MICHIGAN FOLKS: I just took my first phone survey of the 2022 election cycle, via an outfit calling itself VRI Research, focused almost exclusively on the bullshit "Secure MI Vote" ballot proposal.
michigandems.com/toolkit/declin…
The "Secure MI Vote" proposal is a scam; DO NOT SIGN THE PETITION. The MI GOP's goal is to get enough signatures that they can use a jaw-droppingly stupid loophole in the MI Constitution which would let them pass it into law without allowing @GovWhitmer the ability to veto it.
As for the survey itself, at times it sounded like a push poll, but at other times it got very confusing--several of the ways the arguments given in favor/against the proposal were worded were double-negatives, making it difficult to tell which way the argument was even leaning.
Also, while the woman conducting the survey seemed nice & polite enough, she kept on referring to "partition power grabs" and "partition politics." It took several times before I realized she meant "PARTISAN power grabs/politics." I politely corrected her and she thanked me. 🙄
One of the arguments was that the proposal would "make it harder for partisan politicians to make it easier for ineligible voters not to cast a vote."

Read that again.

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More from @charles_gaba

8 Nov
In which I get a nice shoutout from @DLeonhardt in his updated look at the COVID red/blue divide:
nytimes.com/2021/11/08/bri…
FWIW, I’m just waiting on Florida county data to be released later this morning before posting the latest red/blue divide update (I have every other state updated already). Stay tuned…
📣 NOW LIVE: Here's an updated look at county-level #COVID19 case & death rates by partisan lean & vaccination rates:
acasignups.net/21/11/08/weekl…
Read 7 tweets
8 Nov
Yeah, that's right: We have exactly 1 year before Election Day 2022 and I'm launching Phase 2 of my Dem candidate fundraising project.
Last cycle I raised $6 million for Dem candidates up & down the ballot.

I'm at $86,000 so far halfway through this cycle. Let's catch up a bit, shall we?
secure.actblue.com/donate/senateb…
Read 4 tweets
7 Nov
📣 WEEKLY UPDATE: U.S. #COVID19 vaccination rates by county & Trump vote:
acasignups.net/21/11/07/weekl…
It should be fascinating to see whether the slope or correlation level (R2) of this graph changes starting on Thanksgiving (that's when the first batch of 5-11 yr olds getting their *second* Pfizer shot should start showing up in the data reports)...
As you can see, the partisan correlation rate increased continuously from the moment eligibility for all adults started in mid-March all the way through mid-September...at which point it basically plateaued. It's remained steady ever since.
Read 6 tweets
5 Nov
Huh. This article about Biden donors complaining includes an interesting passage… nytimes.com/2021/11/04/us/…
I find this bit kind of bemusing seeing how I personally raised $6 million for various Dem candidates last cycle (including around $70,000 for Biden, I believe) and never asked for a thank you, much less a phone call or ambassadorship…
Oh! Turns out I actually raise $103,000 for him! I guess I should’ve been interviewed for the article?
Read 4 tweets
4 Nov
The family seems very nice, but:

1. They have NINE KIDS. That's ELEVEN mouths to feed. I applaud the couple for being willing to foster/adopt so many, but I wonder how the story narrative would've differed if they'd been a Black couple w/9 kids?
2. The wife claims that "In June $1 was worth $1, now it's 70 cents"...making it sound like the inflation rate has been *43% since June*, which I find...questionable.
3. She claims a gallon of milk was $1.99 in March, and today it's $2.79.

In reality, the average price for a gallon of milk nationally appears to have been $3.55 in March vs. $3.65 in October.
ams.usda.gov/sites/default/…
Read 21 tweets

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