Albert Pinto Profile picture
Oct 21, 2021 13 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Pentagon just unclassified its Climate report to the National Security Council.

Department of Defense wants you to know climate change is a "threat multiplier". What are all our poor bases in shithole countries going to do?
#GeopoliticsOfGHGs
media.defense.gov/2021/Oct/21/20…
US defense technocrats will now include Climate in prioritizing threats; in strategies for countering threats; in planning missions of the armed forces; in what weapons to develop and five-year plan for investments that support strategy #GeopoliticsOfGHGs
media.defense.gov/2021/Oct/21/20…
gotta love the big nerd brain energy in Pentagon planners.

Guys guys this climate change thing that our scientists are telling us about for 50 years? What if, like, its too hot for planes to take off or, get this, wildfire smoke makes bombing harder?
media.defense.gov/2021/Oct/21/20…
4/"Climate change is a threat multiplier"??
US Military call air-strikes, advise & assist militaries in a staggering 76 countries. 33 of them are in the fastest growing continent -Africa. Libya horrible enough;2020s could see escalation in Horn of Africa & Great Lakes
@nickturse
5/ Pentagon unclas report:guys guys,the warming is, like, GLOBAL. Anything could happen, think big picture here.

"While certain climate hazards and impacts are specific to particular regions of the world, many are cross- cutting, cascading, and/or global" media.defense.gov/2021/Oct/21/20…
6/ Taking the piss coz pentagon is full of technical people who want more to be done on climate. They have talked about climate change at NSC since 1960s!

However, the word adaptation is mentioned 15 times. Mitigation, actually cutting carbon? 5 times.
7/ Pentagon's role as driver of industrial policy & employer is going to be v imp for Green New Deal. A burst of thinking to REPURPOSE military as wars end. Eg. 1992 report "Cold War peace dividend" set out blueprint for an Office of Economic conversion epi.org/files/page/-/o…
8/ The Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) today released a National Intelligence Estimate on climate change.

China and India will play key role in determining how quickly global temperatures rise. #GeopoliticsOfGHGs
dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…
9/ Pentagon: world is going to warm so fast countries will break apart.

US Intelligence: We foresee basically no change to how much carbon the top 10 countries burn per person in 2030.

dunno make cutting carbon a climate national security strategy?
dni.gov/index.php/news…
10/ Are there no mirrors at the Pentagon??

"We assess that most countries that rely on fossil fuel...support their budgets will continue to resist a quick transition to a zero-carbon world"

US is the worlds largest Oil & Gas producer.
dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…
#GeopoliticsOfGHGs
11/ US Natl Intelligence, ACTUALLY these EVENTS would change our climate assessment:

Zero Carbon Technological breakthrough
Climate TIPPING POINT disaster
Russia or China military action in Arctic
A scared country doing geoengineering
#GeopoliticsOfGHGs
dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…
12/ Pentagon - don't you climate people who think solving climate change is about markets, tech, etc know that it is about POWER. #GeopoliticsOfGHGs

Don't forget the only reason you have Climate Models is because of Nuclear Weapons dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…
13/ The Pentagon is wrong about Adaptation. But right that Climate is not an environmentalist 'issue' but about Power.

Call it #GeopoliticsOfGHGs: Climate IS Natl Security IS Industrial policy IS forging of social forces to carry out long-term projects

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More from @70sBachchan

Jul 12
Latest @polycrisis dispatch is out. @kmac & I show just how deep the finance-ecology-geopolitics rabbit hole Hurricane Beryl goes. Sign up here:

buttondown.email/polycrisisdisp…
2/ Ecology: With super hot oceans, we are very worried about this Atlantic hurricane season. THIRTY storms are predicted plus minus 5, depending on el nino

