Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Nov 1, 2021 13 tweets 7 min read Read on X
📣🎉 AND HERE...WE...GO!!

My Official 2022 #ACA Open Enrollment Guide
(developing...I'm running a bit late with it this year):
acasignups.net/21/11/01/and-w…
Here's 12 Things to Remember when you go to #GetCovered:

1. MOST WILL HAVE MORE TIME BUT YOU STILL SHOULDN'T DELAY!

The final deadline has been extended by a full month in most states, but in order to have your coverage start IN JANUARY you should still enroll by DECEMBER 15th!
2. AVOID JUNK PLANS & SCAMS; MAKE SURE YOU ENROLL IN AN OFFICIAL ACA POLICY.

There's lots of questionable website selling questionable policies these days. Stick to *official* ACA exchanges or *authorized* enrollment partners only!
3. OFF-EXCHANGE ENROLLEES: THIS IS THE YEAR TO SWITCH TO ON-EXCHANGE COVERAGE!

Thanks to the #AmRescuePlan, millions who are paying full price for off-exchange plans are now eligible for enhanced #ACA subsidies...but they have to enroll ON-EXCHANGE to take advantage of this!
4. MILLIONS MORE NOW QUALIFY FOR FINANCIAL HELP...AND THOSE WHO ALREADY DID QUALIFY FOR MORE!

Middle-income folks had to pay full price, & help for many lower-income folks still wasn't generous enough. Thanks to the #AmRescuePlan, #ACA plans are now affordable for *everyone*!
5. TEN STATES OFFER *ADDITIONAL* SAVINGS *ON TOP OF* EXPANDED #ARP SUBSIDIES!

In addition to the expanded/enhanced savings thanks to the #AmRescuePlan, 10 states have their own programs offering additional financial help for lower- (& sometimes middle-income) enrollees!
6. FOR LOWER-INCOME ENROLLEES, SILVER IS THE NEW PLATINUM!

If you earn < 200% FPL (~$26K if single; ~$52K for a family of 4), make sure to enroll in a SILVER plan to get SUBSTANTIALLY lower out of pocket costs!

"CSR Silver 94" or "CSR Silver 87" are effectively PLATINUM plans!
7. FOR MIDDLE-INCOME ENROLLEES, GOLD PLANS MAY COST LESS THAN SILVER!

It's a long, strange story, but the bottom line is that if you earn *over* 200% FPL, some Gold plans may not only be a better value than Silver, they may actually cost less in premiums...or even cost $0/month!
8. FIVE STATES* STILL HAVE THEIR OWN INDIVIDUAL MANDATE!

The *federal* penalty may be gone, but CA, DC, MA, NJ & RI all still charge a financial penalty for residents who don't have #ACA-compliant healthcare coverage (unless they have an exemption).

*(I know DC isn't a state.)
9. MANY STATES/COUNTIES HAVE MORE CHOICES THAN EVER.

The days of worrying about "bare counties" are gone. Dozens of insurance carriers are expanding their coverage areas in 2022, entering new counties & states while offering more plan options.

Of course that can be confusing...
...which is why it's great that...

10. THE NAVIGATOR PROGRAM IS BACK AT FULL STRENGTH, BABY!

The HHS Dept. has upped grant funding to dozens of qualified health insurance navigator programs nationally for 2022... especially for underserved communities. Help & guidance is here!
11. ABOVE ALL ELSE: DO *NOT* LET YOURSELF BE PASSIVELY "AUTO-RENEWED!"

It's always been a good idea to *actively* shop around to see whether there's a better value available, but that's more true than ever this year! Don't leave money on the table; SHOP AROUND & save!
Whoops! I thought I had 12 items listed but I guess I only wrote up 11.

OK, here's #12: If you find this thread or my work at ACA Signups useful & want to support it, you can do so here either one-time or monthly, thanks!

P.S. make sure to #GetCovered!
acasignups.net/support

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More from @charles_gaba

Nov 10
Here's an updated version of my "Dem Stop the Steal!" conspiracy theory thread which hopefully is less scattershot.

