COVID Update: We turn our focus now to 28 million kids 5-11.

Presuming final approval next week, this vaccine rollout will have a number of differences & In hoping we don’t run from the nuances. 1/
There will be 28 million kids newly eligible for vaccination.

There is little doubt that they are at risk from COVID & Delta. 6 million kids have had COVID, over 1 million in the last 6 weeks. 2/
While few kids end up of dying of COVID, cases aren’t all mild, nor do they all end when the acute illness ends. MIS-C is quite problematic.

And cases can be severe in kids. This summer thousands of kids per week were being hospitalized. 3/
Kids are also not terminal COVID cases. Kids spread COVID unknowingly to teachers, parents, grandparents & other adults— as well as kids in school with childhood cancer.

Kids play a vital role in the chain of infection. 4/
In fact, kids and others who spread COVID without experiencing symptoms themselves may be one of the most dangerous & ingenious elements of the design of COVID.

Carriers allow diseases to remain lethal for some without ending by killing all their hosts. 5/
So vaccinating kids 5-11 takes on great importance in reducing spread & deaths & hastening the pandemic’s end with more blanket immunity.

Still for many these reasons may not matter in the face of the slight but non-zero risk of heart problems among some kids. 6/
People who traffic in data & evidence for a living like public health professionals & scientists must not race past the concerns of parents in this process.

They must wade into the area of public health communication that is most challenging: nuance. 7/
Public health professionals & government officials must not run from the challenge of talking to parents about the nuances of this decision. 8/
Many parents will quickly & eagerly vaccinate their kids for the reasons above. If our kids were 5-11, we would be in that group.

Alas those days are now well past us. 😟 9/
When it comes down to it, most parents face a simple question: is the benefit to my kid greater than the risk?

In vaccinating themselves people may take into account the overall societal benefit, but when it comes to their own kids, their safety may be their only concern. 10/
So what does the data actually say?

Under most circumstances, the benefit of vaccinating a 5-11 year old outweighs the risks. Those circumstances include times when even modest amounts of COVID are circulating. 11/
But in situations where there is negligible COVID (not the situation we face today), the benefits are unsurprisingly not very significant & the risk, however modest, stays the same.

Still strong benefit to society but for kids themselves, there is a more nuanced answer. 12/
This is nuance parents have every right to understand & public health professionals should not brush over it in the interest of expediency.

The selective use of data is where public health risks its credibility. 13/
There is a better approach.

Unlike adult vaccinations, 25,000 pediatricians are signed up to vaccinate kids.

Pediatricians are used to communicating directly with parents 1:1 about vaccinations & answering their questions. They are best positioned for this conversation. 14/
Most pediatricians will be able to discuss the mild side effects & the much more rare serious cases & counsel parents about the school, sports & camping situations where they are at real risk— all while asking about family situations & other exposures. 15/
Pediatricians must also explain that there are likely to be kids in the school with childhood cancer who deserve a safe environment, grandparents who care for their grandkids & teachers who show up every day & deserve to be safe.16/
Sadly not all kids have pediatricians— a more important underlying issue— so community clinics, schools & pharmacists must be armed with the information to answer questions. 16/
My response to parents who ask is what I said on @CNN tonight: if you have concerns about vaccinating your kids, talk to a pediatrician. Get your questions answered. And be thoughtful about all the other families at school. 17/
The case for vaccinating kids is powerful & doesn’t require shortcuts. It does call for nuance & a real appreciation of how parents will face & consider the question.

Let’s enlist pediatricians & match our scientific progress with great public delivery. /end

Let’s get it done.

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More from @ASlavitt

22 Oct
COVID Update: Vital. We now have enough vaccines to vaccinate every adult in the globe by the end of the year.

Everything we have should go towards getting those into arms ASAP— particularly with some troubling hints of new mutations. 1/
There are about 5 billion adults on the planet.

3 billion are currently vaccinated. 3.77 billion have had a single shot.

In the last 30 days, we produced 1.3 billion vaccines. We are not far. 2/
Most countries have high vaccination levels.
The first set of countries had the money & the foresight to bet on the right vaccines
The second set of countries had the money
The remaining countries get what’s left when it’s available. 3/
Read 22 tweets
18 Oct
COVID Update: The loss of Colin Powell to complications from COVID provides an overpowering lesson: get vaccinated. 3 million people with compromised immune systems depend on you. 1/
Most importantly, my condolences to Alma and General Powell’s family. Even the loss of such a public person is a deeply personal one.

We don’t just have 700,000 losses. We have a deeply personal death 700,000 times.

Less famously, this is still happening 2000 times a day. 2/
Amidst our overall reaction to this national loss is surprise from some that a fully vaccinated person could die from COVID.

Vaccinated people can die of COVID if their immune system isn’t strong enough to benefit fully from a vaccine. This is why we all need to protect them.3/
Read 11 tweets
18 Oct
COVID Update: There’s lots of evidence that the country has made up its mind about vaccine requirements.

Now time to get our leaders to follow. 1/
OK so… policy is a series of trade offs.

For example, environmental regulations vs. unfettered economic growth. That’s a trade off.

In the case of vaccine requirements to enter places where lots of people can get infected, there’s also a trade off. 2/
Benefits of requiring vaccinations at school, work, travel: Saving lives & ending the pandemic earlier

vs

Harm of requiring vaccinations: violating the incorrect perception of a few that this violates the constitution & is equivalent to martial law

As I say, trade offs 3/
Read 16 tweets
16 Oct
COVID Update: There’s always a way to do it right.

When we do the payoff is huge. 1/
Let’s start with Merck. Merck historically pays a lot of attention to global health equity.

As they roll out their highly effective anti-viral, molnupiravir ,they have already contracted with 5 generic manufacturers in India with records for effective global distribution. 2/
Poorer countries around the world and some foundations report that Merck has been coordinating to make distribution there as good or better than in wealthy nations.

Merck donates other drugs to poor nations that treat horrible illnesses where most other pharma companies don’t.3/
Read 17 tweets
15 Oct
A thought about expertise.
Stroke of luck. The same people who are Twitter pandemic experts are also supply chain experts.
For a country that abhors experts, it’s amazing how many there seem to be.
Read 4 tweets
12 Oct
COVID Update: When cases drop, we should rejoice. But in other circles, it’s when trouble begins. And as often happens, it’s beginning in Texas. 1/
Last time cases were dropping, Gov Ron DeSantis felt the time was right to get cocky. To tell the world that he wasn’t about to allow the state to fall victim to “Faucism.” Instead he was for freedom.

What did that mean?

2/
What did this mean?

-Boats can’t dock if they ask people if their vaccinated
-Schools can’t require masks
-Why vaccinate when you can treat sick people?

Ultimately it meant the plurality of people who died this year in the US died under his watch in Florida. 3/
Read 14 tweets

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