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Luca Dellanna Profile picture
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5 Nov, 5 tweets, 1 min read
Germany today:
139 COVID deaths.

Germany one year ago today:
145 COVID deaths.

Vaccination rate: 67%.

Any thoughts on why?
I can only think of a much more diffuse virus, but perhaps there’s something else?
(By “today” I mean “yesterday”, ops)
The other option would be a different accounting, is any German aware of any change on this?
This is definitely a factor, and it’s plausible that together with a more diffuse virus it explains the full phenomenon.
And this point on restrictions

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More from @DellAnnaLuca

Luca Dellanna Profile picture
3 Nov
So, let’s say that it’s 2025, we forgot about COVID, and there’s an outbreak of a novel virus in a foreign country.

We’re in the same situation as January 5th, 2020.

Given our experience with COVID, what should we do? Which policies, etc?
“Because we survived COVID even though wounded by restrictions, next time we shouldn’t use restrictions.”
I’m afraid that because we learned the true lesson that semi-closing borders late didn’t work, we will have learned the wrong lesson that closing borders early won’t work.
Read 4 tweets
Luca Dellanna Profile picture
1 Nov
One year ago today, the first Roam Book was published.

One year later:
- many roam books
- roam newsletters
- a dedicated website: roam-books.com

A thread on what they are and what they can become

First of all, what's a Roam Book (or rBook for short)?

It's a book published in @roamresearch format. This enables it to become much more than a book.

Some examples on the homepage of roam-books.com or in the quoted tweet.

I created the rBook format in November 2020 with the publishing of the first rBook, "Ergodicity" (gum.co/ergodicity/ann…), and then followed it with a second rBook, "This is Management"
gum.co/roambook/anniv…
Read 10 tweets
Luca Dellanna Profile picture
26 Oct
Imagine you were an alien. On your planet, there aren’t schools. From your spaceship, you spend some time observing one of ours.

What would you guess schools are for?

(a thread on education)
I bet that education wouldn’t be the first of your hypotheses. After all, schools deliver much better on other metrics.

For example,

2/N
Did you ever notice that most degrees are of the same length regardless of the complexity of the underlying field, and that some subjects are obsolete, as if their purpose was to employ teachers rather than teach useful skills?

3/N
Read 11 tweets
Luca Dellanna Profile picture
25 Oct
15h software debugging for 1.5T of metal on public roads is an extraordinary feat, only a genius or a psychopath could achieve that
I imagine the logic, “in 15h we couldn’t find any problem, this must mean our testing process is good enough and the software is ready for public beta”
“But there’s no alternative!”

There is: pay drivers specifically trained for testing autonomous vehicles. Like almost everyone else in the industry is doing.
Read 4 tweets
Luca Dellanna Profile picture
18 Oct
I hope it's a deception, but I fear it's a misconception.
The latter is more dangerous.

It reminds me of a critical article I read a few years ago, that explains a lot of economic policies.

(thread)

This article has an interesting thesis: the false belief that prices have an allocative function but merely a redistributive one explains most of the economic BS heard over the past decades.

An example in the next tweet 👇

(🇮🇹 source: Noisefromamerika.org/articolo/perch…)
One implication of the false belief above is that taxes and minimal wages don't affect the price of labor and thus employment. Under such false belief, of course taxes and minimal wages are a no brainer! 🤦‍♂️
Read 5 tweets
Luca Dellanna Profile picture
16 Oct
Controls are so lax, *and expected to be so lax*, that any punishment of such behavior will be a trolley problem of punishing some “genuinely unaware of managed trades” or inciting trading by controllers.

The less clarity and focus on Core Values, the more trolley problems later
Almost all “enforcement trolley problems” are downstream a lack of clarity in boundaries and/or low frequency of a violation to be caught

We want frequent controls to ensure the likelihood that large violations are malicious, thus more moral to prosecute.
Instead, allowing the risk of large violations by “genuinely honest but distracted” people (or who interpreted a grey area differently) makes it harder morally to prosecute violations: a vicious circle (less prosecution → less common knowledge of rules → more violations).
Read 4 tweets

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