Jesse D. Jenkins Profile picture
Oct 29, 2021 14 tweets 9 min read Read on X
What does the #BuildBackBetter Framework (whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…) and emerging bill have in store for #ClimateAction and #CleanEnergy? @yayitsrob gives you a great tour through the key components @TheAtlantic theatlantic.com/science/archiv… A brief 🧵 w/Rob as our guide...
First, a $320 billion package of tax credits for electric vehicles, heat pumps and energy efficient buildings, clean energy, transmission, energy storage, carbon capture and industrial decarbonization, are the core of the plan.

Here's what is in store for the power sector ⚡️ ⤵️
There are new tax credits for investment in electricity transmission (a key priority, since @Princeton Net-Zero America study shows we've gotta expand US transmission by as much as 60% by 2030) and energy storage and a new $180/ton credit kick-start direct air capture technology
Then there's the stuff you and I will see in our own lives: tax credits, fully refundable in most cases, for consumer and business purchases of electric vehicles, energy efficient building upgrades, electric heat pumps to electrify water or space heating, rooftop solar and more.
But wait, that's not all: one of the areas that has been significantly strengthened in the emerging final bill (relative to the House version from September) is funding for industrial decarbonization. Industry is neck-and-neck with transport & power for largest emitting sector.
There's even more the intrepid @yayitsrob didnt have time/space to include: grants for state efficiency & EV programs, $ to build out EV charger networks and key long-distance transmission, funding to electrify buses, postal service fleet & ports, a new "Green Bank'...
...low-cost financing programs at DOE to backstop investment in clean energy, advanced manufacturing & transmission, the creation of a new Civilian Climate Corps, significant programs to help ag & forestry sectors suck up CO2 & rural utilities to shift to cleaner power sources.
So is it enough? Here's @yayitsrob's closing. Our @Princeton/@EvolvedEnergy REPEAT Project (repeatproject.org) is standing by to model every provision in the final bill, count up the tons & see how it compares to Bidens' 2030 goal to cut US emissions to 50% below peak level
But beyond the tons, I think @yayitsrob's piece starts to get at something that is underappreciated about the #ClimateAction programs in the #BuildBackBetter deal. They aim to not just reduce tons but FUNDAMENTALLY TRANSFORM every major emitting sector in the economy.
From electricity and industry to transportation, buildings and agriculture, the BBB has programs in each sector designed to drive transformative innovations and new technologies, grow new industries, build supply chains, reshape consumer and business habits and practices and more
Just think about how much the power sector has been transformed over the past decade, since the last time Congress tried to pass major #ClimateAction policy in 2009/2010, thanks to tax credits & support for wind, solar, EVs, and yes, unconventional gas (shale gas).
So if/when #BuildBackBetter passes, it would not only put the US w/in striking distance of 2030 emissiosn goals, it would also transform each major sector of the economy and set up much greater cuts -- all the way to net-zero. And THAT is perhaps the most important part of all.
Thank you for coming to my TED talk ;-)
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More from @JesseJenkins

Mar 24
A federal judge temporarily halted completion of a 102-mile high voltage transmission line that would connect dozens of renewable energy projects to the grid, at the behest of three environmental groups. 🤦‍♂️
reuters.com/sustainability…


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At issue: Driftless Area Land Conservancy, National Wildlife Refuge Association & Wisconsin Wildlife Federation sued to block a land swap approved by US Dept of Interior that would add 35 new acres of land to a wildlife refuge in exchange for 20 acres crossed by the line Come on!
I wonder where @audubonsociety @nature_org & @NWF are at on this project. They've done a lot to help keep a more balanced perspective on broad benefits of transmission to connect clean electricity resources and local environmental impacts.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 22, 2023
At long last, proposed #hydrogen tax credit rules are out. Industry reactions are in. While opponents of climate-friendly rules continue to complain, stakeholders from across the industry endorsed the proposal & are prepared to unleash investment in a truly clean H2 sector. A🧵⤵️
The Biden admin resisted a torrent of intense lobbying from big industrial players like the utilities NextEra & Constellation, oil majors like BP & Exxon, fuel-cell maker Plug Power, & their trade-group proxies, which spent millions on ads & lobbying to weaken the hydrogen rules.
But this has never been a "greens v industry" fight. In fact, a broad range of industry voices have consistently championed a three-pillars-based set of hydrogen rules. See
1.
2.
3.
4. s3.documentcloud.org/documents/2385…
taxnotes.com/research/feder…
nrdc.org/sites/default/…
greenh2catapult.com/2023/11/06/joi…
Read 22 tweets
Nov 13, 2023
If you’ve read about electric vehicles in the news lately, you know the vibes are all bad. The media has fixated on the idea that consumer demand for EVs is “slowing." But the data shows that just not true, as I explain in a new @Heatmap column heatmap.news/electric-vehic…
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If we take a look at actual sales data (as I did here ), there’s NO sign the growth in EVs is flagging. In fact, sales of battery electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles in the third quarter exhibited the strongest year-on-year growth since the Q4 2021! anl.gov/esia/reference…
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Putting aside plug-in hybrids, which have shorter electric range and retain a gasoline engine, sales of purely electric vehicles have been steadily increasing at ~60% annual growth rate for each of the last six quarters. That’s fast enough to double EV sales every 14 months. Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 8, 2023
In the past two weeks, I think EVERY media outlet has written a story w/headlines like "EV sales are slowing" or "automakers are pulling back" from EVs. All present recent developments as a major setback. But are they? Are they really slowing? Is this 'red alert' moment? A 🧵...


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What does it mean that EV sales are "slowing"? Year-on-year growth rates have been ~60% in each of the last several months. That's a rate fast enough to double sales in about 18 months. It's hard to see growth that fast as "slowing" sales.
The best (and only) quantitative evidence presented for the dominant media narrative is this data, as presented in a WSJ piece yesterday here: dealers for traditional OEMs (Ford, VW etc) are taking more time to move EVs off the lots wsj.com/business/autos…
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Read 19 tweets
Nov 1, 2023
It's not a disaster. These offshore projects getting cancelled now all signed fixed price long-term contracts several years ago, pre-pandemic & then got clobbered by unexpected interest rate hikes and cost inflation that made the projects financially unviable.
Developers tried to pass along costs to states (NY MA NJ) & their electricity consumers, and for the most part were rebuffed. State agencies basically said "No, a contract is a contract and we cant start renegotiating or any future contract wont be worth the ink it's printed on."
I happen to think that's a perfectly reasonable decision. These states will have to re-contract for new projects. In fact, NY just inked another 4 GW of contracts from three new projects after rejecting attempts to hike cost of a couple of previously contracted projects.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 27, 2023
Important🧵from BNEF expert @CoreyBCantor ⤵️
It's been a rough few weeks of news on US EV transition. But there's also QUITE a lot of groupthink and sensationalism. Seems like everyone in the press decided this week the EV transition was dead and consumers "dont want EVs." Yet...
We risk conflating a *slow down* in incumbent automaker's EV ramp up plans -- GM, Ford, VW & Honda specifically -- with the broader market, which is still growing robustly, about 50% year-on-year according to @CoreyBCantor, despite serious headwinds from high interest rates.
While GM & Ford etc. pull back, upstarts like Tesla & Rivian are growing and other incubments like Volvo () & Hyundai () are leaning in and staying the course.electrek.co/2023/10/26/vol…
insideevs.com/news/693556/hy…
Read 10 tweets

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