NEW: The handwringing over tactics is fine and probably inevitable in a race as close as VA-gov, but it’s the definition of sweating the small stuff. mailchi.mp/crooked.com/bi…
The small-bore stuff might have actually made the difference between victory and defeat in VA, but it’s also the stuff we understand the worst. crooked.us19.list-manage.com/subscribe?u=88…
Ultimately, though, McAuliffe (and Dems in NJ) were swimming against strong currents; some of which Democrats in Washington had no control over, but others of which they did.
Worse than governing errors is this horrifying political fact: After Trump killed hundreds of thousands of Americans with lies and incompetence, and attempted a coup, GOP voters are more worked up about imaginary threats to democracy than Democratic voters are about real ones.
That’s my bottom-line take: the political failures that created such terribly skewed public perceptions are the least forgivable. The people who tried to overthrow the government are scheming to reclaim power and if Democrats can’t rise to the threat, they’ll get it.

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More from @brianbeutler

28 Oct
Dems ought to make a huge stink about things like this—the near-daily ritual of feral Trumpers assaulting flight attendants and servers. Instead of letting them play victim over COVID rules, hold a press conference every time a red-hatted thug attacks someone for doing their job.
We watched Republicans put on an insane performance in the Senate to the end of stopping DOJ from doing anything to protect school-board members and election officials from violence and threats. But the incidents are so frequent, this should be a huge liability for them.
This is what I was getting at yesterday RE the Garland hearing. Just because Republicans are pretending to be outraged doesn’t mean they’re on solid political terrain. But lots of Dems cower.
Read 4 tweets
27 Oct
Garland is a bad fit in many ways, including this instance, but this is just him acting like a pretty ordinary liberal, assuming that if Republicans are acting mad about something it must be weak ground for Democrats.
But of course the best response to “why do you treat parents like terrorists?!?!” isn’t to meekly deny the accusation, it’s to say, “why do you think violent people should get away with terrorizing teachers, school-board members, and election officials?”
Funny enough we just saw how this works with McAuliffe raising a righteous stink about Youngkin supporting book banning. So it’s not like the whole party cowers. But cowering is pretty standard.
Read 4 tweets
6 Oct
Schumer should thrill at the opportunity to say that Democrats gave Trump no grief over the debt limit for four years, and since this is how Republicans have repaid them, they can either end their filibuster or Dems will end it for them.
Read 5 tweets
6 Oct
A point in favor of the “savvy power move by Schumer” theory is that Sinema/Manchin donors fully had their backs on not changing the filibuster. At some point, probably after today’s vote, Schumer’s approach will upend the alignment. Corporate America will beg them go nuclear.
Of course, that’s why we’re also likely to get the most limited rule change possible, and an impermanent debt limit extension.
Normally these interests would have pull in Republican offices and would try to scare up 10 GOP votes for cloture. But Republicans clearly DGAF about the well-being of the country and it’s easier to count to two than to 10.
Read 4 tweets
5 Oct
Ok, so below you’ll find a boring and somewhat traumatizing Twitter poll. Basically I want to know where people who follow me are on the “will Trump run again?” question. I’m about 60-40 that he won’t.
If I had to bet, I’d bet he’ll take the money and run, and avoid the risk of another ego-crushing defeat. But obviously it’s also very easy to imagine that his lust for vengeance and need for protection from the law will overwhelm his greed and cowardice.
So here’s the poll. Will Trump:
Read 4 tweets
3 Oct
I think most promising development of last week was the degree to which it left the handful of people tempted to tank Build Back Better (particularly Sinema) ostracized and isolated, rather than celebrated as Mavericks (though some journalists have pushed that line).
As the White House and Dem leadership try to glean what Sinema “wants” in these negotiations, they should keep in mind that what she seems to REALLY want is an opportunity to vote no in the limelight and be remembered as a legend for it.
This moment seems less and less like a silly antic and more and more like a deep view into her psyche. But a non-binding minimum-wage amendment that was gonna fail anyway couldn’t generate the kind of suspense and import that McCain did when he killed ACA repeal.
Read 5 tweets

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