As we await the returns in Virginia, there is one key issue that worked to Youngkin's advantage re: schools and it is NOT "critical race theory." It's the fact that many districts, including Fairfax County Public Schools, remained shut down for the entirety of 2020-21.
Whatever the final results may be, it is time to declare the pandemic effectively over. Child vaccinations are now authorized. Boosters are available to anybody who wants them. There is no justification for any continued mandated NPIs. Not in blue, purple or red localities.
Note that this is NOT a "culture war" issue like CRT is. It's very much a bread-and-butter quality of life matter. It is time that fellow Democrats acknowledge and embrace the end of masks and distancing. This is not for political reasons but because it's the right thing to do.
If this election is the wake-up call needed to nudge blue state/locale PH officials then great. But again, it should have nothing to do with an election. The science has been clear that immunity is the way to go from pandemic to endemic.
But if we want to game this out politically for Dems, declaring an end to restrictions (at schools and elsewhere) will help everybody adjust *economically* to endemicity. That means a more predictable supply chain, labor markets and prices --> sounder economy --> good politics!
The health consideration is the number one reason to do this, however. And I mean both physical and mental health. Again, everybody now has the tools available to protect themselves and their families. Now we can return to better overall health, fitness and sanity.
As for me, my wife and I got the Moderna booster. And we will vaccinate our 6 and 7 year olds. Not because they are at great risk but because I think it's the best way for them to get their antibodies and B & T cells (esp. at the low Pfizer kid dose). And that's it.
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The change from 2020 to 2021 in Virginia was driven by non-college white women. Not by non-college non-whites (Hispanics were 66-33 for T-Mac, better than 61-36 in 2020). Lesser drop-off among non-college white men and college white men.
Here is education and race. Again, non-college non-whites were more pro-Terry than pro-Biden!
Also, a majority of 2021 Virginia voters support covid vaccine mandates. So if you are reading into this election a need for Dems to drop vax mandates, don't.
I have no idea what will happen in Virginia today. I last lived in Virginia in 1995 when it was much redder. I think Terry would make a much better Governor than he was a candidate (he showed that in 2014-18) and better Gov than Youngkin. But Youngkin ran a much better campaign.
Given the national environment, this race would clearly be closer than 2017 (D+9). But if Terry ran a somewhat decent and competent campaign, he would still be favored to win easily. But alas, he ran as Terry McAwful and is at real risk of losing - and taking down LG, AG & HoD.
Campaigns and candidates matter. There's a reason there are Dem Governors in KY and LA, and GOP Governors in MD, MA and VT. How much campaigns and candidates matter in the end is up for debate and depends on specific circumstances, but surely enough for a few points.
It's time for defunct and relocated sports team logo fun. We'll start with teams formerly in Houston and Atlanta: Three ice hockey teams (Houston Aeros in the WHA, Atlanta Flames and Thrashers in the NHL) and Houston Oilers.
Boston and Milwaukee Braves.
And now to the NBA. Rochester Royals ->Cincinnati Royals->Kansas City and KC/Omaha Kings-> (Now the Sacramento Kings)
Well, a shoulder MRI is not exactly a pleasant experience. 25 minutes of loud pulsing like the keyboards in The Who's "Won't Get Fooled Again" (less melodic, though with random Kelly Clarkson playing through the earmuff), and you can't sit up inside the tube. Good times...
I'm not normally claustrophobic. But years of CBT training for anxiety disorders definitely came in handy.
It's for a rotator cuff tear, BTW. MRI to determine extent of tear before likely surgery. But really, the hardest part was how long it took. I thought it'd be over in about 10 or 12 minutes. But then we had to do 5 minutes extra at the end, so it was 25 minutes total.
Summary thread of what I think about covid: 1) Zero covid ain't happening. It will be endemic. 2) Patterns of endemic SARS-CoV-2 infection and covid severity will depend on seasonality and population immunity. 3) Population immunity means vax and/or prior infection.
4) Mandated NPIs (masks/distancing) should be avoided except in absolute emergency situations (hospitals overwhelmed). 5) Boosters will be a fact of life for people aged 65+ (and possibly 50+); maybe semi-annual, maybe not. But age is still the biggest factor in covid outcomes.
6) Where I differ from US policy - Young people age 12-21 (especially male) should be given either a lower vax dose, single dose, or the dose spread out. 7) School kids 5-11 should not be mandated vax. But given lower dose level for under 12s, I will get for my kids.