There's 3 main claims:

1. "How could there be 20M fewer voters than in 2020 w/"record-breaking turnout?"

2. "How could 15M fewer voter for Harris vs. Biden?"
3. "How could so many swing state voters vote for the Dem for Senate but not for Harris for POTUS?"

There's a few others, but these are the biggest ones, so let's tackle them first:
1. There weren't 20M fewer voters.

I've been compiling the data as it's being updated by CNN's tracking center via a Google spreadsheet. As of this writing, total POTUS turnout is ~147.6M, or ~10.8M lower than 2020's 158.4M.

cnn.com/election/2024/…

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 46 tweets
Nov 8
Yesterday I posted a thread digging into the actual data behind the "20M missing votes!" and "15M fewer than Biden!" conspiracy theories being tossed around the past few days.

I've updated my spreadsheet using the latest data from CNN:
cnn.com/election/2024/…Image
Short Version:

Via CNN, as of this writing, total 2024 POTUS votes are only down 13.9 million vs. 2020...with a likely 11.5 - 12.0 million ballots still to be counted across 30 states.

Total 2024 turnout will likely be ~156M or so...just a couple million fewer than 2020.
Again, using CNN's data & estimates, once every legitimate ballot has been counted, Trump will likely have around ~78 million votes to Harris' 75-76 million.

That'd mean he added ~4 million vs 2020 while she lost ~5-6 million.

Both of these would still suck, of course.
Read 14 tweets
Nov 3
As the guy who obsessed over precisely this data for nearly 3 years, let me address this:

My best estimate is that around 150,000 more Trump 2020 voters than Biden 2020 voters died between Nov. 2020 & Nov. 2022.

That's a lot of people. HOWEVER... 1/

acasignups.net/22/09/17/eleph…
...the vast majority of this discrepancy happened in districts/counties which were heavily red to begin with, which is why the MAGA COVID Death Cult factor only ended up making a decisive difference in exactly one statewide race: Arizona Attorney General:
acasignups.net/22/12/29/updat…
At the House district level it didn't make a decisive difference in any races at all. To understand why, let's look at two extreme examples...

acasignups.net/22/12/13/updat…
Read 10 tweets
Oct 31
People have started asking why I'm still pushing fundraising for Dems just 5 days before Election Day. All the ad time has been purchased & the lit pieces printed & mailed out already, right?

There's several reasons: 1/
1. For state legislative races in particular, a last-minute cash infusion of even $50 can mean an extra few pizzas for tired & hungry canvassers or an extra burner phone for phone banking.

Blue24.org/state-leg
2. After the polls close, there's going to no doubt be some races which require recounts...which may or may not have to be paid for by the campaign requesting it, depending on the state and the margin. That's gonna cost money.

Blue24.org/endgame
Read 4 tweets
Oct 31
🧵THE DEAD POOL: Since @MikeJohnson and @JDVance are promising to Concentrate folks w/pre-existing conditions into separate Camps, let's talk about that. 1/
acasignups.net/24/10/04/dead-…
Let's go back to the pre-ACA healthcare landscape. This is what it looked like in 2012...*before* the ACA's major provisions went into effect.

Half the US had employer coverage. Another third had Medicare or Medicaid. ~11M had "individual" insurance; ~48M had nothing at all. 2/ Image
The ACA had 2 main goals:

1. Reduce the number of uninsured Americans as much as possible by making coverage more affordable & accessible;

2. Provide protections from insurance industry abuses, *especially* for the individual market where the abuses were the most blatant. 3/
Read 40 tweets
Oct 6
(sigh) OK, here we go again: Trump's Butler, PA rally crowd size.

Here's the best aerial view shot I've seen of the crowd at its peak. (the arrow shows the stage). 1/ Image
A standard dry U.S. trailer van is around 53' long. 2/
schneiderjobs.com/blog/semi-truc…
As it happens, the aerial shot shows several presumably standard trailer vans lined up neatly in a row just outside the perimeter in the lower right.

By copying & pasting one of them, it looks like the venue runs around 7 trailer vans x 4 trailer vans. 3/ Image
Read 9 tweets

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