As close to herd immunity as we can get so far:
5 countries have ~80% or more of their population fully vaccinated.
1) Deaths at or below 0.2 per 100K for >6 months.
2) UK at 68% fully vaccinated has kept deaths low at similar level despite sharp rise in cases. Vaccines work.
To get to 80% or more of total population is not easy when kids <12 are not yet able to get vaccinated.
These 5 countries vaccinated almost 90% or more of eligible population to get here. Kudos!
Since COVID infections seem to occur to some extent even after vaccinations, although much lower and milder that in absence of vaccinations, only time will tell whether we can get to long term herd immunity — with or without further boosters.
But if we can prevent severe disease and reduce this disease to something like the common cold without long term sequelae, infection per se will not be an issue.
But miles to go. Many countries including the US are far away from getting 80% of the population vaccinated.
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On Jan 24, 2020 @DrEricDing posted a massive warning about the impending pandemic: The Holy Mother of God thread.
"We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen," Eric wrote.
As I read his thread again today, all of it has sadly come true
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He wrote:
"possibly an unchecked pandemic that the world has not seen since the 1918 Spanish Influenza. Let’s hope it doesn’t reach that level but we now live in the modern world 🌎 with faster ✈️+ 🚞 than 1918. @WHO and @CDCgov needs to declare public health emergency ASAP!"
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People quarreled with the R0 that was in @DrEricDing's thread, but most epidemiologists and leaders and organizations missed the forest for the trees.
Great article by @EricSylvers@WSJ on what life would look like in a country with high vaccination rate that proceeds cautiously with reopening.
The virus still circulates but deaths are very low. Life gets closer to normal with sensible precautions. wsj.com/articles/endem…
Amazing vaccination stats: 89% of the population have received at least one dose.
Almost 100% of those age 50+. 95% age 25-49.
We need to get over the mind set that wearing masks in some settings or needing to show proof of vaccination is an infringement on freedom. And realize that freedom comes by adopting sensible measures.
It's the repeated waves that pose a bigger threat to our freedom.
For brand-name prescription drugs, U.S. prices can be > 2 to 4 times higher than prices in Australia, Canada, and France.
This is neither fair nor sustainable. Medicare must be able to negotiate prescription drug prices.
The VA negotiates. Medicare doesn't. Result: Medicare pays a lot more for the same drugs. gao.gov/prescription-d…
Mandating that Medicare provide prescription drug coverage benefit for the public while simultaneously mandating that Medicare cannot negotiate the price it pays but pay up whatever Pharma wants is one of the most inexplicable laws ever passed.
A booster dose of vaccine reduces risk of COVID infection by 95%. Given the number of unvaccinated people, & the number or vulnerable vaccinated people, reducing infections to this degree is a big deal.
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Reducing infections reduces risk of deaths from Covid, morbidity from acute Covid, risk of long covid, risk of transmission to others, and the rise of mutants.
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The big question we grapple with now is not whether boosters work. (They do). It is the more difficult question of how boosters here will affect vaccine supply around the world.
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