit.

A 🧵 /1.

What matters to people is what their wages can buy. And whether they’re being treated fairly.

Let’s look at the Federal Republic of Germany (“West Germany” until 1990) & the UK. With the USA as global benchmark. /2.

So, how’s that been going?

The attached chart of GDP per capita, adjusted for purchasing power & inflation, shows Germany
overtook the UK in the 1970s. They tracked each other through the era of UK EEC/EU membership for about 35 years. Until something happened. /3.

Read 12 tweets

Andrew Levi

@AndrewPRLevi

5 Oct

Wikipedia 2051

Honecker & Johnson

Erich Ernst Paul Honecker (*25 August 1912 in Neunkirchen (Saar); †29 May 1994 in Santiago de Chile) was a German communist politician who rose to be head of the GDR state council. Through his adherence to relentless, self-interested … /1.

… ideology & associated incompetence he destroyed his country and caused incalculable harm to its people. Once everything collapsed in ignominy he was arrested & banished. West Germany invested hugely to try to repair the disaster. /2.

Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson (/ˈfɛfəl/ *19 June 1964, New York City) is an ex English nationalist politician who rose to be Prime Minister of the (former) United Kingdom. Through his adherence to relentless, self-interested …/3.

Read 6 tweets

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