Finance: Worry that coming devastation will shake insurance industry to the core just as 2004-5 did
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/globa…
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3/London, Zurich, Bermuda are home of reinsurance.
Insurance model rely on risks being 1 Uncorrelated 2 Calculable 3 Paid for by mkt returns elsewhere
But #globalwarming upends Insurance
It correlates risks (global!); creates catastrophic fat-tails; and crimps returns everywhere. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 4
what reading one book by Brett Christophers does to a mf
‘while it is possible to prevent businesses from doing profitable things, it is impossible to make them do things they consider insufficiently profitable’. Why do all this 'market failure' nonsense
ft.com/content/b2b6fb…
Brett Chrisopher's work on Rentier Capitalism has been eyeopening. Asset Managers like Blackrock now run the roads we drive on; the pipes that supply our drinking water; the farmland that provides our food; electricity & heat. Nice profile

@ddhitchens
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Under capitalism, profit expectations drive companies’ invstmt decisions. Building solar/wind & selling the electricity they generate, however, generally is not a very profitable business What sort of returns do investors earn, asks Brett Christophers time.com/6958606/climat…
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Jun 4
Yes, BJP still sets the terms in the Indian parliament. But it will not have the decisive electoral majority of 2019-2024 lok sabha where it ran bills with zero opposition or consultation. After this election it will have to respect India’s opposition and democracy
India's stock market slides. Their logic?
BJP not winning in a landslide -> forced to have a NDA coalition government that will inevitably have to be more pro-welfare
--> hence the BJP cannot do nakedly pro-rich liberal reforms --> Oops, sell sell sell

Image
Adani's reversal tells you everything.
"In 9yrs of Modi’s tenure, Adani’s wealth grew from $8bn to $137bn. In 2022 alone, he made $72bn, which is more than the combined earnings of the world’s next 9 billionaires" ht @AnnPettifor

theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

Image
Read 42 tweets
Mar 30
1/ "What's happening in Guyana isn't just happening there. All over the globe, oil companies are racing to tap as many of the remaining fossil fuel reserves as they can"
@jeffgoodell :

Nice @WeAreDrilled @amywestervelt
rollingstone.com/politics/polit…
stitcher.com/show/drilled

Image
2/ This is not a a story of Guyana’s PM lecturing western liberals over hypocrisy climate, oil & Amazonian forests.

But a geopolitical story of developing country elites working with western firms (Exxon) to sell to western markets (oil goes to europe)
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/offsh…
3/ "Guyana is now producing nearly as much oil as Venezuela -1 of the largest oil exporters since the 1920s & founder of OPEC

This amazing article on Exxon shows that the logic of imperial exploitation of natural resources is alive & kicking"-@GaraviniG
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/offsh…
Image
Read 7 tweets
Oct 21, 2023
White House request to Congress for $106 billion in emergency funding for foreign aid.

A budget tells you more than words about actual priorities. Full breakdown in this PDF incl military aid to Ukraine, Israel, intl development (World bank) etc Thread whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
Image
2/ UKRAINE: US so far has sent more than $75 billion to Ukraine. Of new $106B, Biden asks $61B for Ukraine.

~$50B military aid, loans for military gear, DOD stocks of weapons etc (Pg 4-27_
~$11.75B economic (pg 42)

New aid is opposed by GOP in House
whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…

Image
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3/Reminder why Biden's request for emergency funding looks the way it does-$106B for ukraine,israel,border, humanitarian. US congressional politics when governed by Dem president+Dem senate+Republican house makes funding requests look like a dogs breakfast
Read 4 tweets
Aug 16, 2023
“opposite responses of China and the U.S. have revealed that the two countries appear weak only because their strengths are asymmetric”

Key point from @BuddyYakov: US and China can mobilize their fiscal and productive capacity in a way that EU cannot.
noemamag.com/the-american-f…
deja vu Policy debates in US-EU-China

US, 2021:
Do more fiscal spending into the pockets of most vulnerable households and businesses!

EU, 2022:
Do more fiscal spending ....!

China, 2023:
Do more fiscal spending into the pocket of most vulnerable households and businesses
Read 6 tweets

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