The infrastructure bill will not help Democrats anymore than tax reform helped Republicans.

1) in case people missed Virginia, it’s not a priority for voters.
2) history
3) even if it was structured to benefit all like tax reform, and it’s not, there’s no impact before 2022.
I’ll add this… Tonight’s vote is why @joekent16jan19 will defeat @HerreraBeutler in WA-03, and @RepKinzinger was forced to retire to Lobby Land before he was embarrassed.

There are at least a dozen others I could’ve cited. But they will exemplify 2022.
To be clear, I’m not suggesting that tonight’s vote was “the” reason. I’m saying that it exemplifies “the” reason.

And that reason is a lack of representation. A lot of Republicans were stupid enough to believe the post-Trump delusion, and they’re going to pay for it.

Watch.
Fair or not, more Republican voters will be looking for candidates who pledge NOT to support @GOPLeader if and when they’re elected.

He’s less effective than his counterparts in ensuring the base isn’t betrayed.

Tonight, McCarthy lost his sure grip on the gavel.

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More from @Peoples_Pundit

18 Oct
Virginia shouldn’t be close. It is because of Joe Biden, who is toxic in a state he won by 10 points.
Joe Biden's approval rating among independents in Virginia is in the 30s.
Democrats are going to need a big turnout edge in Virginia to NOT lose competitive districts like the 7th in 2022. Voters say Joe Biden's job performance, which is considerably underwater, is the main reason they'll vote Republican in the midterms, even many McAuliffe voters.
Read 4 tweets
15 Sep
I've seen a lot of stupid political commentary over the years. But what I'm reading about California is in the running for the dumbest.

Larry Elder didn't "lose". He outperformed every major poll that already had him in the lead if "Yes" won.

But "Yes" had to win.

On that...
Newsom survived a recall in a very blue state. When his campaign woke up and realized it was closer than expected, they used their significant monetary advantage and compliant media to scare voters.

And still lose counties he previously won and which voted for Joe Biden.

More..
Republicans have been playing a game of defense in California for many years, and have surrounded Orange County, San Diego/SoCal.

Defense is a losing strategy.

Look at the counties in CA-16.

Look at Fresno, Merced, etc.
Read 5 tweets
12 Sep
This fight really underscored why boxing has suffered for years, and hasn't reclaimed the prestige or interest it had for so many years.

Evander Holyfield was a true warrior in his time. But he's way past his prime, and they keep reaching back to compensate for a shallow bench.
Think Vitor Belfort could've lasted a single round with this Evander Holyfield — or, this Riddick Bowe for that matter?

This is when boxing was still great. Before they needed to reach back to out-of-prime former champs to cover their shallow bench.
If you watched that video — particularly the punishment Evander Holyfield took from Riddick Bowe in Round 1, and survived — then you know there's no chance Vitor Belfort could survive even early rounds with either of those two men.

I wouldn't be proud over elder abuse.
Read 4 tweets
10 Sep
A realistic electorate is “laughably slanted”, claims Phil Bump at WaPo.

Look at the electorates in 2016 and 2020. Did the real partisan composition “slant” more closely to weights used by @Rasmussen_Poll or his own outfit’s poll?

I can save you time if you’d like.

Rasmussen.
But this is how actual pollsters know Phil Bump and others like him are total frauds, not experts.

He clearly knows nothing about how weights work.

Weights for party composition wouldn’t impact the actual percentage of Ds the claim @Rasmussen_Poll found agreed with Sen. Graham.
If the weight for party was adjusted, the percentage of Ds @Rasmussen_Poll found would agreed with Graham would stay the same, while the overall “total” nationally, would decline.

Meaning, everyone jackass, not just Democrats.
Read 5 tweets
10 Sep
CNN is a complete total joke and other pollsters need to speak up more because this garbage really hurts the industry.

We heard similar whitewashing after they bombed 2016, then they ignored how badly they performed in 2018, and crashed and burned in 2020.

No different.
The universe of polling — to include those who have proven they can poll an election correctly — is ranging from 39% to 45% approve.

52% is not a simple difference of opinion. It's blatant propaganda OR gross incompetence.

More must be willing to call it out when it happens.
Last time we had a good debate re: polling over long durations — i.e. 14-30 days vs. 3-7 days — it was the 2016 Indiana primary.

IPFW/Mike Downs Center had Ted Cruz leading Donald Trump by 16 points.

On Planet Earth, Trump won by nearly 20 points, carrying all but 5 counties.
Read 4 tweets
2 Sep
These are the Change of Address (CoA) flags that I told everyone about before and after the 2020 election, which @PolitiFact lied about fake fact-checking me by twisting my words & meaning.

It is REAL. It does happen. In California, voter rolls are VERY dirty.

Read this thread.
Three screenshots from the voter file.

Notice there are 20,632,867 voter records in California when excluding change of address (CoA) flags, or "movers", and deceased.

There are 20,653,779 when excluding ONLY movers.

There are 23,121,820 when including BOTH deceased & MOVERS.
Do you all understand what I'm showing you in the above tweet, and thread in general?

Do you NOW understand how badly you've been lied to about the potential for mass illegal ballots when sent unsolicited?

Media excuses about "similar names and addresses" are total nonsense.
Read 9 tweets

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