#Politics101
The court of public opinion and opinion surveys do not matter much in the stakes for gaining political power in Zimbabwe; two power-centres are pivotal: (i) the military in particular and the deep state in particular and (ii) electoral votes in 11K+ polling stations!
In order to gain political power, popularity is useful but not decisive!
For example, in Zim, it's impossible for any politician or political party to gain the confidence of the military and the deep state by publicly declaring that they'll take care of the military & bureaucracy after winning an election; while also supporting sanctions, like ZDERA!
A fatal messaging deficit of political parties in Zim, especially in the Opposition, is that their messages lack proselytizing value or effect, because they invariably preach to their converted ranks and once in those holes; they keep digging in, hoping to gain power to no avail!
No political party can grow its numbers or social base and forge a diverse and inclusive national consensus by preaching to the converted, day in and day out!

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More from @ProfJNMoyo

10 Sep
1/24 ON 7 SEPT 2021, I reported that three key branches of the #CIO have joined hands with ZanuPF to launch a deadly #Twitterbots campaign👇🏿.

There's more to say about the CIO/ZanuPF campaign; first let me explain this👇🏿proposition!
2/24 THE IDEA that many grown up kids of ZanuPF parents are more ZanuPF than their parents is a social reality evidenced everywhere you find Zimbabweans, including in these streets. It's not that the grown up kids are more ZanuPF as members or supporters, than their parents; no!
3/24 BEING ZANUPF is not about membership or supportership; rather it's about one's mindset, interpersonal or interactive disposition and level of consciousness. Put differently, it's about one's pervasive mentality or general orientation and style of engagement on public issues!
Read 24 tweets
7 Sep
#TuesdayLetter
7/9/21
Dear Everyone,
1/24 WHAT'S GOING ON? This is the question I have been asked over the last few days, and especially since las Friday, through DMs, chats, calls & even in these streets.

It all started with this👇🏿tweet by @glenmpani!

2/24 The point by @glenmpani was that Zimbabweans seeking change:

*Want out/can't join ZanuPF.
*Find MDC Chamisa disorganized, intolerant, immature & unstrategic.
*Think it's suicidal to be independent or to form a party.

I agreed with him as per this👇🏿!
3/24 ALAS, @glenmpani's tweet & my rejoinder torched a storm, with a torrent of abuse from some MDC-A rank and file. The worst for me was an MDC-A leader who angrily told a mutual colleague that I should have shared my rejoinder with him before tweeting it. No academic does that!
Read 24 tweets
26 Aug
1/7 MNANGAGWA'S CLAIM THAT HE WAS SENTENCED TO DEATH in 1965 and escaped the penalty because he was underage, is a MYTH, that is a LIE, as previously revealed by Jonathan Chando & now confirmed, behind Mnangagwa's back, by Eddie Cross in "A LIFE OF SACRIFICE: Emmerson Mnangagwa"!
2/7 THROUGHOUT HIS POLITICAL CAREER, Mnangagwa has claimed that he was sentenced to death for blowing up locomotive No 510 in Masvingo in 1964, but was not executed because he was underage. He repeated the lie in April 2021 in his @SundayMailZim interview with @VictoriaRuzvid2!
3/7 IN A REVEALING AND DAMAGING DISCLOSURE, which confirms Jonathan Chando's previous reports, Eddie Cross reproduces (p.23) the 1965 court record, which is missing from the National Archives, in which the judge found that: "I DO NOT THEREFORE PROPOSE TO SENTENCE YOU TO DEATH"!
Read 7 tweets
21 Aug
1/14 Once again Mnangagwa is in Bulawayo today, with his security boys Owen "Machete" Mudha Ncube & Kazembe Kazembe, in another Virginia Mabiza facilitated abuse of the @NPRCZim & Matabeleland traditional chiefs to cleanse himself of #gukurahundi blood!

chronicle.co.zw/just-in-presid…
2/14 Following the publication of his biography, littered with lies by Eddie Cross that he only played a peripheral role in the #gukurahundi genocide, Mnangagwa hopes the Cross book will whitewash his murderous gukurahundi past; before the @NPRCZim comes to an end in 23 months!
3/14 It's a cruel lie & a deepening of his genocidal complicity in gukurahundi atrocities to say, as does Eddie Cross in a book which been taken off the shelves in Zim for security reasons, that Mnangagwa played a minor role in the framing & execution of the gukurahundi genocide!
Read 14 tweets
16 Aug
#MondayLetter
16/8/21
Dear Everyone,
1/24 There's been spirited debate in these streets & elsewhere, sparked by @glenmpani's intervention on Zimbabwe's triple crisis of political parties, arising from the DEPOLITICISATION of the public sphere since the Nov 2017 military coup!
2/24 Unfortunately but understandably, some vested interests took @glenmpani's intervention & my rejoinder to it, as an attack & opposition to @mdczimbabwe & @nelsonchamisa. Yet what's been seen as OPPOSITION is in fact FRUSTRATION & what's been seen as an ATTACK is a CHALLENGE!
3/24 Arguably, most Zimbabweans see the MDC-A as the most promising way forward. Yet as the the dynamics of 2023 become real with little preparedness to see on the ground; FRUSTRATION is dominating many private and public discussions, because the election is due within 23 months!
Read 24 tweets
11 Aug
1/24 This is a trenchant observation @glenmpani, as it aptly & criticallly captures the current Zimbabwean political dilemma: a nation trapped between a rock & a hard place, in a Gramscian Interregnum, unable to move forward because the old is neither dying nor birthing the new!
2/24 Although your observation is based on the state of political parties, from a critical unpacking of the prevailing balance of forces in Zimbabwe and in the region; the writing is on the wall that political parties are withering away, and nascent coalitions are replacing them!
3/24 The dilemma of those who are finding it challenging to be ZanuPF or MDC or Independent, has a context; given that there is no political party in Zimbabwe today with a discernible and coherent ideology or policy programme that's commensurate with the demands of the moment!
Read 24 tweets

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